Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Borussia Dortmund
d l l w w
3 - 2
6.20
xG
1.47
Full Time
Hamburger SV
d l l w d
Ramy Bensebaini
73'
S. Guirassy
78'
Ramy Bensebaini
84'
P. Otele
19'
A. S. Lokonga
38'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund at home have had mixed results recently, with two wins but also two losses and a draw in their last five games. They are coming off a defeat, so they might be a bit unsettled. Hamburg, the away team, are in very good shape, having won three of their last five and not losing any of them. The last time these two teams met, the game ended in a draw with a goal each, suggesting a close contest is likely again.

Given Hamburg's strong and consistent recent form compared to Dortmund's more up-and-down performances, the away team looks well-placed to avoid defeat. This match could be quite even, but the team in better current shape has a good chance.

Last Updated: 19 Mar 2026 07:28 AM
starting lineups
Ā 
G. Kobel
Ā 
N. Schlotterbeck
Ā 
W. Anton
Ā 
D. Svensson
Ā 
F. Nmecha
Ā 
J. Bellingham
Ā 
M. Sabitzer
7.7
Ā 
J. Ryerson
6.5
Ā 
K. Adeyemi
Ā 
M. Beier
Ā 
D. Heuer Fernandes
Ā 
J. Torunarigha
Ā 
L. Vuskovic
Ā 
W. Omari
Ā 
M. Muheim
7.2
Ā 
N. Remberg
7.3
Ā 
A. S. Lokonga
6.3
Ā 
W. Mikelbrencis
7.2
Ā 
P. Otele
Ā 
R. Konigsdorffer
Ā 
F. Vieira
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy
46' Out: K. Adeyemi
46
Ramy Bensebaini
' Out:
46
F. Silva
' Out: D. Svensson
58
C. Chukwuemeka
' Out: M. Sabitzer
58
J. Brandt
' Out: F. Nmecha
90
Substitutes for Hamburger SV
D. Downs
' Out: F. Vieira
67
F. Balde
68' Out: P. Otele
68
O. Stange
' Out: R. Konigsdorffer
79
J. Dompe
90' Out: W. Mikelbrencis
90
R. Philippe
' Out: W. Omari
90
statistics
68 Ball Possession 32
3 Goals 2
6.20 Expected Goals 1.47
match facts

REFEREE

M. Jollenbeck

  • Borussia Dortmund are slight favorites with a 45% win probability, while a draw is also rated at 45%.
  • The only recent H2H meeting (Nov 2025) ended in a 1-1 draw.
  • Dortmund's recent form is mixed, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw in their last 5 matches.
  • Hamburg are in strong form, unbeaten in their last 5 with 3 wins and 2 draws.
  • Hamburg's form advantage is significant, rated 67% to 33% over Dortmund's in predictions.
  • Dortmund averages 2.06 goals per match, slightly higher than Hamburg's 1.83.
  • Both teams average over 14 shots per game, suggesting an attacking contest.
  • Hamburg edges possession stats, averaging 56.76% to Dortmund's 56.16%.
  • Prediction models heavily favor Dortmund in attack (71%), H2H history (93%), and goal-scoring likelihood (82%).
  • Defensive capabilities are rated as evenly matched at 50% each.
  • The best available odds for a Dortmund win are 1.43 from 1xBet.
  • Hamburg's win probability is rated at just 10%, making them clear underdogs.
Last Updated: 19 Mar 2026 07:28 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
17 Corners 5
18 Fouls 22
1 Offsides 5
41 Shots 13
9 Shots on Goal 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
last matches
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
31
20
7
4
34
67
#15
31
7
10
14
-16
31