Atletico-MG vs Flamengo

Atletico-MG
l w w l l
0 - 4
0.88
xG
2.16
Full Time
Flamengo
d l w w w
Pedro
8'
G. Plata
31'
G. de Arrascaeta
45'+1'
Pedro
84'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
Probability %
1 x 2
23%
29%
48%
Pred
2
Avg. Goal
2.47
Score Pred.
0-2
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
55%
45%
Pred
Under
Avg. Goal
2.47
Score Pred.
0-2
HТ/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
HТ/FT Probability %
26%
HT Pred.
2
FT Pred.
2
Score Pred.
0-2
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
Probability %
Yes/ No
50%
50%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
2.47
Score Pred.
0-2
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Flamengo Flamengo
Probability %
52%
Pred
Home -0.5
Avg. Goal
2.47
Score Pred.
0-2

Double chance : draw or Flamengo

Atletico-MG are coming into this match in poor shape, having lost their last three games and four of their last five. They have been struggling to score and are leaking goals, which is a worrying sign. Flamengo have also had a mixed run recently, with a win, a draw, and three losses in their last five away games, so they are not in top form either.

Historically, these two teams have traded wins and losses, with both sides having periods of dominance. Their recent meetings have often been close and low-scoring, with two of the last three matches ending without many goals. This makes the match look like a tight contest where neither side is a clear favorite, and it is hard to pick a clear winner. It feels like a game that could go either way, possibly ending in a draw.

Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
Everson
 
Vitor Hugo
 
Ruan Tressoldi
 
Natanael
 
Cuello
 
Maycon
 
Bernard
 
Victor Hugo
 
A. Rossi
 
Alex Sandro
 
Léo Pereira
 
Léo Ortiz
7.2
 
G. Varela
 
Evertton Araújo
 
Jorginho
7.7
 
Samuel Lino
8
 
G. de Arrascaeta
7.5
 
G. Plata
7.5
 
Pedro
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Atletico-MG
A. Minda
' Out: Bernard
46
T. Pérez
' Out:
46
Gustavo Scarpa
' Out: Maycon
74
Dudu
' Out: Cuello
74
Substitutes for Flamengo
Luiz Araújo
72' Out: Samuel Lino
72
Saúl
' Out: Jorginho
73
Bruno Henrique
83' Out: G. de Arrascaeta
83
Ayrton Lucas
' Out: Alex Sandro
83
Vitao
' Out: Léo Pereira
86
statistics
51 Ball Possession 49
0 Goals 4
0.88 Expected Goals 2.16
match facts

REFEREE

R. Rodrigo Klein

  • Flamengo have won four of their last five matches against Atletico-MG, with their most recent victory coming via a 2-4 scoreline in July 2024.
  • The last three head-to-head meetings have all been decided by a margin of at least two goals.
  • Atletico-MG are in poor form, having lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, including three consecutive defeats.
  • Flamengo have also struggled recently, losing three of their last five games, but they did secure a 1-2 away win in their most recent road trip.
  • Neither side has kept a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, suggesting both teams could score here.
  • Flamengo average 1.60 goals per game this season, slightly higher than Atletico-MG's 1.42 average.
  • Both teams boast similar shot volume, with Flamengo averaging 14.56 shots per game compared to Atletico-MG's 14.51.
  • Flamengo hold a slight edge in possession, averaging 57.92% versus Atletico-MG's 56.94%.
  • The prediction model strongly favors Flamengo or a draw, giving them a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat.
  • Flamengo have a clear advantage in current form (63% vs 38%) and attacking metrics (57% vs 43%).
  • The most recommended betting market is "Double Chance: Draw or Flamengo," offered at odds of 1.29 by William Hill.
  • Historical head-to-head stats are evenly split at 50% each, but recent results heavily favor Flamengo.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
56 Corners 56
175 Fouls 146
16 Offsides 13
152 Shots 143
46 Shots on Goal 52
24 Yellow Cards 29
1 Red Cards 0
15 Goals 13
13 Goals Conceded 15
5 Clean Sheets 4
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#2
13
8
3
2
14
27
#17
13
4
2
7
-5
14
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

HIGHEST ODDS

4.20
Betfair
3.42
1xBet
2.05
Unibet
98.20 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Betfair Betfair Logo
4.20
3.00
1.95
92.23%
Betano Betano Logo
4.10
3.40
2.05
97.48%
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
4.02
3.41
2.03
96.65%
Dafabet Dafabet Logo
3.95
3.40
2.03
96.16%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.91
3.42
2.03
96.08%

HIGHEST ODDS

4.66
Pinnacle
2.21
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
97.02 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle Pinnacle Logo
4.66
2.21
2.69
96.26%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
4.50
2.05
2.50
90.09%
Betfair Betfair Logo
4.50
2.10
2.40
89.68%
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
4.50
2.04
2.55
90.53%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
4.45
2.04
2.57
90.58%

HIGHEST ODDS

3.92
1xBet
2.43
Unibet
2.45
William Hill
93.04 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet 1xBet Logo
Bonus
3.92
2.38
2.33
90.54%
Betano Betano Logo
3.90
2.32
2.40
90.57%
Marathonbet Marathonbet Logo
3.88
2.38
2.34
90.48%
Unibet Unibet Logo
3.80
2.43
2.43
92.06%
10Bet 10Bet Logo
3.75
2.35
2.35
89.47%