Real Madrid vs Alaves
K. Mbappé
30'
Vinícius Júnior
50'
T. Martinez
90'+3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid
Alaves
|
Probability %
1
x
2
80%
13%
7%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.62
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid
Alaves
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
30%
70%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.62
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid
Alaves
|
HТ/FT Probability %
53%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid
Alaves
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
52%
48%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.62
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid
Alaves
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Away -2
|
Avg. Goal
3.62
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Combo Double chance : Real Madrid or draw and +1.5 goals
Real Madrid are playing at home but have been struggling a bit lately, losing three of their last five matches. Alaves, on the other hand, have been hard to beat recently, drawing most of their games and showing they can score goals.
Looking at their past meetings, these games often have goals, with some high-scoring results. Given Real Madrid's recent form at home and Alaves's resilience, this match looks like it could be very close and end in a draw.
Last Updated: 19 Apr 2026 07:21 PM6.9
9.5
8.2
6.2
6.3
Substitutes for Real Madrid A. Rüdiger
' Out: Éder Militão
45
Brahim Díaz
' Out: J. Bellingham
57
F. Mastantuono
' Out: A. Güler
57
E. Camavinga
63' Out: A. Tchouaméni
63
Dani Carvajal
' Out: T. Alexander-Arnold
63
Substitutes for Alaves C. Alena
' Out: J. Guridi
58
P. Ibanez
' Out: D. Suarez
58
Calebe
' Out: Y. Lekhedim
66
I. Diabate
' Out: L. Boye
66
A. Guevara
' Out: A. Blanco
75
REFEREE
J. Martinez Munuera
STADIUM
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
LOCATION
Madrid
- Real Madrid host Alaves at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in La Liga.
- Real Madrid have won 6 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings.
- Alaves's last win at the Bernabéu was a 3-2 victory in September 2024.
- Real Madrid's recent form is mixed, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
- Alaves are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 1 win.
- Real Madrid average 2.01 goals per game this season, compared to Alaves's 0.96.
- Real Madrid dominate possession, averaging 58.2% to Alaves's 44.6%.
- Median statistics show Real Madrid typically have more shots (13 vs 11) and possession (56% vs 44%).
- Real Madrid receive more yellow cards on average (3 vs 1 per match).
- The match prediction heavily favors Real Madrid not to lose, with a 90% combined chance for home win or draw.
- Head-to-head history is the most lopsided predictive factor, rated 100% in Real Madrid's favor.
- The highest odds for a 'Double Chance: Home/Draw' outcome are 1.07 from Betano.
9/
0/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Real Madrid
2
–
1
21 Apr, 2026
La Liga 2025-2026
La Liga 2025-2026
Alaves
Alaves
1
–
2
14 Dec, 2025
La Liga 2025-2026
La Liga 2025-2026
Real Madrid
Alaves
0
–
1
13 Apr, 2025
La Liga 2024-2025
La Liga 2024-2025
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
3
–
2
24 Sep, 2024
La Liga 2024-2025
La Liga 2024-2025
Alaves
Real Madrid
5
–
0
14 May, 2024
La Liga 2023-2024
La Liga 2023-2024
Alaves
Alaves
0
–
1
21 Dec, 2023
La Liga 2023-2024
La Liga 2023-2024
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
3
–
0
19 Feb, 2022
La Liga 2021-2022
La Liga 2021-2022
Alaves
Alaves
1
–
4
14 Aug, 2021
La Liga 2021-2022
La Liga 2021-2022
Real Madrid
Alaves
1
–
4
23 Jan, 2021
La Liga 2020-2021
La Liga 2020-2021
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1
–
2
28 Nov, 2020
La Liga 2020-2021
La Liga 2020-2021
Alaves
Total
Per Match
58
Corners
37
5.8
Corners
3.7
96
Fouls
142
9.6
Fouls
14.2
18
Offsides
12
1.8
Offsides
1.2
161
Shots
118
16.1
Shots
11.8
69
Shots on Goal
43
6.9
Shots on Goal
4.3
20
Yellow Cards
22
2
Yellow Cards
2.2
2
Red Cards
1
0.2
Red Cards
0.1
26
Goals
8
2.6
Goals
0.8
8
Goals Conceded
26
0.8
Goals Conceded
2.6
4
Clean Sheets
0
0.4
Clean Sheets
0
Last matches for REA
La Liga 2025-2026
24 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
1
Real Betis
1
D
La Liga 2025-2026
21 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
2
Alaves
1
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
15 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
3
Bayern München
4
L
La Liga 2025-2026
10 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
1
Girona
1
D
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
07 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
1
Bayern München
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Real Madrid
1
Mallorca
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Real Madrid
3
Atletico Madrid
2
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
17 MAR, 2026
Real Madrid
2
Manchester City
1
W
La Liga 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Real Madrid
4
Elche
1
W
La Liga 2025-2026
06 MAR, 2026
Real Madrid
2
Celta Vigo
1
W
Last matches for ALA
La Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Alaves
