Leon vs FC Juarez

Leon
w d l w d
2 - 1
Full Time
FC Juarez
l l l l w
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
76'
A. Alvarado
90'+9'
Ó. Estupiñán
90'+4'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Leon

Leon have been having a tough time lately and haven't won any of their last five games, with a couple of draws and three losses. FC Juarez are also struggling and have lost three of their last five, so neither team comes into this one in great form. When these two have met recently, the games have usually been tight and low-scoring, often ending with just one or two goals total.

Leon have had the better of this matchup over the years and they look the stronger side here, especially since they're playing at home. Juarez have found it hard to get results against Leon and their recent away form isn't convincing. This looks like a close, cautious game rather than an open one, but Leon should have enough to edge it or at least avoid defeat. My call is a Leon win.

Last Updated: 26 Sep 2026 12:00 AM
starting lineups
 
Irving Martinez
5.94
 
S. Vegas
6.63
 
J. Guevara
 
J. Romaña
 
I. Moreno
 
Fernando Beltrán
 
J. Lara
 
J. Cortizo
 
D. Cambindo
 
S. Jurado
 
A. Mayorga
 
G. Sepulveda
5.82
 
J. Murillo
 
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
 
Ricardinho
 
L. Silva
 
Monchu
6.49
 
Ó. Estupiñán
 
Madson
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Leon
45' Out: S. Vegas
45
' Out:
58
Substitutes for FC Juarez
' Out: A. Mayorga
62
' Out: Madson
90
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
2 Goals 1
match facts

REFEREE

Y. Peinado Aguirre

  • Liga MX 2026-2027 clash: Leon host FC Juarez at an unnamed venue.
  • Leon are winless in their last five matches (D2, L3), while Juarez have lost three of their last five (W2, L3).
  • Juarez have won the last three head-to-head meetings, all by a single goal margin.
  • Leon have scored just two goals in their last five outings; Juarez have scored three in their last five.
  • Leon average 1.26 goals per game and 13.32 shots, edging Juarez's 1.02 goals and 11.49 shots.
  • Leon dominate possession with 53.81% on average, compared to Juarez's 47.79%.
  • Prediction model gives Leon a 45% win chance, identical to the draw, with Juarez at just 10%.
  • Poisson distribution strongly favours Leon at 93% versus Juarez's 7%.
  • Combined statistical comparison: Leon 70.8% vs Juarez 29.2%.
  • Leon hold a 71% head-to-head advantage in the prediction model despite recent losses.
  • Best odds for a Leon win: 1.62 with Bet365.
  • Both sides have struggled for form, but Leon's superior attacking and possession stats make them favourites.
Last Updated: 26 Sep 2026 12:00 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
74 Corners 56
169 Fouls 149
29 Offsides 19
175 Shots 143
50 Shots on Goal 43
25 Yellow Cards 30
5 Red Cards 4
16 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 16
6 Clean Sheets 4
liga mx standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
11
5
3
3
3
18
#18
11
1
1
9
-18
4