AS Roma vs Atalanta

AS Roma
l l w l w
1 - 1
0.90
xG
0.68
Full Time
Atalanta
d l w w l
M. Hermoso
45'
N. Krstovic
12'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
1 x 2
39%
29%
32%
Pred
X
Avg. Goal
2.67
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
50%
50%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.67
Score Pred.
2-1
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
Yes/ No
56%
44%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.67
Score Pred.
2-1
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
AS Roma AS Roma
Atalanta Atalanta
Probability %
55%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
2.67
Score Pred.
2-1

Double chance : draw or Atalanta

AS Roma is really struggling right now. They have lost their last five matches, including some heavy defeats. Atalanta, on the other hand, has won two of their last three games and seems to be in better shape. When these two teams met earlier this year, Atalanta won a tight game.

This match looks like it could be a close contest, but with Roma in such poor form, Atalanta is the team more likely to win.

Last Updated: 16 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Svilar
7.9
 
M. Hermoso
 
E. Ndicka
 
Gianluca Mancini
 
D. Rensch
 
B. Cristante
 
N. El Aynaoui
 
Z. Celik
 
S. El Shaarawy
 
M. Soule
 
D. Malen
 
M. Carnesecchi
 
S. Kolasinac
7
 
B. Djimsiti
 
G. Scalvini
 
D. Zappacosta
7.3
 
Ederson
 
M. De Roon
 
R. Bellanova
 
G. Raspadori
 
C. De Ketelaere
7
 
N. Krstovic
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for AS Roma
L. Venturino
' Out: S. El Shaarawy
60
N. Pisilli
' Out: N. El Aynaoui
60
D. Ghilardi
' Out: Gianluca Mancini
60
R. Vaz
' Out: M. Soule
71
K. Tsimikas
' Out: D. Rensch
78
Substitutes for Atalanta
N. Zalewski
' Out: C. De Ketelaere
46
O. Kossounou
' Out: G. Scalvini
46
H. Ahanor
' Out: S. Kolasinac
46
L. Bernasconi
' Out: R. Bellanova
54
M. Pasalic
80' Out: Ederson
80
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
1 Goals 1
0.90 Expected Goals 0.68
match facts

REFEREE

M. Marcenaro

  • AS Roma are on a five-match losing streak in Serie A.
  • Atalanta have won their last two away matches.
  • The last head-to-head meeting in January 2026 was a 1-0 win for Atalanta.
  • Prediction models heavily favor a double chance: Draw or Atalanta (45% each).
  • Atalanta have a significant historical edge in H2H comparisons (93% vs 7%).
  • AS Roma's defense is rated notably weaker than Atalanta's (31% vs 69%).
  • Atalanta average more goals per game (1.42) than Roma (1.18) this season.
  • Atalanta also average more shots per game (14.60) than Roma (12.84).
  • Despite recent form, Roma have a slight edge in attack rating (53% vs 47%).
  • The median possession stat for this fixture shows Atalanta dominant at 55%.
  • The best available odd for Draw/Away (1.61) is offered by bookmaker 1xBet.
  • Overall prediction total gives Atalanta a 62.3% chance compared to Roma's 37.7%.
Last Updated: 16 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
12 Corners 13
19 Fouls 30
2 Offsides 5
29 Shots 20
13 Shots on Goal 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
33
18
4
11
17
58
#7
33
14
12
7
16
54
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

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2.52
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3.08
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98.46 %
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DRAW
AWAY
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Pinnacle
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3.64
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BOOKMAKERS
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DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
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Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
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2.06
3.64
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1xBet 1xBet Logo
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2.07
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3.35
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HIGHEST ODDS

2.80
10Bet
2.60
Unibet
3.20
Marathonbet
94.85 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.80
2.35
3.00
89.61%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.75
2.50
2.88
90.02%
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2.45
3.00
89.94%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
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Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
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