Lorient vs Toulouse
I. Balde
37'
N. Mbamba
39'
C. Tengstedt
48'
Thomas Jørgensen
68'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lorient
Toulouse
|
Probability %
1
x
2
40%
29%
31%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.72
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lorient
Toulouse
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
49%
51%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.72
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lorient
Toulouse
|
HТ/FT Probability %
22%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lorient
Toulouse
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.72
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lorient
Toulouse
|
Probability %
56%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.72
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : draw or Toulouse
Lorient come into this match in really good form, having won most of their recent games, including several wins on the road. Toulouse are also doing well, with a couple of wins and a draw in their last few matches. When these two teams meet, the games are usually tight and not high-scoring — recent meetings ended in narrow wins or low-scoring draws.
This looks like a close match between two teams that are both in decent shape. Lorient have the better recent results, but Toulouse have been solid too, and their head-to-head history is very even. Given how tight these games tend to be, a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Last Updated: 10 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
REFEREE
A. Petit
- Lorient have won three of their last five league matches, including back-to-back victories heading into this clash.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in four of their last five, with two wins and two draws in that run.
- Recent head-to-head form favours Toulouse, who have avoided defeat in four of the last six meetings.
- The last six H2H encounters produced three draws, including two 1-1 stalemates.
- Lorient have won just one of the last six meetings against Toulouse.
- Toulouse average more goals per game (1.36) than Lorient (1.19) this season.
- Toulouse also edge the shot count, averaging 12.90 per match compared to Lorient's 11.77.
- Toulouse enjoy slightly more possession on average (50.44%) than Lorient (47.03%).
- Both sides have kept clean sheets in recent away fixtures, underlining their defensive solidity.
- Prediction models give the draw and Toulouse 45% each, with Lorient winning just 10% of simulations.
- The H2H comparison heavily favours Toulouse at 85%, while form leans toward Lorient at 80%.
- The recommended bet is Double Chance: Draw or Toulouse, priced at 1.51 with Marathonbet.
Total
Per Match
31
Corners
22
71
Fouls
104
9
Offsides
10
76
Shots
85
22
Shots on Goal
33
13
Yellow Cards
15
0
Red Cards
0
7
Goals
10
10
Goals Conceded
7
0
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for LOR 
Ligue 1 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Lorient
2
Toulouse
2
D
Ligue 1 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Lorient
1
Lens
0
W
Ligue 1 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Lorient
1
Estac Troyes
2
L
Ligue 1 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Lorient
0
Nice
0
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Lorient
0
Le Havre
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Lorient
4
Metz
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Lorient
2
Paris Saint Germain
2
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
Lorient
2
Strasbourg
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Lorient
2
Marseille
0
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Lorient
0
Lyon
2
L
Last matches for TOU
Ligue 1 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Toulouse
2
Lorient
2
D
Ligue 1 2026-2027
03 SEP, 2026
Toulouse
0
Lille
1
L
Ligue 1 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
Toulouse
2
Stade Brestois 29
2
D
Ligue 1 2026-2027
22 AUG, 2026
Toulouse
0
Lyon
2
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 MAY, 2026
Toulouse
0
Nantes
0
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Toulouse
2
Lyon
1
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
03 MAY, 2026
Toulouse
2
Strasbourg
1
W
Ligue 1 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Toulouse
2
Monaco
2
D
Ligue 1 2025-2026
17 APR, 2026
Toulouse
2
Lens
3
L
Ligue 1 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Toulouse
0
Lille
4
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.47
1xBet
3.44
1xBet
3.13
1xBet
98.52 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.47
3.44
3.13
98.52%
Pinnacle
2.44
3.38
3.10
97.25%
Marathonbet
2.43
3.38
3.08
96.89%
Betano
2.37
3.30
3.05
94.98%
SBO
2.33
3.26
2.81
91.59%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.05
Pinnacle
2.31
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
96.85 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.05
2.31
3.66
96.71%
Betano
3.05
2.10
3.55
92.10%
Bet365
3.00
2.20
3.50
93.15%
1xBet
Bonus
2.99
2.09
3.64
91.94%
Marathonbet
2.98
2.09
3.68
92.10%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.75
William Hill
2.53
Marathonbet
3.22
Marathonbet
93.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
2.75
2.30
3.10
89.21%
Bet365
2.62
2.50
3.00
89.69%
Marathonbet
2.62
2.53
3.22
91.95%
1xBet
Bonus
2.62
2.53
3.22
91.95%
Betano
2.57
2.50
3.20
90.78%
