Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
T. Rothe
73'
L. Burcu
89'
M. Bulter
33'
S. El Mala
61'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
|
Probability %
1
x
2
37%
28%
34%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.87
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
45%
55%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.87
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
|
HТ/FT Probability %
20%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
59%
41%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.87
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.87
|
Score Pred.
2-1
|
Double chance : draw or 1. FC Köln
Union Berlin are heading into this match in poor form, having lost three of their last five games and drawing only one. They've been conceding several goals in most of those defeats, which suggests their defence is struggling. In contrast, 1. FC Köln are in much better shape, with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, and they have been scoring consistently. The recent meetings between these sides have often been tight, with low-scoring results and only one of the last five games seeing more than two goals.
This match looks like it will be a close and cautious affair, with neither side likely to run away with it. Given Union Berlin's poor run and Köln's solid recent form, the away side seem more likely to avoid defeat, and a draw would not be a surprise either.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:23 AM
Substitutes for Union Berlin 
L. Burcu
' Out: A. Schafer
58
Christopher Trimmel
' Out: J. Juranovic
58
A. Ilic
' Out: I. Ansah
58
T. Skarke
' Out: S. Nsoki
67
A. Kral
' Out: Rani Khedira
88
Substitutes for 1. FC Köln
F. Chavez
' Out: L. Waldschmidt
62
J. Thielmann
71' Out: M. Bulter
71
L. Maina
' Out: J. Kaminski
72
Y. Niang
72' Out: S. El Mala
72
Joel Schmied
' Out: Kristoffer Lund
80
REFEREE
D. Schlager
STADIUM
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
LOCATION
Berlin
- The prediction heavily favors a draw or a 1. FC Köln win, with a combined 90% probability (45% draw, 45% away win).
- Union Berlin enters this match in poor form, losing four of their last five games, including a 4-0 thrashing.
- 1. FC Köln are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning one and drawing four.
- In head-to-head history, the home side has won 71% of the encounters according to the analysis, but Köln won the most recent meeting 1-0.
- Both teams average nearly the same number of goals per game, with Union at 1.24 and Köln at 1.29.
- Köln hold a significant advantage in overall form (86% vs 14%) and attacking strength (71% vs 29%) in the comparison.
- Union Berlin's average possession is low at 42%, while Köln enjoy nearly 50% on average.
- The Poisson distribution suggests a very tight contest, with Union having a slight 53% edge over Köln's 47%.
- The best betting value is on the "Double Chance: Draw/Köln" market, with odds of 1.60 at Unibet.
- Both teams average a median of 2 yellow cards per game, suggesting a fairly disciplined match.
- Union Berlin's defensive stats (41%) slightly trail Köln's (59%), indicating potential vulnerability at the back.
- The match kicks off at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, a famously atmospheric but difficult venue for visitors.
6/
3/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
47
Corners
50
144
Fouls
111
13
Offsides
9
113
Shots
115
40
Shots on Goal
39
20
Yellow Cards
20
0
Red Cards
2
15
Goals
9
9
Goals Conceded
15
5
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for UNI 
Bundesliga 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Union Berlin
2
1. FC Köln
2
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
24 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
RB Leipzig
3
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
VfL Wolfsburg
2
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
1. FC Heidenheim
3
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
FC St. Pauli
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
0
Bayern München
4
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
SC Freiburg
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
Werder Bremen
4
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Union Berlin
0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Union Berlin
1
Bayer Leverkusen
0
W
Last matches for FCK
Bundesliga 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
1. FC Köln
2
Union Berlin
2
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
1. FC Köln
1
Bayer Leverkusen
2
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
17 APR, 2026
1. FC Köln
1
FC St. Pauli
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
1. FC Köln
3
Werder Bremen
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
1. FC Köln
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
1. FC Köln
3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
1. FC Köln
1
Hamburger SV
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
1. FC Köln
1
Borussia Dortmund
2
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
27 FEB, 2026
1. FC Köln
0
FC Augsburg
2
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
1. FC Köln
2
1899 Hoffenheim
2
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.73
Marathonbet
3.60
Unknown
2.95
1xBet
101.72 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.73
3.45
2.66
96.89%
Betano
2.67
3.40
2.65
95.60%
Unibet
2.55
3.25
2.75
94.03%
1xBet
Bonus
2.55
3.52
2.95
98.50%
Pinnacle
2.52
3.46
2.93
97.36%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.28
Marathonbet
2.38
Pinnacle
3.48
Pinnacle
98.77 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.28
2.16
3.14
92.05%
Betano
3.15
2.15
3.25
91.72%
Pinnacle
3.07
2.38
3.48
96.78%
Bet365
3.00
2.30
3.25
92.95%
Unibet
3.00
2.25
3.20
91.72%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.91
Marathonbet
2.63
Unibet
3.10
William Hill
95.56 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.91
2.59
2.80
92.01%
Betano
2.85
2.57
2.77
90.83%
Unibet
2.75
2.63
2.90
91.85%
William Hill
2.70
2.40
3.10
90.12%
888Sport
Bonus
2.70
2.40
3.10
90.12%
