Metz vs Monaco
Double chance : draw or Monaco
This match between Metz and Monaco is shaping up to be a close contest, but not one that heavily favors the home side. Metz's most recent game was a wild 4-4 draw, showing they can be tough to beat but also struggle to close out games. Monaco, on the other hand, has drawn their last two matches, scoring two goals in each, which shows they are in decent shape without being at their absolute best.
Looking at their recent meetings, goals are almost guaranteed. Their last head-to-head was a high-scoring 5-2 game, and history shows these games typically have plenty of action. Considering Monaco's slightly sharper recent form and Metz's habit of drawing, this looks like a match that Monaco is well-placed to win, but a draw is also a very likely result. The teams seem evenly matched, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the points shared.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
Substitutes for Metz
Substitutes for Monaco REFEREE
R. Buquet
STADIUM
Stade Saint-Symphorien
LOCATION
Longeville-lès-Metz
- Monaco have historically dominated Metz, winning 5 of their last 7 meetings (L2), including a 5-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season.
- Metz are winless in their last 4 league matches (D3, L1), drawing their most recent game 4-4.
- Monaco are on a 3-match winless run in Ligue 1 (D2, L1), with two consecutive 2-2 draws in their last two away games.
- The prediction model gives Monaco a 65% overall advantage over Metz, with the highest edge coming in recent form (73%).
- Monaco average 1.79 goals per match this season, while Metz concede more freely at 1.26 goals per game.
- Both sides have shown vulnerability at the back, with Metz’s last 5 games averaging 2.4 goals against, and Monaco conceding 7 in their last 3 outings.
- The match is expected to be tight, with a 45% probability for both a draw and an away win each; a home win is seen as unlikely at just 10%.
- Monaco’s average possession (52.7%) significantly outpaces Metz’s (46.8%), suggesting they should control the midfield battle.
- Metz have been poor at home historically against Monaco, losing 4 of their last 5 home head-to-heads without winning any (W0, D0, L4 from available data).
- According to the Poisson distribution model, Monaco are twice as likely as Metz to score more goals (67% vs 33%).
- The recommended betting advice is "Double Chance: Draw or Monaco", backed by the best available odds of 1.14 at Betano.
- Metz have been consistent at the back recently with two 0-0 draws in their last 4 home matches, but they face a Monaco side averaging nearly 2 goals per game on the road.
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Monaco
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Metz
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Monaco
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Metz
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Metz
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Monaco
Last matches for MET
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
0
Nice
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
0
Lorient
4
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
1
Monaco
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
4
Le Havre
4
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
1
Paris FC
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
1
Marseille
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
0
Nantes
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
0
Rennes
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
3
Toulouse
4
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Metz
0
Lens
3
Last matches for MON
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
4
Strasbourg
5
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
0
Lille
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Metz
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Toulouse
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Auxerre
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
1
Paris FC
4
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Marseille
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Lyon
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Stade Brestois 29
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Monaco
2
Angers
0
