Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
1
x
2
38%
26%
36%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
3.4
|
Score Pred.
2-2
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
34%
66%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.4
|
Score Pred.
2-2
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
|
HТ/FT Probability %
21%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-2
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
68%
32%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.4
|
Score Pred.
2-2
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
3.4
|
Score Pred.
2-2
|
Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid
Villarreal are coming into this match in poor form, having lost four of their last five games, including a heavy 5-1 defeat. Atletico Madrid have been much more consistent, winning three of their last five matches, though they did lose their most recent game. When these two teams have met recently, the games have often been tight and low-scoring, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws, including a 1-1 and a 2-2.
This looks like a very close match, but based on recent form and how solid Atletico Madrid have been overall, a draw or a narrow away win seems the most likely outcome. Atletico Madrid are the stronger team right now, so they should avoid defeat, but Villarreal at home could make it difficult for them.
Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:01 PM
Substitutes for Villarreal
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid REFEREE
M. Sesma Espinosa
STADIUM
Estadio de la Cerámica
LOCATION
Villarreal
- Atletico Madrid are strong favourites according to all key metrics, holding a 60.5% overall advantage over Villarreal.
- The prediction model gives Atletico Madrid a 45% chance of winning, with a draw also at 45% – Villarreal are given just a 10% chance.
- Atletico Madrid have won the last two head-to-head meetings, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season.
- However, 5 of the last 7 meetings between these sides have ended in draws, including three successive 2-2 scorelines.
- Atletico Madrid come into this match in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 away games.
- Villarreal have lost 3 of their last 4 matches, picking up just one win in that run.
- Atletico Madrid average slightly more goals per game (1.74) than Villarreal (1.65) this season.
- Both teams average very similar possession, with Villarreal at 51.16% and Atletico at 50.86%.
- Villarreal are expected to dominate possession at home (54% median vs Atletico’s 46%), but create fewer shots (median 13 vs 9).
- The largest advantage for Atletico is in defensive strength (67% rating) and head-to-head record (85% rating).
- This is a La Liga 2025-2026 match scheduled for May 24, 2026, at the Estadio de la Cerámica.
- Bookmakers offer odds of 1.58 for a Double Chance bet on draw or Atletico Madrid.
La Liga 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
Villarreal
La Liga 2024-2025
Villarreal
La Liga 2024-2025
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
Villarreal
La Liga 2022-2023
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
Villarreal
La Liga 2021-2022
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2021-2022
Villarreal
La Liga 2020-2021
Atletico Madrid
La Liga 2020-2021
Villarreal
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5
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1
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2
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2
Sevilla
3
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1
Mallorca
1
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Levante
1
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2
Celta Vigo
1
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1
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1
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2
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1
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0
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1
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3
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1
Last matches for ATL
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Atletico Madrid
1
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5
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Atletico Madrid
1
Girona
0
La Liga 2025-2026
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2
Osasuna
1
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Atletico Madrid
0
Celta Vigo
1
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
0
Arsenal
1
La Liga 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Valencia
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Arsenal
1
La Liga 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
3
Athletic Club
2
La Liga 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Elche
3
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Barcelona
2
