Aston Villa vs Sunderland
O. Watkins
2'
O. Watkins
36'
M. Rogers
46'
T. Abraham
90'+3'
C. Rigg
9'
T. Hume
86'
W. Isidor
87'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
Sunderland
|
Probability %
1
x
2
54%
26%
19%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.6
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
Sunderland
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
52%
48%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.6
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
Sunderland
|
HТ/FT Probability %
32%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
Sunderland
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
51%
49%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.6
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa
Sunderland
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.6
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : Aston Villa or draw
Aston Villa are playing at home but have been struggling a bit lately, with a couple of losses and a recent draw in their last few games. Sunderland, on the other hand, have been in good shape, winning three of their last five matches. When these two teams met earlier in the season, they drew in a close game.
Given that Sunderland are in better form and Aston Villa have found wins hard to come by recently, Sunderland are likely to win this match.
Last Updated: 17 Apr 2026 07:22 AMÂ
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Substitutes for Aston Villa L. Digne
' Out: I. Maatsen
70
E. Buendia
' Out: R. Barkley
70
J. Sancho
' Out: J. McGinn
80
T. Abraham
80' Out: O. Watkins
80
Substitutes for Sunderland D. Ballard
' Out: O. Alderete
63
T. Hume
' Out: Reinildo
63
C. Talbi
63' Out: C. Rigg
63
W. Isidor
' Out: B. Brobbey
84
REFEREE
S. Barrott
STADIUM
Villa Park
LOCATION
Birmingham
- This Premier League clash sees Aston Villa host Sunderland at Villa Park.
- The only previous meeting this season ended in a 1-1 draw.
- Aston Villa's recent home form is mixed, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3).
- Sunderland's away form is strong, with three wins and a draw in their last five on the road.
- Villa averages 1.49 goals per match, slightly higher than Sunderland's 1.39.
- Both teams have very similar average shot counts per game (Villa 12.71, Sunderland 12.83).
- Sunderland typically enjoys more possession, averaging 53.77% to Villa's 50.04%.
- In a key recent match, Sunderland dominated possession with 71% compared to Villa's 29%.
- Prediction models show a very tight contest, with a 35% chance for a home win, draw, or away win each.
- The 'Double Chance: Villa or Draw' is the advised prediction, with odds as low as 1.18.
- Historical head-to-head (H2H) data gives Aston Villa a 62% comparative advantage.
- Overall prediction comparison metrics slightly favor Sunderland by 51% to 49%.
Total
Per Match
9
Corners
11
4.5
Corners
5.5
19
Fouls
25
9.5
Fouls
12.5
3
Offsides
3
1.5
Offsides
1.5
27
Shots
24
13.5
Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
11
4.5
Shots on Goal
5.5
2
Yellow Cards
5
1
Yellow Cards
2.5
0
Red Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0.5
5
Goals
4
2.5
Goals
2
4
Goals Conceded
5
2
Goals Conceded
2.5
0
Clean Sheets
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for AST
Premier League 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Aston Villa
0
Fulham
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Aston Villa
4
Sunderland
3
W
Premier League 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Nottingham Forest
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Aston Villa
2
West Ham
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Manchester United
3
L
Premier League 2025-2026
04 MAR, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Chelsea
4
L
Premier League 2025-2026
27 FEB, 2026
Aston Villa
0
Wolves
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Leeds
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
11 FEB, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Brighton
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Aston Villa
1
Bournemouth
1
D
Last matches for SUN
Premier League 2025-2026
24 APR, 2026
Sunderland
0
Nottingham Forest
5
L
Premier League 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Sunderland
3
Aston Villa
4
L
Premier League 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Sunderland
1
Tottenham
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Sunderland
2
Newcastle
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Sunderland
0
Brighton
1
L
Premier League 2025-2026
03 MAR, 2026
Sunderland
1
Leeds
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Sunderland
1
Bournemouth
