Lyon vs Rennes
Double chance : Lyon or draw
Lyon have been a bit up and down lately, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. Rennes have had a similar run, also winning two, losing two, and drawing one, so neither team is in red-hot form right now. When these two sides have met in the past, the matches have often been packed with goals. Looking at their recent head-to-head meetings alone, four of the last five games saw at least three goals scored, with both teams regularly finding the net.
This match looks very tight and hard to call. Both teams are showing similar levels of form, and recent history suggests they are quite evenly matched. A draw seems like a very likely result here, or at the very least, Lyon shouldn't lose this game at home, as Rennes have had the upper hand in recent encounters.
Last Updated: 01 May 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Lyon
Substitutes for Rennes REFEREE
C. Turpin
STADIUM
Groupama Stadium
LOCATION
Décines-Charpieu
- Lyon host Rennes at the Groupama Stadium in a Ligue 1 clash, with the prediction leaning slightly towards a home win or draw at odds of 1.40.
- Recent head-to-head form heavily favors Rennes, who have won the last three meetings, including a 3-1 victory earlier this season.
- Rennes have lost only one of their last six away matches against Lyon, winning three and drawing two during that span.
- Lyon’s recent form is inconsistent, with two losses in their last five home games, including a 3-2 defeat to an unnamed opponent.
- Rennes are coming off a 2-1 away loss, but prior to that they secured a dominant 3-0 victory on the road.
- Lyon average 1.73 goals per match, while Rennes average 1.64, suggesting a potentially tight contest in front of goal.
- Both teams have similar shot averages, with Lyon at 13.80 and Rennes at 13.78 per game, indicating balanced attacking threats.
- Lyon’s average possession is 55.91%, slightly higher than Rennes’ 54.79%, but median stats show Rennes likely to have 52% possession.
- The predicted outcome is tightly contested, with Lyon at 35%, draw at 35%, and Rennes at 30%, making it a near-even affair.
- Rennes hold an edge in form (57% vs 43%) and attack (58% vs 42%), but defense is rated equally at 50% each.
- Rennes also have a higher head-to-head advantage at 60% and a Poisson distribution favoring them at 62% to score first.
- Lyon’s median shot count is 14 compared to Rennes’ 11, suggesting they may create more chances despite the predictions.
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Rennes
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Lyon
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Rennes
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Lyon
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Rennes
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Lyon
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Rennes
Ligue 1 2022-2023
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Ligue 1 2021-2022
Rennes
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Ligue 1 2020-2021
Rennes
Ligue 1 2020-2021
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Lens
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Paris Saint Germain
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Lyon
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0
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Lyon
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Lyon
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Rennes
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1
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Rennes
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Stade Brestois 29
3
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Rennes
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Metz
0
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Rennes
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Lille
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Rennes
4
Nice
0
