Lens vs Nantes
M. Soares
79'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Winner : Lens
Lens is at home and really struggling - they haven't won any of their last five matches, with three straight losses followed by two draws. Nantes is in even worse shape, having lost their last three games and only managing draws in the two before that. Both teams are in poor form right now.
When these two meet, there are usually plenty of goals - their recent clashes have been high-scoring affairs, including a 3-2, a 3-1, and a 4-0 scoreline. Despite Lens's recent slump, they've won more of the recent head-to-head meetings and are playing at home, so they might just edge this one. Lens is the more likely winner here.
Last Updated: 06 May 2026 06:00 PMĀ
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
7.2
Ā
6.9
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Ā
Substitutes for Lens F. Sotoca
' Out: R. Fofana
46
R. Aguilar
' Out: Odsonne Ćdouard
59
F. Sylla
' Out: A. Haidara
65
A. Bermont
' Out: W. Said
78
M. Soares
79' Out: A. Sima
79
Substitutes for Nantes Ali Yusuf
' Out: U. Radakovic
66
Mostafa Mohamed
' Out: I. Ganago
82
L. Leroux
' Out: M. Kaba
82
Y. El Arabi
' Out: M. Abline
82
D. Tabibou
' Out: F. Guilbert
87
REFEREE
M. Vernice
STADIUM
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
LOCATION
Lens
- Lens are the heavy favourites (45% chance) compared to Nantes' 10% for the Ligue 1 clash.
- Nantes have lost their last three away matches, conceding 8 goals in the process.
- Lens are winless in their last five league games, drawing twice and losing three.
- Head-to-head history favours Lens, who have won four of the last six meetings.
- Nantes have the worst defensive record in the form comparison, with a 63% rating against Lensā attack.
- The highest betting odd for a home win is 1.41, reinforcing Lens as the clear favourite.
- Lens average 1.53 goals per game, while Nantes average just 1.10 ā a notable attacking gap.
- Possession is expected to be tight, with Lens averaging 52.49% and Nantes 43.38%.
- Both teams have had similar yellow card averages (2 per match) in recent games.
- The match is set to take place at the iconic Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens.
- The prediction model gives Lens an 84% Poisson distribution advantage over Nantes.
- Nantes have failed to score in two of their last five away trips, a worrying sign for fans.
6/
4/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Lens
1
ā
0
08 May, 2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nantes
Nantes
1
ā
2
06 Dec, 2025
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Lens
Nantes
3
ā
1
23 Feb, 2025
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Lens
Lens
3
ā
2
09 Nov, 2024
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Nantes
Nantes
0
ā
1
03 Feb, 2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Lens
Lens
4
ā
0
28 Oct, 2023
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Nantes
Lens
3
ā
1
19 Feb, 2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Nantes
Nantes
0
ā
0
18 Sep, 2022
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Lens
Lens
2
ā
2
30 Apr, 2022
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Nantes
Nantes
3
ā
2
10 Dec, 2021
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Lens
Nantes
1
ā
1
17 Jan, 2021
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Lens
Lens
1
ā
1
25 Nov, 2020
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Nantes
Total
Per Match
71
Corners
35
5.9
Corners
2.9
156
Fouls
159
13
Fouls
13.3
20
Offsides
11
1.7
Offsides
0.9
152
Shots
136
12.7
Shots
11.3
46
Shots on Goal
43
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.6
22
Yellow Cards
23
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
2
Red Cards
0
0.2
Red Cards
0
21
Goals
14
1.8
Goals
1.2
14
Goals Conceded
21
1.2
Goals Conceded
1.8
4
Clean Sheets
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.1
Last matches for LEN
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Lens
4
Lyon
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
13 MAY, 2026
Lens
0
Paris Saint Germain
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
08 MAY, 2026
Lens
1
Nantes
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Lens
1
Nice
1
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
24 APR, 2026
Lens
3
Stade Brestois 29
3
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 APR, 2026
Lens
3
Toulouse
2
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Lens
0
Lille
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
20 MAR, 2026
Lens
5
Angers
1
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Lens
1
Lorient
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Lens
3
Metz
0
W
Last matches for NAN
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Nantes
0
Toulouse
0
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
08 MAY, 2026
Nantes
0
Lens
1
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Nantes
3
Marseille
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
Nantes
1
Rennes
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
22 APR, 2026
Nantes
0
Paris Saint Germain
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Nantes
1
Stade Brestois 29
1
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Nantes
0
Auxerre
0
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
Nantes
0
Metz
0
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Nantes
2
Strasbourg
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Nantes
0
Angers
1
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
