FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05
w l d l w
1 - 3
1.50
xG
2.77
Full Time
Union Berlin
d l l l d
S. Becker
48'
A. Ilic
38'
O. Burke
88'
J. Juranovic
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw

Mainz 05 are in great shape coming into this match. They have won four of their last five games and have only lost once in that run. Union Berlin, on the other hand, have been less convincing, with two draws, two losses, and just one win in their last five matches.

When these two teams meet, it is usually a tight, low-scoring affair. Their recent matches have been close, with draws being a common result, including a 2-2 draw earlier this year. Given Mainz’s strong recent form and the fact that Union Berlin have been struggling, this looks like a game Mainz should be able to handle, though it is likely to stay close.

Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:25 AM
starting lineups
 
R. Zentner
 
D. Kohr
 
S. Posch
 
D. da Costa
 
P. Mwene
 
N. Amiri
 
K. Sano
 
Paul Nebel
6.9
 
A. Caci
8.3
 
S. Becker
 
P. Tietz
 
C. Klaus
 
T. Rothe
 
D. Leite
 
D. Doekhi
 
Christopher Trimmel
 
A. Kemlein
 
Rani Khedira
 
L. Burcu
 
I. Ansah
7.7
 
O. Burke
7.2
 
A. Ilic
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for FSV Mainz 05
70
81
81' Out: S. Becker
81
Substitutes for Union Berlin
' Out: T. Rothe
60
60
88' Out: O. Burke
88
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
1 Goals 3
1.50 Expected Goals 2.77
match facts

REFEREE

F. Exner

STADIUM

MEWA ARENA

LOCATION

Mainz

  • FSV Mainz 05 welcome Union Berlin to the MEWA ARENA on May 10, 2026, in a Bundesliga 2025-2026 clash.
  • The prediction suggests a "Double Chance" on Mainz or a draw, with the best odds at 1.24 from 1xBet.
  • Mainz have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (W-W-D-W-W).
  • Union Berlin have been less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games.
  • In head-to-head history, Mainz have struggled, losing six of the last 11 meetings, though the most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • Both teams average similar attacking output: Mainz score 1.36 goals per game, while Union Berlin net 1.25.
  • Defensively, Mainz hold a slight edge (58% defensive advantage) over Union Berlin (42%) according to pre-match stats.
  • The Poisson distribution heavily favors Mainz (61%) over Union Berlin (39%) for goal-scoring potential.
  • Mainz control 45.14% average possession, slightly more than Union Berlin's 42.13%, though median stats see both at 50%.
  • Union Berlin commit more fouls on average, with a median of 3 yellow cards compared to Mainz's 1.
  • The match is seen as a tight contest, with the prediction percentages almost split: 35% for Mainz, 35% for a draw, and 30% for Union Berlin.
  • Overall, Mainz's recent form and home advantage give them a narrow 52.8% total edge over Union Berlin's 47.3%.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 07:25 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
49 Corners 48
143 Fouls 144
14 Offsides 17
137 Shots 151
44 Shots on Goal 55
24 Yellow Cards 27
2 Red Cards 1
11 Goals 24
24 Goals Conceded 11
2 Clean Sheets 2
bundesliga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#10
34
10
10
14
-9
40
#11
34
10
9
15
-14
39