Schalke 04's recent home form shows significant defensive issues, conceding two goals in three of their last five matches. Their average of 0.65 goals scored per game is the lowest in the league, and they average just 41.94% possession, indicating sustained difficulty in controlling matches.

Arminia Bielefeld won the previous head-to-head meeting 2-1 in October. While their away form is mixed, they average more goals (0.79) and higher possession (52.71%) than Schalke. The median match data suggests a game where Schalke may see more of the ball but fail to convert, with both teams averaging a similar number of shots (11).