Metz vs Monaco

Metz
d d l l d
1 - 2
1.03
xG
1.05
Full Time
Monaco
w w l d d
Jessy Deminguet
49'
F. Balogun
61'
A. Fati
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Monaco

This match between Metz and Monaco is shaping up to be a close contest, but not one that heavily favors the home side. Metz's most recent game was a wild 4-4 draw, showing they can be tough to beat but also struggle to close out games. Monaco, on the other hand, has drawn their last two matches, scoring two goals in each, which shows they are in decent shape without being at their absolute best.

Looking at their recent meetings, goals are almost guaranteed. Their last head-to-head was a high-scoring 5-2 game, and history shows these games typically have plenty of action. Considering Monaco's slightly sharper recent form and Metz's habit of drawing, this looks like a match that Monaco is well-placed to win, but a draw is also a very likely result. The teams seem evenly matched, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the points shared.

Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
starting lineups
 
P. Sy
 
G. Tsitaishvili
 
T. Yegbe
 
S. Sane
 
B. Sarr
 
J. Gbamin
 
B. Stambouli
 
N. Mbala
8.3
 
Jessy Deminguet
 
G. Hein
 
G. Kvilitaia
 
L. Hradecky
6.2
 
C. Mawissa
 
T. Kehrer
 
D. Zakaria
 
S. Adingra
 
P. Pogba
 
L. Camara
 
J. Teze
 
A. Golovin
 
M. Akliouche
6.9
 
F. Balogun
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Metz
B. Munongo
' Out: B. Stambouli
73
G. Abuashvili
' Out: N. Mbala
74
J. Pandore
81' Out: Jessy Deminguet
81
H. Diallo
' Out: G. Kvilitaia
81
Substitutes for Monaco
A. Bamba
' Out: P. Pogba
58
A. Fati
' Out: S. Adingra
58
Mamadou Coulibaly
' Out: L. Camara
58
M. Biereth
' Out: A. Golovin
74
Caio Henrique
84' Out: C. Mawissa
84
statistics
35 Ball Possession 65
1 Goals 2
1.03 Expected Goals 1.05
match facts

REFEREE

R. Buquet

STADIUM

Stade Saint-Symphorien

LOCATION

Longeville-lès-Metz

  • Monaco have historically dominated Metz, winning 5 of their last 7 meetings (L2), including a 5-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season.
  • Metz are winless in their last 4 league matches (D3, L1), drawing their most recent game 4-4.
  • Monaco are on a 3-match winless run in Ligue 1 (D2, L1), with two consecutive 2-2 draws in their last two away games.
  • The prediction model gives Monaco a 65% overall advantage over Metz, with the highest edge coming in recent form (73%).
  • Monaco average 1.79 goals per match this season, while Metz concede more freely at 1.26 goals per game.
  • Both sides have shown vulnerability at the back, with Metz’s last 5 games averaging 2.4 goals against, and Monaco conceding 7 in their last 3 outings.
  • The match is expected to be tight, with a 45% probability for both a draw and an away win each; a home win is seen as unlikely at just 10%.
  • Monaco’s average possession (52.7%) significantly outpaces Metz’s (46.8%), suggesting they should control the midfield battle.
  • Metz have been poor at home historically against Monaco, losing 4 of their last 5 home head-to-heads without winning any (W0, D0, L4 from available data).
  • According to the Poisson distribution model, Monaco are twice as likely as Metz to score more goals (67% vs 33%).
  • The recommended betting advice is "Double Chance: Draw or Monaco", backed by the best available odds of 1.14 at Betano.
  • Metz have been consistent at the back recently with two 0-0 draws in their last 4 home matches, but they face a Monaco side averaging nearly 2 goals per game on the road.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
35 Corners 48
83 Fouls 108
7 Offsides 21
85 Shots 115
24 Shots on Goal 46
10 Yellow Cards 9
1 Red Cards 1
7 Goals 25
25 Goals Conceded 7
0 Clean Sheets 3
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#7
34
16
6
12
6
54
#18
34
3
8
23
-44
17