Real Madrid vs Athletic Club

Real Madrid
d w l w w
4 - 2
1.85
xG
0.86
Full Time
Athletic Club
l w l l d
Gonzalo García
12'
J. Bellingham
41'
K. Mbappé
51'
Brahim Díaz
88'
G. Guruzeta
45'+1'
Izeta
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

Real Madrid are playing at home at the Santiago Bernabéu, and they come into this match with a mixed recent form, having won two, lost two, and drawn one of their last five games. Athletic Club, meanwhile, have had an inconsistent run too, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five, including a recent 1-1 draw. Looking at their head-to-head meetings, things have been very close, with both sides trading wins over the last few years, and many of those games have seen more than two goals, like the 3-1 and 2-1 scorelines.

This match looks like it will be tight and open, with both teams capable of scoring. Real Madrid have the home advantage and a slight edge in overall quality, but Athletic Club have shown they can cause problems. Given the recent form and the close history between these two, this match will likely end in a draw.

Last Updated: 21 May 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
 
T. Courtois
 
Álvaro Carreras
 
D. Alaba
 
Raúl Asencio
 
Dani Carvajal
7.5
 
T. Pitarch
 
F. Valverde
7.6
 
J. Bellingham
 
F. Mastantuono
8
 
K. Mbappé
7.5
 
Gonzalo García
 
A. Padilla
 
A. Boiro
 
A. Paredes
 
Y. Alvarez
 
D. Vivian
 
M. Jauregizar
 
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
 
R. Navarro
 
U. Gomez
 
I. Williams
7.2
 
G. Guruzeta
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Real Madrid
Dean Huijsen
' Out: D. Alaba
70
Dani Ceballos
74' Out: J. Bellingham
74
A. Güler
74' Out: Gonzalo García
74
Brahim Díaz
' Out: F. Mastantuono
74
M. Serrano
' Out: Dani Carvajal
84
Substitutes for Athletic Club
A. Gorosabel
' Out: Y. Alvarez
46
I. Lekue
' Out: I. Ruiz de Galarreta
60
A. Rego
' Out: U. Gomez
60
Izeta
74' Out: G. Guruzeta
74
M. Vesga
' Out: M. Jauregizar
85
statistics
74 Ball Possession 26
4 Goals 2
1.85 Expected Goals 0.86
match facts

REFEREE

J. Martinez Munuera

STADIUM

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

LOCATION

Madrid

  • Real Madrid and Athletic Club meet in a La Liga fixture at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
  • Real Madrid average 2.04 goals per game this season, significantly outperforming Athletic Club’s 1.28.
  • Los Blancos dominate possession with an average of 58.19%, compared to Athletic’s 49.17%.
  • Despite their form dip, the prediction model gives Real Madrid a 72.2% overall advantage over Athletic.
  • The head-to-head history heavily favors Real Madrid, with an 80% advantage per the stats.
  • Real Madrid have lost two of their last three matches, while Athletic have drawn and lost in their last two.
  • In their last five head-to-head clashes, Real Madrid have won three and lost two.
  • Athletic Club have failed to win in four of their last five away games in La Liga.
  • The betting advice recommends a "Double Chance" on Real Madrid or a draw, available at odds of 1.15.
  • Real Madrid's defensive stats are rated 75% better than Athletic's, per the prediction comparison.
  • Both teams are tied on median yellow cards (2 each) and possession (50% each).
  • Real Madrid’s attacking threat is rated at 46%, slightly below Athletic's 54% in the comparison.
Last Updated: 21 May 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
65 Corners 67
96 Fouls 182
28 Offsides 19
158 Shots 127
67 Shots on Goal 35
19 Yellow Cards 26
0 Red Cards 2
23 Goals 7
7 Goals Conceded 23
7 Clean Sheets 0
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
38
27
5
6
42
86
#12
38
13
6
19
-15
45