Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
|
Probability %
1
x
2
73%
16%
10%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.22
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
38%
62%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.22
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
|
HТ/FT Probability %
46%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
50%
50%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.22
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenerbahçe
Sturm Graz
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Home -1.5
|
Avg. Goal
3.22
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Winner : Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe and Sturm Graz meet in the Champions League, and it looks set to be a very tight affair. Fenerbahçe are struggling for form at the moment, with just one win in their last five matches alongside two draws and two losses. They have been letting in a lot of goals, which will be a concern. Sturm Graz are not in much better shape, having drawn their last game after a heavy defeat just before that. They have generally found winning difficult recently, especially away from home.
The two teams have not played each other recently, so there is no head-to-head history to draw on. Both sides are looking for consistency, and with Fenerbahçe’s defensive issues against Sturm Graz’s struggles to score, the match could go either way. Given the uncertainty, a draw seems like the most likely outcome, as neither team looks confident enough to take all three points.
Last Updated: 03 Aug 2026 07:20 AM
Substitutes for Fenerbahçe REFEREE
C. Kavanagh
- This UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 qualifier pits Fenerbahçe against Sturm Graz at a neutral venue (stadium unknown).
- Sturm Graz enter as the favorites according to the prediction model, carrying a 45% win probability, while Fenerbahçe are given just a 10% chance.
- Despite the low win probability, the draw (45%) is considered just as likely as a Sturm Graz victory, making this a tightly contested fixture on paper.
- Fenerbahçe's recent form is shaky: they have just one win in their last five matches (1W, 2D, 2L), including a 3-1 defeat in their latest outing.
- Sturm Graz arrive in better shape with two wins in their last five (2W, 1D, 2L), most recently a 2-0 away victory.
- The visitors' defensive edge is stark: the model gives Sturm Graz a 100% defensive rating versus Fenerbahçe's 0% in this specific matchup.
- Sturm Graz also dominate the attacking comparison (75% vs 25%), despite Fenerbahçe's higher season average of 1.91 goals per game.
- Fenerbahçe are significantly more prolific in front of goal this season, averaging nearly 2 goals per match compared to Sturm Graz's 0.43.
- The home side control possession far better, with an average of 56.47% compared to Sturm Graz's 38.29%.
- Fenerbahçe also fire more shots on average (15.95 per game) versus Sturm Graz's 11.65, suggesting they will create more chances.
- Historical head-to-head data favors Fenerbahçe at 80%, but there are no recent direct meetings listed for this fixture.
- Bookmakers are stunned by the prediction: 1xBet offers a huge 8.70 odds for a Sturm Graz away win, implying a very low expected probability from the market.
Last matches for FEN
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
2
Sturm Graz
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
1
Gornik Zabrze
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Fenerbahçe
1
Gornik Zabrze
0
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
3
Eyüpspor
3
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
3
Konyaspor
0
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
3
Başakşehir
1
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
0
Galatasaray
3
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
2
Rizespor
2
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
4
Kayserispor
0
Süper Lig 2025-2026
Fenerbahçe
0
Fatih Karagümrük
2
Last matches for STU
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Sturm Graz
2
TSV Hartberg
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Sturm Graz
0
Fenerbahçe
2
Bundesliga 2026-2027
Sturm Graz
1
WSG Wattens
1
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Sturm Graz
2
Heart Of Midlothian
0
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Sturm Graz
4
Heart Of Midlothian
0
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Sturm Graz
2
Bodo/Glimt
1
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
Sturm Graz
0
Bodo/Glimt
5
UEFA Champions League 2024-2025
Sturm Graz
1
RB Leipzig
0
UEFA Champions League 2024-2025
Sturm Graz
1
Girona
0
UEFA Champions League 2024-2025
Sturm Graz
0
Sporting CP
2
