Toulouse vs Lorient
Emersonn
81'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : Toulouse or draw
Toulouse is coming into this match in good shape, having won their last two games. Lorient, on the other hand, is struggling a bit, as they haven't won in their last five matches, with several draws and a couple of losses.
Looking at recent meetings between these two, their games are often very close and tend to have goals, with their last match ending in a draw. Given Toulouse's better recent form and Lorient's difficulties, Toulouse is the more likely team to win this game.
Last Updated: 19 Mar 2026 07:27 AMREFEREE
G. Paradis
STADIUM
Stadium de Toulouse
LOCATION
Toulouse
- This is a Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient at the Stadium de Toulouse.
- The last five head-to-head meetings have produced three draws.
- Lorient won the most recent two competitive encounters (1-2 and 0-1).
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last two matches, both wins.
- Lorient are on a five-match winless run in the league (D3 L2).
- Toulouse average 1.52 goals per match this season, slightly higher than Lorient's 1.32.
- Both teams average over 11 shots per game, with Lorient's median slightly higher at 13.
- Toulouse typically sees more possession (avg 50.87%) compared to Lorient (47.01%).
- Lorient's recent matches have been high-scoring, with three of their last five seeing 3+ total goals.
- The overall prediction model gives a slight edge to Toulouse with a 52% chance of a positive result.
- Key prediction factors favor Toulouse in head-to-head history (75%) and Poisson distribution (63%).
- The 'Double Chance: Toulouse or Draw' market is highlighted as the best value bet.
3/
3/
0
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Toulouse
1
–
0
21 Mar, 2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Lorient
Lorient
1
–
1
09 Nov, 2025
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Toulouse
Lorient
1
–
2
28 Apr, 2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Toulouse
Toulouse
1
–
1
03 Dec, 2023
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Lorient
Lorient
0
–
1
23 Apr, 2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Toulouse
Toulouse
2
–
2
21 Aug, 2022
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Lorient
Total
Per Match
19
Corners
27
3.2
Corners
4.5
86
Fouls
63
14.3
Fouls
10.5
9
Offsides
7
1.5
Offsides
1.2
72
Shots
66
12
Shots
11
29
Shots on Goal
19
4.8
Shots on Goal
3.2
15
Yellow Cards
12
2.5
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
8
Goals
5
1.3
Goals
0.8
5
Goals Conceded
8
0.8
Goals Conceded
1.3
2
Clean Sheets
0
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for TOU
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 APR, 2026
Toulouse
2
Lens
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Toulouse
0
Lille
4
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
03 APR, 2026
Toulouse
1
Paris Saint Germain
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Toulouse
1
Lorient
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Toulouse
4
Metz
3
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Toulouse
0
Marseille
1
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Toulouse
0
Rennes
1
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Toulouse
1
Paris FC
1
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15 FEB, 2026
Toulouse
1
Le Havre
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
01 FEB, 2026
Toulouse
0
Auxerre
0
D
Last matches for LOR
Ligue 1 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Lorient
2
Marseille
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Lorient
0
Lyon
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
Lorient
1
Paris FC
1
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Lorient
0
Toulouse
1
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Lorient
2
Lens
1
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Lorient
1
Lille
1
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
01 MAR, 2026
Lorient
2
Auxerre
2
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
22 FEB, 2026
Lorient
3
Nice
3
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15 FEB, 2026
Lorient
2
Angers
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Lorient
0
Stade Brestois 29
2
L
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