Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz

Fenerbahçe
w w d w d
2 - 0
Full Time
Sturm Graz
l w w w d
Talisca
9'
M. Greenwood
45'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Probability %
1 x 2
73%
16%
10%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.22
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
38%
62%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.22
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
HТ/FT Probability %
46%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Probability %
Yes/ No
50%
50%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.22
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
Probability %
51%
Pred
Home -1.5
Avg. Goal
3.22
Score Pred.
3-0

Winner : Sturm Graz

Fenerbahçe and Sturm Graz meet in the Champions League, and it looks set to be a very tight affair. Fenerbahçe are struggling for form at the moment, with just one win in their last five matches alongside two draws and two losses. They have been letting in a lot of goals, which will be a concern. Sturm Graz are not in much better shape, having drawn their last game after a heavy defeat just before that. They have generally found winning difficult recently, especially away from home.

The two teams have not played each other recently, so there is no head-to-head history to draw on. Both sides are looking for consistency, and with Fenerbahçe’s defensive issues against Sturm Graz’s struggles to score, the match could go either way. Given the uncertainty, a draw seems like the most likely outcome, as neither team looks confident enough to take all three points.

Last Updated: 03 Aug 2026 07:20 AM
starting lineups
 
M. Gunok
 
J. Oosterwolde
 
N. Aké
 
M. Skriniar
 
N. Semedo
 
N. Kante
 
Mattéo Guendouzi
 
K. Aktürkoğlu
 
M. Asensio
7.3
 
M. Greenwood
7.2
 
Talisca
 
D. Khudyakov
 
E. Soglo
 
A. Vallci
6.2
 
J. Heil
 
S. Seidl
7.2
 
J. Gorenc Stankovic
 
J. Hodl
 
S. Jatta
 
S. Wlodarczyk
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Fenerbahçe
69' Out: M. Greenwood
69
85
Substitutes for Sturm Graz
' Out:
64
64
87
statistics
72 Ball Possession 28
2 Goals 0
match facts

REFEREE

C. Kavanagh

  • This UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 qualifier pits Fenerbahçe against Sturm Graz at a neutral venue (stadium unknown).
  • Sturm Graz enter as the favorites according to the prediction model, carrying a 45% win probability, while Fenerbahçe are given just a 10% chance.
  • Despite the low win probability, the draw (45%) is considered just as likely as a Sturm Graz victory, making this a tightly contested fixture on paper.
  • Fenerbahçe's recent form is shaky: they have just one win in their last five matches (1W, 2D, 2L), including a 3-1 defeat in their latest outing.
  • Sturm Graz arrive in better shape with two wins in their last five (2W, 1D, 2L), most recently a 2-0 away victory.
  • The visitors' defensive edge is stark: the model gives Sturm Graz a 100% defensive rating versus Fenerbahçe's 0% in this specific matchup.
  • Sturm Graz also dominate the attacking comparison (75% vs 25%), despite Fenerbahçe's higher season average of 1.91 goals per game.
  • Fenerbahçe are significantly more prolific in front of goal this season, averaging nearly 2 goals per match compared to Sturm Graz's 0.43.
  • The home side control possession far better, with an average of 56.47% compared to Sturm Graz's 38.29%.
  • Fenerbahçe also fire more shots on average (15.95 per game) versus Sturm Graz's 11.65, suggesting they will create more chances.
  • Historical head-to-head data favors Fenerbahçe at 80%, but there are no recent direct meetings listed for this fixture.
  • Bookmakers are stunned by the prediction: 1xBet offers a huge 8.70 odds for a Sturm Graz away win, implying a very low expected probability from the market.
Last Updated: 03 Aug 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 19
4 Offsides 0
15 Shots 5
10 Shots on Goal 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goals 0
0 Goals Conceded 2
1 Clean Sheets 0
last matches
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#9
3
2
1
0
3
7
#14
3
2
0
1
4
6
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.35
Marathonbet
6.00
Dafabet
9.25
Betano
98.47 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.35
5.85
8.30
96.88%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.35
5.98
8.55
97.57%
Betano Betano Logo
1.34
5.80
9.25
97.39%
SBO SBO Logo
1.32
4.59
6.76
89.02%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.31
6.00
9.00
96.05%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.77
SBO
2.96
Pinnacle
8.09
Pinnacle
97.43 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
SBO SBO Logo
1.77
2.46
5.70
87.19%
Betano Betano Logo
1.75
2.65
6.90
91.43%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.73
2.74
6.95
92.01%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.72
2.74
7.10
91.98%
Unibet Unibet Logo
1.68
2.80
7.00
91.30%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.67
Bet365
3.35
1xBet
7.30
1xBet
96.68 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.67
3.00
6.00
91.01%
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.62
2.90
6.50
89.61%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
1.62
2.90
6.50
89.61%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
1.57
3.10
6.25
89.32%
Unibet Unibet Logo
1.57
3.20
6.50
90.64%