Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid

Villarreal
w w d l l
5 - 1
2.45
xG
1.16
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
w l l w w
D. Parejo
30'
A. Perez
34'
G. Mikautadze
40'
P. Gueye
45'
A. Perez
54'
M. Pubill
43'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Probability %
1 x 2
38%
26%
36%
Pred
X
Avg. Goal
3.4
Score Pred.
2-2
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
34%
66%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.4
Score Pred.
2-2
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
HТ/FT Probability %
21%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
2-2
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Probability %
Yes/ No
68%
32%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.4
Score Pred.
2-2
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Villarreal Villarreal
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Probability %
51%
Pred
Home +0
Avg. Goal
3.4
Score Pred.
2-2

Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid

Villarreal are coming into this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five games, including a heavy 5-1 defeat. Atletico Madrid have been much more consistent, winning three of their last five matches, though they did lose their most recent game. When these two teams have met recently, the games have often been tight and low-scoring, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws, including a 1-1 and a 2-2.

This looks like a very close match, but based on recent form and how solid Atletico Madrid have been overall, a draw or a narrow away win seems the most likely outcome. Atletico Madrid are the stronger team right now, so they should avoid defeat, but Villarreal at home could make it difficult for them.

Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:01 PM
starting lineups
 
Arnau Tenas
 
A. Pedraza
 
R. Marin
 
P. Navarro
 
S. Mourino
 
A. Moleiro
7.7
 
D. Parejo
8
 
P. Gueye
 
N. Pepe
8.2
 
G. Mikautadze
9.5
 
A. Perez
 
J. Musso
 
D. Hancko
 
Clément Lenglet
6.7
 
M. Pubill
 
Marcos Llorente
 
O. Vargas
 
Koke
 
A. Baena
 
A. Lookman
 
A. Griezmann
6.2
 
Giuliano Simeone
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Villarreal
A. Diatta
66' Out: D. Parejo
66
S. Cardona
' Out: A. Pedraza
67
L. Costa
75' Out: P. Gueye
75
P. Cabanes
75' Out: A. Perez
75
C. Macia
89' Out: G. Mikautadze
89
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid
A. Sørloth
46' Out: Giuliano Simeone
46
A. Puric
' Out: D. Hancko
46
M. Ruggeri
46' Out: M. Pubill
46
J. Bonar
' Out: A. Lookman
61
J. Morcillo
' Out: A. Baena
61
statistics
48 Ball Possession 52
5 Goals 1
2.45 Expected Goals 1.16
match facts

REFEREE

M. Sesma Espinosa

STADIUM

Estadio de la Cerámica

LOCATION

Villarreal

  • Atletico Madrid are strong favourites according to all key metrics, holding a 60.5% overall advantage over Villarreal.
  • The prediction model gives Atletico Madrid a 45% chance of winning, with a draw also at 45% – Villarreal are given just a 10% chance.
  • Atletico Madrid have won the last two head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season.
  • However, 5 of the last 7 meetings between these sides have ended in draws, including three successive 2-2 scorelines.
  • Atletico Madrid come into this match in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 away games.
  • Villarreal have lost 3 of their last 4 matches, picking up just one win in that run.
  • Atletico Madrid average slightly more goals per game (1.74) than Villarreal (1.65) this season.
  • Both teams average very similar possession, with Villarreal at 51.16% and Atletico at 50.86%.
  • Villarreal are expected to dominate possession at home (54% median vs Atletico’s 46%), but create fewer shots (median 13 vs 9).
  • The largest advantage for Atletico is in defensive strength (67% rating) and head-to-head record (85% rating).
  • This is a La Liga 2025-2026 match scheduled for May 24, 2026, at the Estadio de la Cerámica.
  • Bookmakers offer odds of 1.58 for a Double Chance bet on draw or Atletico Madrid.
Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:01 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
58 Corners 70
122 Fouls 145
9 Offsides 28
145 Shots 156
47 Shots on Goal 59
24 Yellow Cards 27
0 Red Cards 3
18 Goals 19
19 Goals Conceded 18
2 Clean Sheets 3
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
38
22
6
10
26
72
#4
38
21
6
11
18
69
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

2.65
Pinnacle
3.91
1xBet
2.75
Dafabet
100.33 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
2.65
3.86
2.55
97.22%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.60
3.90
2.43
95.01%
Betano Betano Logo
2.60
3.85
2.45
95.01%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.58
3.91
2.68
98.38%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
2.55
3.80
2.50
94.76%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.04
Pinnacle
2.66
Pinnacle
3.08
Marathonbet
97.13 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
3.04
2.66
3.05
96.83%
Betano Betano Logo
3.00
2.42
2.92
91.83%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.91
2.39
3.08
92.02%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.91
2.39
3.08
92.02%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.90
2.38
2.90
90.10%

HIGHEST ODDS

2.75
Betano
3.00
Unibet
2.88
William Hill
95.77 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betano Betano Logo
2.75
2.85
2.60
90.98%
Unibet Unibet Logo
2.70
3.00
2.65
92.50%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
2.65
2.75
2.65
89.42%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
2.64
2.93
2.72
91.93%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
2.64
2.93
2.72
91.93%