Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Aston Villa
l l l w d
4 - 3
2.67
xG
1.76
Full Time
Sunderland
d w l w w
O. Watkins
2'
O. Watkins
36'
M. Rogers
46'
T. Abraham
90'+3'
C. Rigg
9'
T. Hume
86'
W. Isidor
87'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Sunderland Sunderland
Probability %
1 x 2
54%
26%
19%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
2.6
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Sunderland Sunderland
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
52%
48%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.6
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Sunderland Sunderland
HТ/FT Probability %
32%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Sunderland Sunderland
Probability %
Yes/ No
51%
49%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.6
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Sunderland Sunderland
Probability %
52%
Pred
Away -0.75
Avg. Goal
2.6
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

Aston Villa are playing at home but have been struggling a bit lately, with a couple of losses and a recent draw in their last few games. Sunderland, on the other hand, have been in good shape, winning three of their last five matches. When these two teams met earlier in the season, they drew in a close game.

Given that Sunderland are in better form and Aston Villa have found wins hard to come by recently, Sunderland are likely to win this match.

Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:22 AM
starting lineups
 
E. Martinez
 
I. Maatsen
 
T. Mings
 
Ezri Konsa
 
M. Cash
 
Y. Tielemans
6.9
 
A. Onana
9
 
M. Rogers
 
R. Barkley
 
J. McGinn
8.6
 
O. Watkins
 
R. Roefs
 
Reinildo
 
O. Alderete
 
L. O'Nien
5.9
 
N. Mukiele
6.3
 
N. Sadiki
 
G. Xhaka
 
E. Le Fee
 
H. Diarra
7.3
 
C. Rigg
 
B. Brobbey
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Aston Villa
L. Digne
' Out: I. Maatsen
70
E. Buendia
' Out: R. Barkley
70
J. Sancho
' Out: J. McGinn
80
T. Abraham
80' Out: O. Watkins
80
Substitutes for Sunderland
D. Ballard
' Out: O. Alderete
63
T. Hume
' Out: Reinildo
63
C. Talbi
63' Out: C. Rigg
63
W. Isidor
' Out: B. Brobbey
84
statistics
50 Ball Possession 50
4 Goals 3
2.67 Expected Goals 1.76
match facts

REFEREE

S. Barrott

STADIUM

Villa Park

LOCATION

Birmingham

  • This Premier League clash sees Aston Villa host Sunderland at Villa Park.
  • The only previous meeting this season ended in a 1-1 draw.
  • Aston Villa's recent home form is mixed, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3).
  • Sunderland's away form is strong, with three wins and a draw in their last five on the road.
  • Villa averages 1.49 goals per match, slightly higher than Sunderland's 1.39.
  • Both teams have very similar average shot counts per game (Villa 12.71, Sunderland 12.83).
  • Sunderland typically enjoys more possession, averaging 53.77% to Villa's 50.04%.
  • In a key recent match, Sunderland dominated possession with 71% compared to Villa's 29%.
  • Prediction models show a very tight contest, with a 35% chance for a home win, draw, or away win each.
  • The 'Double Chance: Villa or Draw' is the advised prediction, with odds as low as 1.18.
  • Historical head-to-head (H2H) data gives Aston Villa a 62% comparative advantage.
  • Overall prediction comparison metrics slightly favor Sunderland by 51% to 49%.
Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:22 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 11
19 Fouls 25
3 Offsides 3
27 Shots 24
9 Shots on Goal 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
5 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 5
0 Clean Sheets 0
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
34
17
8
9
6
59
#12
34
12
10
12
-9
46
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.82
1xBet
3.75
Unibet
5.10
Unibet
98.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.82
3.72
5.08
98.51%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.80
3.60
4.75
95.80%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.80
3.66
4.90
96.82%
Betano Betano Logo
1.80
3.70
5.00
97.48%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.79
3.66
5.00
96.91%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.43
Pinnacle
2.33
Pinnacle
5.35
Marathonbet
97.31 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.43
2.33
5.18
96.73%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.38
2.09
5.35
92.12%
Unknown Unknown Logo
2.38
2.15
5.00
92.14%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.38
2.09
5.30
91.97%
Betano Betano Logo
2.37
2.15
5.00
91.99%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.20
William Hill
2.65
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
95.72 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
2.20
2.38
4.40
90.75%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
2.20
2.38
4.40
90.75%
Betano Betano Logo
2.10
2.55
4.40
91.27%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.09
2.54
4.65
91.98%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.08
2.54
4.70
91.98%