FC Porto vs Alverca

FC Porto
w d w w w
1 - 0
0.62
xG
1.50
Full Time
Alverca
l w w l w
J. Bednarek
40'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : FC Porto

FC Porto are in good shape and will be hosting Alverca at the Estádio Do Dragão. Porto have won three of their last five matches, including a solid away victory in their most recent game, and have only lost once in that run. Alverca, on the other hand, are struggling badly - they have lost three of their last five games and have been conceding plenty of goals along the way.

When these two sides met earlier this season, Porto won comfortably with a 3-0 scoreline, and that was away from home. Now playing in front of their own fans, Porto look much stronger in attack and defence, while Alverca are in poor form and often struggle to keep clean sheets. This match looks very one-sided, and Porto are the clear winners here.

Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
D. Costa
 
Z. Sanusi
7.2
 
J. Kiwior
8.6
 
J. Bednarek
 
Alberto Costa
 
Gabri Veiga
 
P. Rosario
 
V. Froholdt
 
O. Pietuszewski
 
D. Gül
 
Pepê
 
Matheus Mendes
 
B. Meupiyou
 
S. Gomez
6.5
 
Kaiky Naves
 
I. James
 
Lincoln
 
Rhaldney
 
N. Touaizi
6.6
 
Figueiredo
6.3
 
Sandro Lima
7
 
Chiquinho
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for FC Porto
A. Varela
46' Out: J. Kiwior
46
Martim Fernandes
' Out: Z. Sanusi
46
B. Sainz
' Out: O. Pietuszewski
63
S. Fofana
' Out: Gabri Veiga
74
Rodrigo Mora
' Out: Pepê
86
Substitutes for Alverca
D. Gui
78' Out: Figueiredo
78
Marezi
78' Out: Chiquinho
78
Zakaria Kassary
' Out: Rhaldney
89
Diogo Spencer
90' Out: Kaiky Naves
90
C. Nuozzi
90' Out: Sandro Lima
90
statistics
57 Ball Possession 43
1 Goals 0
0.62 Expected Goals 1.50
match facts

REFEREE

D. Rafael Oliveira da Silva

STADIUM

Estádio Do Dragão

LOCATION

Porto

  • FC Porto, playing at the Estádio Do Dragão, are the heavy favorites with a 45% chance of winning.
  • Alverca has lost three consecutive away matches heading into this game.
  • Porto's last five home matches have seen them score and concede, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
  • The average possession stats suggest Porto will dominate the ball with 58.46% versus Alverca's 45.19%.
  • Porto's last head-to-head was a dominant 3-0 away win back in December 2025.
  • Alverca has only won 2 of their last 5 away matches, showing poor road form.
  • Porto averages nearly 15 shots per match, while Alverca averages just 8.
  • The match prediction heavily favors Porto with an overall rating of 66.5% to 33.5%.
  • FC Porto has the best defensive stats in the comparison, leading 62% to 38%.
  • Poisson distribution gives Porto an 87% chance of outscoring Alverca.
  • The bookies' highest odds for a Porto win are just 1.22, reflecting strong market confidence.
  • Despite prediction percentages being close, Porto's form and attacking stats are significantly stronger.
Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
6 Corners 8
33 Fouls 27
4 Offsides 0
26 Shots 20
9 Shots on Goal 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 0
0 Goals Conceded 4
2 Clean Sheets 0
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
34
28
4
2
48
88
#11
34
10
9
15
-17
39