Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea

Paris Saint Germain
w w d w l
5 - 2
0.87
xG
1.53
Full Time
Chelsea
w d d l w
B. Barcola
10'
O. Dembele
40'
Vitinha
74'
K. Kvaratskhelia
86'
K. Kvaratskhelia
90'+4'
M. Gusto
28'
E. Fernández
57'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw and +1.5 goals

Paris Saint Germain have been a bit up and down lately, winning their last two matches but also having a draw and a loss in their recent games. Chelsea have also had mixed results, with a win, a loss, and several draws in their last few outings. When these two teams met last summer, it was a high-scoring game with three goals.

Looking at how both teams have been playing recently, neither is in completely dominant form, which suggests this could be a very close and competitive match. Based on their current shape and the fact their last meeting was open, this game looks likely to end in a draw.

Last Updated: 09 Mar 2026 10:46 AM
starting lineups
 
M. Safonov
 
N. Mendes
 
W. Pacho
 
Marquinhos
 
A. Hakimi
 
J. Neves
7.9
 
Vitinha
 
W. Zaire-Emery
7.3
 
B. Barcola
7.6
 
O. Dembele
 
D. Doue
 
F. Jørgensen
 
Marc Cucurella
 
T. Chalobah
 
W. Fofana
7.3
 
M. Gusto
 
M. Caicedo
 
Reece James
 
Pedro Neto
7.5
 
E. Fernández
 
C. Palmer
 
João Pedro
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Paris Saint Germain
K. Kvaratskhelia
' Out: D. Doue
62
Lee Kang-In
69' Out: O. Dembele
69
S. Mayulu
78' Out: B. Barcola
78
L. Hernandez
' Out: W. Zaire-Emery
78
Substitutes for Chelsea
R. Lavia
' Out: C. Palmer
83
L. Delap
' Out: João Pedro
83
A. Garnacho
88' Out: M. Gusto
88
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
5 Goals 2
0.87 Expected Goals 1.53
match facts

REFEREE

A. Hernandez

  • Paris Saint-Germain have won 3 of their last 5 matches (W3, D1, L1).
  • Chelsea have won 2, drawn 2, and lost 1 of their last 5 games.
  • PSG average 2.21 goals per game this season.
  • Chelsea average 1.64 goals per game this season.
  • PSG average 63.5% possession per match.
  • Chelsea average 59.1% possession per match.
  • The only recent H2H was a 3-0 win for Chelsea in July 2025.
  • PSG have a higher median for shots per game (10) compared to Chelsea (8).
  • Prediction models give PSG a 35% chance to win, with a 35% chance of a draw.
  • Key prediction advice is a double chance on PSG or draw with over 1.5 total goals.
  • Overall statistical comparison slightly favors Chelsea (51.2% vs 49.0%).
  • The highest odds for PSG/Draw double chance are 1.28 with Betano.
Last Updated: 09 Mar 2026 10:46 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 15
36 Fouls 30
5 Offsides 6
25 Shots 37
19 Shots on Goal 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0
8 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 8
1 Clean Sheets 1
last matches
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
17
10
5
2
22
35
#20
10
5
1
4
1
16