FC Porto vs Alverca
Winner : FC Porto
FC Porto are in good shape and will be hosting Alverca at the Estádio Do Dragão. Porto have won three of their last five matches, including a solid away victory in their most recent game, and have only lost once in that run. Alverca, on the other hand, are struggling badly - they have lost three of their last five games and have been conceding plenty of goals along the way.
When these two sides met earlier this season, Porto won comfortably with a 3-0 scoreline, and that was away from home. Now playing in front of their own fans, Porto look much stronger in attack and defence, while Alverca are in poor form and often struggle to keep clean sheets. This match looks very one-sided, and Porto are the clear winners here.
Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for FC Porto
Substitutes for Alverca REFEREE
D. Rafael Oliveira da Silva
STADIUM
Estádio Do Dragão
LOCATION
Porto
- FC Porto, playing at the Estádio Do Dragão, are the heavy favorites with a 45% chance of winning.
- Alverca has lost three consecutive away matches heading into this game.
- Porto's last five home matches have seen them score and concede, averaging 2.2 goals per game.
- The average possession stats suggest Porto will dominate the ball with 58.46% versus Alverca's 45.19%.
- Porto's last head-to-head was a dominant 3-0 away win back in December 2025.
- Alverca has only won 2 of their last 5 away matches, showing poor road form.
- Porto averages nearly 15 shots per match, while Alverca averages just 8.
- The match prediction heavily favors Porto with an overall rating of 66.5% to 33.5%.
- FC Porto has the best defensive stats in the comparison, leading 62% to 38%.
- Poisson distribution gives Porto an 87% chance of outscoring Alverca.
- The bookies' highest odds for a Porto win are just 1.22, reflecting strong market confidence.
- Despite prediction percentages being close, Porto's form and attacking stats are significantly stronger.
Last matches for FCP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
1
Santa Clara
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
1
AVS
3
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
1
Alverca
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
2
Estrela
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
2
Tondela
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
3
Estoril
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
2
Famalicao
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
2
SC Braga
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
3
Moreirense
0
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
FC Porto
2
Benfica
2
Last matches for ALV
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
0
Famalicao
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
1
Estoril
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
0
FC Porto
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
2
Arouca
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
0
Nacional
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
3
Casa Pia
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
2
Rio Ave
1
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
1
Sporting CP
4
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
2
GIL Vicente
2
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
Alverca
0
AVS
0
