Looking at recent form, Rayo Vallecano have been a bit up and down. They've had two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five games, which shows they can be competitive but aren't always consistent. Alaves, on the other hand, are in strong shape. They've won three of their last five matches, with just one loss and one draw, suggesting they are playing with confidence and finding ways to get results.

When these two teams have met before, the games have usually been very tight and low-scoring. In their last eight meetings, five of them finished with just one goal, and only one game saw more than two goals total. This history, combined with Alaves’ better recent run, points to a match that is likely to be close and cautious. Alaves have the momentum and look more likely to edge out a narrow win or at least avoid defeat.