FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
S. Becker
48'
A. Ilic
38'
O. Burke
88'
J. Juranovic
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Mainz 05 are in great shape coming into this match. They have won four of their last five games and have only lost once in that run. Union Berlin, on the other hand, have been less convincing, with two draws, two losses, and just one win in their last five matches.
When these two teams meet, it is usually a tight, low-scoring affair. Their recent matches have been close, with draws being a common result, including a 2-2 draw earlier this year. Given Mainz’s strong recent form and the fact that Union Berlin have been struggling, this looks like a game Mainz should be able to handle, though it is likely to stay close.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:25 AMREFEREE
F. Exner
STADIUM
MEWA ARENA
LOCATION
Mainz
- FSV Mainz 05 welcome Union Berlin to the MEWA ARENA on May 10, 2026, in a Bundesliga 2025-2026 clash.
- The prediction suggests a "Double Chance" on Mainz or a draw, with the best odds at 1.24 from 1xBet.
- Mainz have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W-W-D-W-W).
- Union Berlin have been less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games.
- In head-to-head history, Mainz have struggled, losing six of the last 11 meetings, though the most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw.
- Both teams average similar attacking output: Mainz score 1.36 goals per game, while Union Berlin net 1.25.
- Defensively, Mainz hold a slight edge (58% defensive advantage) over Union Berlin (42%) according to pre-match stats.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Mainz (61%) over Union Berlin (39%) for goal-scoring potential.
- Mainz control 45.14% average possession, slightly more than Union Berlin's 42.13%, though median stats see both at 50%.
- Union Berlin commit more fouls on average, with a median of 3 yellow cards compared to Mainz's 1.
- The match is seen as a tight contest, with the prediction percentages almost split: 35% for Mainz, 35% for a draw, and 30% for Union Berlin.
- Overall, Mainz's recent form and home advantage give them a narrow 52.8% total edge over Union Berlin's 47.3%.
1/
4/
7
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
3
10 May, 2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
2
–
2
10 Jan, 2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
Bundesliga 2025-2026
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
–
1
19 Jan, 2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
1
24 Aug, 2024
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
1
07 Feb, 2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
4
–
1
20 Aug, 2023
Bundesliga 2023-2024
Bundesliga 2023-2024
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
–
1
04 Feb, 2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
0
–
0
14 Aug, 2022
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Bundesliga 2022-2023
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
3
–
1
26 Feb, 2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
2
03 Oct, 2021
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Bundesliga 2021-2022
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
1
–
0
06 Feb, 2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
4
–
0
02 Oct, 2020
Bundesliga 2020-2021
Bundesliga 2020-2021
FSV Mainz 05
Total
Per Match
49
Corners
48
4.1
Corners
4
143
Fouls
144
11.9
Fouls
12
14
Offsides
17
1.2
Offsides
1.4
137
Shots
151
11.4
Shots
12.6
44
Shots on Goal
55
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.6
24
Yellow Cards
27
2
Yellow Cards
2.3
2
Red Cards
1
0.2
Red Cards
0.1
11
Goals
24
0.9
Goals
2
24
Goals Conceded
11
2
Goals Conceded
0.9
2
Clean Sheets
2
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.2
Last matches for FSV
Bundesliga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
1. FC Heidenheim
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Union Berlin
3
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
03 MAY, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
FC St. Pauli
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3
Bayern München
4
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
0
SC Freiburg
1
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
1899 Hoffenheim
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
Werder Bremen
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
FSV Mainz 05
2
VfB Stuttgart
2
D
Last matches for UNI
Bundesliga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
Union Berlin
4
FC Augsburg
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
Union Berlin
3
FSV Mainz 05
1
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
02 MAY, 2026
Union Berlin
2
1. FC Köln
2
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
24 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
RB Leipzig
3
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
VfL Wolfsburg
2
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
1. FC Heidenheim
3
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
FC St. Pauli
1
D
Bundesliga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
0
Bayern München
4
L
Bundesliga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
SC Freiburg
0
W
Bundesliga 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Union Berlin
1
Werder Bremen
4
L
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PL
W
D
L
GD
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