AZ Alkmaar are the strong favourites for this match. They have a great recent record against NAC Breda, having won their last two meetings without conceding a goal, and they are playing at home. Although AZ have drawn their last three matches, they are still in much better shape than NAC Breda, who have lost their last two away games and have struggled to score. NAC Breda have only won one of their last five matches, while AZ have not lost in their last three.

Given AZ's clear strength at home and their strong head-to-head form, this match looks very one-sided. NAC Breda are struggling and unlikely to cause an upset. AZ Alkmaar should win this game comfortably.