Fiorentina vs Parma

Fiorentina
l d w w l
0 - 0
1.30
xG
0.25
Full Time
Parma
l w w w d
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Parma

Fiorentina comes into this match in a tough patch, having lost their last two games and only won once in their last five. They are struggling for form. Parma, on the other hand, has been more solid recently, winning three of their last five matches and drawing another. They seem to be in better shape.

When these two teams met earlier in the season, it was a very close game with just one goal deciding it. Given Fiorentina's current struggles and Parma's more consistent results, Parma looks more likely to get a positive result from this match.

Last Updated: 06 Mar 2026 10:47 AM
starting lineups
6.7
43
D. de Gea
7.3
21
R. Gosens
7.2
6
L. Ranieri
7.3
5
Marin Pongračić
7.5
2
Dodo
7.3
44
N. Fagioli
7.3
10
A. Gudmundsson
6.9
27
C. Ndour
6.9
8
R. Mandragora
6.9
17
J. Harrison
6.5
91
R. Piccoli
7.3
40
E. Corvi
6.9
39
A. Circati
7.3
37
M. Troilo
7.2
15
E. Del Prato
7.3
16
M. Keita
7
14
E. Valeri
6.7
22
O. Sorensen
6.2
41
H. Nicolussi Caviglia
6.6
25
B. Cremaschi
6.9
7
G. Strefezza
6.5
9
M. Pellegrino
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Fiorentina
G. Fabbian
64' Out: R. Mandragora
64
J. Fazzini
81' Out: J. Harrison
81
M. Brescianini
86' Out: C. Ndour
86
P. Comuzzo
86' Out: Marin Pongračić
86
Substitutes for Parma
C. Ordonez
54' Out: H. Nicolussi Caviglia
54
N. Elphege
72' Out: M. Pellegrino
72
G. Oristanio
72' Out: G. Strefezza
72
N. Estevez
82' Out: O. Sorensen
82
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
1.30 Expected Goals 0.25
match facts

REFEREE

L. Zufferli

  • This Serie A clash sees Fiorentina host Parma in the 2025-2026 season.
  • In the most recent head-to-head meeting, Parma secured a 1-0 victory over Fiorentina in December 2025.
  • Fiorentina's recent form is concerning, with three losses in their last five matches.
  • Parma's away form has been stronger, with three wins in their last five matches on the road.
  • Fiorentina averages 0.79 goals per game this season, compared to Parma's 0.53.
  • Fiorentina typically enjoys more possession (53.04% avg) than Parma (44.70% avg).
  • Median statistics from recent matches show Parma averaging more shots (23 vs 13).
  • Those same median stats suggest Fiorentina may see less possession (42%) than their season average.
  • Prediction models heavily favor a double chance outcome: a draw or a Parma win.
  • The overall match prediction percentages are split: 45% draw, 45% Parma win, 10% Fiorentina win.
  • Head-to-head and defensive comparisons in the model give Parma a significant advantage.
  • Despite Fiorentina's home status, the data suggests this is a very close contest.
Last Updated: 06 Mar 2026 10:47 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
13 Corners 6
27 Fouls 24
4 Offsides 0
35 Shots 21
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goals 1
1 Goals Conceded 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
32
8
12
12
-17
36
#15
32
8
11
13
-7
35