2
Mallorca
1
W
La Liga 2025-2026
21 APR, 2026
Alaves
1
Real Madrid
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Alaves
3
Real Sociedad
3
D
La Liga 2025-2026
05 APR, 2026
Alaves
2
Osasuna
2
D
La Liga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Alaves
4
Celta Vigo
3
W
La Liga 2025-2026
13 MAR, 2026
Alaves
1
Villarreal
1
D
La Liga 2025-2026
08 MAR, 2026
Alaves
2
Valencia
3
L
La Liga 2025-2026
27 FEB, 2026
Alaves
0
Levante
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
23 FEB, 2026
Alaves
2
Girona
2
D
La Liga 2025-2026
08 FEB, 2026
Alaves
0
Getafe
2
L
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
1.26
1xBet
7.50
Unibet
15.00
Unibet
100.64 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.26
6.91
12.90
98.44%
Betano
1.25
7.00
12.00
97.45%
Marathonbet
1.24
6.80
12.75
96.90%
Pinnacle
1.24
6.93
11.74
96.53%
Dafabet
1.23
7.20
12.00
96.60%
William Hill
1.22
6.00
11.00
92.83%
SBO
1.22
6.66
10.12
93.58%
888Sport
Bonus
1.22
6.00
11.00
92.83%
10Bet
1.21
6.60
11.00
93.56%
Bet365
1.20
6.00
9.50
90.48%
Unknown
1.20
7.00
13.00
94.96%
Betfair
1.18
7.00
12.00
93.14%
Unibet
1.17
7.50
15.00
94.81%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.60
Pinnacle
3.33
Pinnacle
9.50
Unibet
97.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.60
3.33
8.39
95.74%
Betano
1.60
2.95
7.90
91.70%
Marathonbet
1.58
2.93
8.80
91.92%
1xBet
Bonus
1.58
2.93
8.80
91.92%
10Bet
1.57
2.85
8.50
90.46%
William Hill
1.57
3.00
8.00
91.30%
Bet365
1.57
3.00
9.00
92.47%
888Sport
Bonus
1.57
2.88
9.00
91.30%
Unknown
1.55
2.90
9.00
90.82%
SBO
1.53
3.04
8.10
90.42%
Betfair
1.50
3.10
8.50
90.34%
Unibet
1.49
3.25
9.50
92.24%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.50
William Hill
4.00
Unibet
9.00
Unibet
97.30 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
William Hill
1.50
3.30
8.00
91.35%
888Sport
Bonus
1.50
3.30
8.00
91.35%
Betano
1.47
3.60
7.30
91.32%
Bet365
1.44
3.25
8.00
88.72%
10Bet
1.42
3.45
8.00
89.36%
Marathonbet
1.41
3.84
8.50
91.97%
1xBet
Bonus
1.41
3.84
8.50
91.97%
Unibet
1.38
4.00
9.00
92.10%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.40
Bet365
3.28
Pinnacle
98.12 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.40
3.00
10.63%
Betano
1.36
3.20
6.39%
10Bet
1.35
3.10
18.83%
Unibet
1.35
3.10
7.89%
Pinnacle
1.35
3.28
9.60%
Unknown
1.34
2.91
6.58%
1xBet
Bonus
1.33
3.10
4.07%
Marathonbet
1.32
3.14
5.15%
Betfair
1.30
3.20
11.64%
888Sport
Bonus
1.30
3.10
15.61%
SBO
-
-
-
-
16.05%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.33
Bet365
1.25
Betano
97.00 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
4.33
1.20
18.93%
Unknown
4.33
1.20
10.27%
Unibet
4.10
1.19
11.57%
1xBet
Bonus
4.05
1.22
7.88%
William Hill
4.00
1.22
23.28%
Betfair
4.00
1.20
23.10%
Marathonbet
3.94
1.23
18.92%
Betano
3.85
1.25
9.49%
10Bet
3.80
1.22
30.81%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
15.89%
SBO
-
-
-
-
23.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.00
Bet365
1.49
Marathonbet
99.55 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Bet365
3.00
1.36
18.90%
William Hill
2.90
1.36
18.83%
888Sport
Bonus
2.80
1.40
18.91%
Unibet
2.65
1.38
22.71%
1xBet
Bonus
2.63
1.48
7.87%
Marathonbet
2.60
1.49
15.74%
Betano
2.60
1.47
31.45%
10Bet
2.55
1.45
30.83%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.10
Bet365
7.70
Marathonbet
96.25 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.10
7.00
5.90%
Marathonbet
1.04
7.70
5.12%
1xBet
Bonus
1.04
7.70
5.13%
10Bet
-
-
-
-
31.12%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
18.38%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
30.95%
Unknown
-
-
-
-
7.05%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
8.79%
SBO
-
-
-
-
19.41%
Betano
-
-
-
-
10.69%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.12
Bet365
6.00
Bet365
94.38 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.12
6.00
8.59%
Marathonbet
1.08
5.80
10.19%
1xBet
Bonus
1.08
5.80
10.19%
10Bet
-
-
-
-
93.31%
Unknown
-
-
-
-
18.34%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.23%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.03%
Betano
-
-
-
-
19.03%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.07
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
91.36 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.07
6.20
10.19%
1xBet
Bonus
1.07
6.25
10.20%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.93
Unibet
2.05
William Hill
99.41 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Unibet
1.93
1.80
93.14%
Bet365
1.91
1.91
95.50%
Betfair
1.80
1.95
93.60%
1xBet
Bonus
1.76
1.97
92.95%
10Bet
1.75
2.00
93.33%
William Hill
1.75
2.05
94.41%
Marathonbet
1.75
1.96
92.45%
Unknown
1.75
1.95
92.23%
888Sport
Bonus
1.75
2.05
94.41%
Betano
1.72
2.05
93.53%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.07
Betano
1.14
1xBet
4.70
Unibet
49.39 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.07
1.11
4.20
48.23%
Unknown
1.06
1.04
3.90
46.27%
William Hill
1.05
1.12
4.00
47.73%
Bet365
1.05
1.11
4.00
47.54%
888Sport
Bonus
1.05
1.13
4.00
47.91%
10Bet
1.04
1.10
4.33
47.58%
Marathonbet
1.04
1.12
4.35
47.98%
SBO
1.04
1.09
4.17
47.20%
1xBet
Bonus
1.04
1.14
4.30
48.28%
Betfair
1.03
1.08
4.50
47.19%
Unibet
1.02
1.08
4.70
47.19%
