Belgium vs Senegal

Belgium
l d d d w
3 - 2
1.80
xG
3.22
AET
Senegal
w l l l w
R. Lukaku
86'
Y. Tielemans
89'
Y. Tielemans
120'+5'
H. Diarra
25'
I. Sarr
51'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Belgium or draw

Belgium heads into this World Cup match in strong form, having won their most recent game and drawn the three before that. They have been tough to beat and haven't lost in their last five matches. Senegal, on the other hand, are struggling badly. They have lost four of their last five games, including three defeats in a row, and have been conceding heavily in recent outings.

There is no recent history between these two sides, so this match will be a fresh test. Given Belgium's solid run and Senegal's poor form and defensive troubles, this looks like a match that Belgium should control. The most likely outcome is a win for Belgium, though a draw is also a strong possibility if Senegal can tighten up. This match feels more likely to go Belgium's way than to be an open, high-scoring contest.

Last Updated: 29 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
T. Courtois
 
M. De Cuyper
 
A. Theate
6.9
 
Brandon Mechele
 
T. Castagne
 
H. Vanaken
8.3
 
Y. Tielemans
 
J. Doku
 
K. De Bruyne
 
L. Trossard
 
C. De Ketelaere
 
M. Diaw
 
I. Jakobs
 
M. Niakhate
 
P. Ciss
 
K. Diatta
 
P. Gueye
 
I. Gueye
7.5
 
H. Diarra
 
S. Mane
8.3
 
I. Sarr
 
I. Ndiaye
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Belgium
56
109
Substitutes for Senegal
66
73
73
93
93
96
statistics
52 Ball Possession 48
3 Goals 2
1.80 Expected Goals 3.22
match facts

REFEREE

S. Martinez

STADIUM

Lumen Field

LOCATION

Seattle, Washington

  • Belgium enters this World Cup clash as the heavy favorite, with a 45% chance to win and a further 45% chance for a draw.
  • Belgium are on a three-match unbeaten run (W1, D2) in all competitions, while Senegal have lost four of their last five matches.
  • Senegal's recent form is poor, suffering three defeats in a row, most notably a 5-0 thrashing away from home.
  • Senegal have shown more attacking bite away from home, averaging 1.63 goals per match compared to Belgium's 1.00.
  • Belgium dominate possession in their matches, averaging 58.67% compared to Senegal's 50.43%.
  • Belgium's defense is rated significantly stronger (75%) than Senegal's (25%) in pre-match statistical comparisons.
  • Senegal hold a notable 57% advantage in the attacking comparison over Belgium's 43%.
  • The overall prediction heavily favors Belgium, giving them a 59.5% advantage compared to Senegal's 40.8%.
  • The best betting advice for the match is a "Double Chance: Belgium or Draw," offering odds of 1.34 at 1xBet.
  • Despite their poor form, Senegal's average goals per match (1.63) is higher than Belgium's (1.00), suggesting they are capable of scoring.
  • Belgium's last match was a resounding 5-1 victory, showing excellent form heading into this fixture.
  • The prediction model gives Belgium a 63% form rating, significantly higher than Senegal's 38%.
Last Updated: 29 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
4 Corners 2
21 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
19 Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
world cup standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
3
2
0
1
3
6
#21
1
0
0
1
-1
0