Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
w l l d l
2 - 1
1.67
xG
1.45
Full Time
Alaves
l d w d d
K. Mbappé
30'
Vinícius Júnior
50'
T. Martinez
90'+3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Probability %
1 x 2
80%
13%
7%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.62
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
30%
70%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.62
Score Pred.
3-0
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
HТ/FT Probability %
53%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Probability %
Yes/ No
52%
48%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.62
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Alaves Alaves
Probability %
52%
Pred
Away -2
Avg. Goal
3.62
Score Pred.
3-0

Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals

Real Madrid are playing at home but have been struggling a bit lately, losing three of their last five matches. Alaves, on the other hand, have been hard to beat recently, drawing most of their games and showing they can score goals.

Looking at their past meetings, these games often have goals, with some high-scoring results. Given Real Madrid's recent form at home and Alaves's resilience, this match looks like it could be very close and end in a draw.

Last Updated: 19 Apr 2026 07:21 PM
starting lineups
 
A. Lunin
 
Álvaro Carreras
 
Dean Huijsen
 
Éder Militão
 
T. Alexander-Arnold
 
A. Güler
6.9
 
A. Tchouaméni
 
J. Bellingham
 
F. Valverde
9.5
 
Vinícius Júnior
8.2
 
K. Mbappé
 
A. Sivera
 
Y. Lekhedim
 
V. Parada
 
N. Tenaglia
 
Jonny Otto
6.2
 
Ángel Pérez
 
D. Suarez
 
A. Blanco
 
J. Guridi
 
L. Boye
6.3
 
T. Martinez
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Real Madrid
A. Rüdiger
' Out: Éder Militão
45
Brahim Díaz
' Out: J. Bellingham
57
F. Mastantuono
' Out: A. Güler
57
E. Camavinga
63' Out: A. Tchouaméni
63
Dani Carvajal
' Out: T. Alexander-Arnold
63
Substitutes for Alaves
C. Alena
' Out: J. Guridi
58
P. Ibanez
' Out: D. Suarez
58
Calebe
' Out: Y. Lekhedim
66
I. Diabate
' Out: L. Boye
66
A. Guevara
' Out: A. Blanco
75
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
2 Goals 1
1.67 Expected Goals 1.45
match facts

REFEREE

J. Martinez Munuera

STADIUM

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

LOCATION

Madrid

  • Real Madrid host Alaves at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga.
  • Real Madrid have won 6 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
  • Alaves's last win at the Bernabéu was a 3-2 victory in September 2024.
  • Real Madrid's recent form is mixed, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Alaves are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 1 win.
  • Real Madrid average 2.01 goals per game this season, compared to Alaves's 0.96.
  • Real Madrid dominate possession, averaging 58.2% to Alaves's 44.6%.
  • Median statistics show Real Madrid typically have more shots (13 vs 11) and possession (56% vs 44%).
  • Real Madrid receive more yellow cards on average (3 vs 1 per match).
  • The match prediction heavily favors Real Madrid not to lose, with a 90% combined chance for home win or draw.
  • Head-to-head history is the most lopsided predictive factor, rated 100% in Real Madrid's favor.
  • The highest odds for a 'Double Chance: Home/Draw' outcome are 1.07 from Betano.
Last Updated: 19 Apr 2026 07:21 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
58 Corners 37
96 Fouls 142
18 Offsides 12
161 Shots 118
69 Shots on Goal 43
20 Yellow Cards 22
2 Red Cards 1
26 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 26
4 Clean Sheets 0
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
33
23
5
5
37
74
#16
33
9
9
15
-11
36
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

1.26
1xBet
7.50
Unibet
15.00
Unibet
100.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.26
6.91
12.90
98.44%
Betano Betano Logo
1.25
7.00
12.00
97.45%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.24
6.80
12.75
96.90%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.24
6.93
11.74
96.53%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
1.23
7.20
12.00
96.60%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.60
Pinnacle
3.33
Pinnacle
9.50
Unibet
97.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
1.60
3.33
8.39
95.74%
Betano Betano Logo
1.60
2.95
7.90
91.70%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
1.58
2.93
8.80
91.92%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
1.58
2.93
8.80
91.92%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
1.57
2.85
8.50
90.46%

HIGHEST ODDS

1.50
William Hill
4.00
Unibet
9.00
Unibet
97.30 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill William Hill Logo
1.50
3.30
8.00
91.35%
888Sport 888Sport Logo
Bonus
1.50
3.30
8.00
91.35%
Betano Betano Logo
1.47
3.60
7.30
91.32%
Bet365 Bet365 Logo
1.44
3.25
8.00
88.72%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
1.42
3.45
8.00
89.36%