Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli

Union Berlin
w l l w l
1 - 1
1.95
xG
0.33
Full Time
FC St. Pauli
w w d l l
A. Ilic
52'
M. Pereira Lage
25'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Union Berlin or draw

Union Berlin have had a mixed run recently, winning two of their last five games but also suffering a heavy defeat. They are playing at home, which can be an advantage. FC St. Pauli have also been inconsistent, with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Looking at their recent meetings, the games have generally been close and low-scoring, with the last three matches all decided by a single goal.

Based on their current form and the tight nature of their recent clashes, this match looks very evenly balanced and could easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 02 Apr 2026 07:23 PM
starting lineups
 
F. Ronnow
 
D. Leite
 
L. Querfeld
 
D. Doekhi
 
D. Kohn
 
Rani Khedira
 
A. Schafer
 
Janik Haberer
8.3
 
A. Ilic
 
Jeong Woo-Yeong
 
O. Burke
 
N. Vasilj
 
K. Mets
 
H. Wahl
 
Adam Dźwigała
8.3
 
M. Pereira Lage
6.9
 
J. Irvine
 
M. Rasmussen
 
A. Pyrka
 
J. Fujita
 
D. Sinani
 
M. Kaars
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Union Berlin
A. Kral
' Out: Jeong Woo-Yeong
73
I. Ansah
' Out: O. Burke
80
T. Rothe
' Out: D. Kohn
80
Substitutes for FC St. Pauli
A. Hountondji
' Out: M. Kaars
60
C. Metcalfe
' Out: J. Fujita
73
A. Ceesay
' Out: M. Rasmussen
89
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
1 Goals 1
1.95 Expected Goals 0.33
match facts

REFEREE

T. Welz

STADIUM

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

LOCATION

Berlin

  • Union Berlin hosts FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
  • Union Berlin's recent form is mixed, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • FC St. Pauli's recent away form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5.
  • In the last head-to-head meeting (Nov 2025), St. Pauli won 1-0.
  • Union Berlin has lost the last two home H2H matches against St. Pauli.
  • St. Pauli averages higher possession (51.4%) than Union Berlin (41.9%) this season.
  • St. Pauli also averages more shots per game (13.64) compared to Union Berlin's 11.80.
  • The match prediction heavily favors Union Berlin not to lose, with a 90% double chance (Home/Draw).
  • Win probability is split 45% for a Union Berlin win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for a St. Pauli win.
  • H2H history gives Union Berlin an 80% comparative advantage over St. Pauli's 20%.
  • Key statistical battle: St. Pauli's stronger attack (57% advantage) vs. Union Berlin's poisson distribution edge (63%).
  • The highest odds for the predicted 'Double Chance: Home/Draw' outcome are 1.30 from 1xBet.
Last Updated: 02 Apr 2026 07:23 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
21 Corners 19
43 Fouls 35
7 Offsides 5
48 Shots 45
18 Shots on Goal 11
7 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
3 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#13
31
8
8
15
-20
32
#16
31
6
8
17
-27
26