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
22 FEB, 2026
Sunderland
1
Fulham
3
L
Premier League 2025-2026
11 FEB, 2026
Sunderland
0
Liverpool
1
L
Premier League 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Sunderland
0
Arsenal
3
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.82
1xBet
3.75
Unibet
5.10
Unibet
98.80 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.82
3.72
5.08
98.51%
Bet365
1.80
3.60
4.75
95.80%
Pinnacle
1.80
3.66
4.90
96.82%
Betano
1.80
3.70
5.00
97.48%
Marathonbet
1.79
3.66
5.00
96.91%
Dafabet
1.79
3.70
4.70
96.00%
SBO
1.78
3.49
4.38
92.88%
Betfair
1.75
3.60
5.00
95.31%
Unknown
1.75
3.70
4.75
95.04%
10Bet
1.74
3.65
4.50
93.38%
William Hill
1.70
3.60
4.80
93.08%
Unibet
1.70
3.75
5.10
95.15%
888Sport
Bonus
1.70
3.60
4.80
93.08%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.43
Pinnacle
2.33
Pinnacle
5.35
Marathonbet
97.31 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.43
2.33
5.18
96.73%
Marathonbet
2.38
2.09
5.35
92.12%
Unknown
2.38
2.15
5.00
92.14%
1xBet
Bonus
2.38
2.09
5.30
91.97%
Betano
2.37
2.15
5.00
91.99%
SBO
2.31
2.17
4.65
90.19%
10Bet
2.30
2.15
4.75
90.06%
Bet365
2.30
2.20
5.00
91.80%
Betfair
2.30
2.25
5.00
92.66%
Unibet
2.28
2.25
4.90
91.99%
William Hill
2.20
2.20
4.80
89.49%
888Sport
Bonus
2.20
2.20
4.80
89.49%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.20
William Hill
2.65
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
95.72 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.20
2.38
4.40
90.75%
888Sport
Bonus
2.20
2.38
4.40
90.75%
Betano
2.10
2.55
4.40
91.27%
1xBet
Bonus
2.09
2.54
4.65
91.98%
Marathonbet
2.08
2.54
4.70
91.98%
Unibet
2.06
2.65
4.50
92.16%
10Bet
2.05
2.50
4.33
89.39%
Bet365
2.05
2.50
4.50
90.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.05
SBO
1.91
Bet365
98.88 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
SBO
2.05
1.85
19.28%
1xBet
Bonus
2.03
1.91
4.42%
Pinnacle
2.00
1.91
10.75%
Marathonbet
1.99
1.84
5.41%
Betfair
1.95
1.87
15.85%
Betano
1.95
1.90
7.36%
888Sport
Bonus
1.95
1.85
15.75%
Unibet
1.94
1.85
7.89%
Bet365
1.91
1.91
12.00%
10Bet
1.90
1.85
18.83%
Unknown
1.88
1.79
7.09%
HIGHEST ODDS
8.00
Bet365
1.10
Betano
96.70 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
8.00
1.08
23.56%
Unknown
8.00
1.06
15.34%
Marathonbet
7.70
1.05
18.87%
1xBet
Bonus
7.70
1.05
9.46%
Betfair
7.50
1.06
23.44%
William Hill
7.00
1.08
23.53%
Unibet
6.75
1.07
13.24%
Betano
6.50
1.10
13.56%
10Bet
6.25
1.09
30.81%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.16%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.00
888Sport
1.21
Betano
97.42 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
888Sport
Bonus
5.00
1.15
23.50%
William Hill
4.80
1.17
23.44%
Marathonbet
4.80
1.16
18.90%
1xBet
Bonus
4.80
1.16
9.47%
Bet365
4.50
1.18
23.53%
Unibet
4.50
1.17
30.98%
10Bet
4.33
1.18
30.82%
Betano
4.25
1.21
31.46%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.32
Pinnacle
3.62
Pinnacle
96.73 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.32
3.62
10.81%
Bet365
1.27
3.55
6.75%
Unknown
1.27
3.30
8.34%
Marathonbet
1.26
3.42
7.08%
1xBet
Bonus
1.26
3.42
5.42%
10Bet
-
-
-
-
46.81%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
23.00%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.24%
SBO
-
-
-
-
24.33%
Betano
-
-
-
-
13.75%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.41
Pinnacle
3.05
Pinnacle
96.42 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.41
3.05
19.32%
10Bet
1.38
2.88
93.30%
Bet365
1.38
3.00
9.47%
Marathonbet
1.35
2.93
13.13%
Unknown
1.35
2.87
18.34%
1xBet
Bonus
1.35
2.93
11.49%
SBO
-
-
-
-
48.22%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.81%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.34
1xBet
3.02
Marathonbet
92.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.34
2.98
9.19%
Marathonbet
1.33
3.02
13.13%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.91
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
96.49 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.91
1.91
95.50%
Betfair
1.87
1.87
93.50%
Marathonbet
1.85
1.85
92.50%
1xBet
Bonus
1.85
1.87
93.00%
Unibet
1.84
1.88
92.99%
William Hill
1.83
1.91
93.46%
Unknown
1.83
1.87
92.49%
888Sport
Bonus
1.83
1.91
93.46%
10Bet
1.80
1.95
93.60%
Betano
1.80
1.93
93.14%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.21
1xBet
1.32
1xBet
2.10
William Hill
48.54 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.21
1.32
2.10
48.54%
Betano
1.21
1.28
2.07
47.83%
Marathonbet
1.20
1.31
2.10
48.24%
Unknown
1.20
1.20
2.00
46.15%
10Bet
1.18
1.22
2.05
46.41%
William Hill
1.18
1.25
2.10
47.09%
888Sport
Bonus
1.18
1.25
2.10
47.09%
Bet365
1.17
1.28
2.00
46.82%
Unibet
1.17
1.27
2.08
47.11%
SBO
1.17
1.26
2.10
47.07%
Betfair
1.14
1.22
2.00
45.52%
