Toulouse vs Lorient

Toulouse
l d l l w
1 - 0
1.15
xG
0.40
Full Time
Lorient
w d d d w
Emersonn
81'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Toulouse or draw

Toulouse is coming into this match in good shape, having won their last two games. Lorient, on the other hand, is struggling a bit, as they haven't won in their last five matches, with several draws and a couple of losses.

Looking at recent meetings between these two, their games are often very close and tend to have goals, with their last match ending in a draw. Given Toulouse's better recent form and Lorient's difficulties, Toulouse is the more likely team to win this game.

Last Updated: 19 Mar 2026 07:27 AM
starting lineups
 
G. Restes
 
R. Nicolaisen
 
S. Koumbassa
 
M. McKenzie
 
D. Sidibe
 
P. Demba
 
C. Casseres
6.7
 
A. Donnum
 
Y. Gboho
 
J. Russell-Rowe
6.5
 
S. Hidalgo
 
Y. Mvogo
6.9
 
A. Faye
 
N. Adjei
 
D. Yongwa
 
A. Kouassi
 
A. Avom
7.2
 
N. Cadiou
 
T. Le Bris
 
D. Karim
6.3
 
J. Makengo
 
B. Dieng
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Toulouse
Emersonn
' Out: J. Russell-Rowe
64
W. Kamanzi
65' Out: S. Hidalgo
65
Mario Sauer
' Out: D. Sidibe
84
Substitutes for Lorient
A. Tosin
' Out: D. Karim
73
S. Soumano
' Out: B. Dieng
73
P. Katseris
' Out: T. Le Bris
79
statistics
42 Ball Possession 58
1 Goals 0
1.15 Expected Goals 0.40
match facts

REFEREE

G. Paradis

STADIUM

Stadium de Toulouse

LOCATION

Toulouse

  • This is a Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient at the Stadium de Toulouse.
  • The last five head-to-head meetings have produced three draws.
  • Lorient won the most recent two competitive encounters (1-2 and 0-1).
  • Toulouse are unbeaten in their last two matches, both wins.
  • Lorient are on a five-match winless run in the league (D3 L2).
  • Toulouse average 1.52 goals per match this season, slightly higher than Lorient's 1.32.
  • Both teams average over 11 shots per game, with Lorient's median slightly higher at 13.
  • Toulouse typically sees more possession (avg 50.87%) compared to Lorient (47.01%).
  • Lorient's recent matches have been high-scoring, with three of their last five seeing 3+ total goals.
  • The overall prediction model gives a slight edge to Toulouse with a 52% chance of a positive result.
  • Key prediction factors favor Toulouse in head-to-head history (75%) and Poisson distribution (63%).
  • The 'Double Chance: Toulouse or Draw' market is highlighted as the best value bet.
Last Updated: 19 Mar 2026 07:27 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
19 Corners 27
86 Fouls 63
9 Offsides 7
72 Shots 66
29 Shots on Goal 19
15 Yellow Cards 12
0 Red Cards 0
8 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 8
2 Clean Sheets 0
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#9
30
10
11
9
-4
41
#10
30
10
7
13
-1
37