Atletico-MG vs Vitoria

Atletico-MG
d w d w d
2 - 1
1.46
xG
0.64
Full Time
Vitoria
l l l w l
T. Borbas
25'
Reinier
63'
Erick
87'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG are having a tough time at the moment. They have not won any of their last four games, with three draws and a heavy defeat. They are struggling to find consistent results and look short of confidence. Vitoria, on the other hand, have been more inconsistent, but they did pick up a very convincing away win recently, which shows they can be dangerous on the road.

When these two teams have met before, the games have been very open and full of goals, with both teams scoring regularly. However, given Atletico-MG's poor run of form, this match looks quite even, but Vitoria's recent away victory gives them a slight edge. It is likely to be a close and competitive game, with Vitoria having a good chance of coming away with a win.

Last Updated: 27 Aug 2026 07:20 PM
starting lineups
 
Gabriel Delfim
 
Natanael
 
Alexsander
 
T. Pérez
 
A. Minda
8.6
 
Reinier
7.3
 
M. Cisse
7
 
T. Borbas
 
Lucas Arcanjo
 
Jamerson
 
Luan Candido
 
Caca
 
E. Britez
 
Emmanuel Martinez
6
 
D. Tarzia
 
Caíque
 
T. Pochettino
 
Marinho
 
Alex Bruno
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Atletico-MG
' Out: A. Minda
75
90' Out: Reinier
90
Substitutes for Vitoria
69
69
' Out: Caíque
81
statistics
61 Ball Possession 39
2 Goals 1
1.46 Expected Goals 0.64
match facts

REFEREE

E. Alves Batista

  • Atletico-MG are strong favorites with a 45% win probability, while Vitoria have just a 10% chance of victory.
  • Head-to-head form heavily favors Vitoria, who have won their last two meetings against Atletico-MG.
  • In their most recent encounter (March 2026), Vitoria secured a convincing 2-0 victory away from home.
  • Atletico-MG have drawn three of their last five matches, including two consecutive 0-0 stalemates.
  • Vitoria's recent form is inconsistent, alternating wins and losses over their last four league games.
  • Vitoria claimed an impressive 4-0 away win in late July, but followed it with two losses on the road.
  • Atletico-MG edge their opponents in attacking output, averaging 1.47 goals per game compared to Vitoria's 1.09.
  • Possession is expected to be key: Atletico-MG average 56.4% possession, while Vitoria hold just 49.1% on average.
  • Both teams average a similar number of shots per game, with Atletico-MG at 14.42 and Vitoria at 13.45.
  • Atletico-MG dominate the attacking comparison with an 89% rating versus Vitoria's 11%.
  • Vitoria hold a significant edge in head-to-head comparison (85%) and goals-based predictions (65%).
  • The bookies' best odds for an Atletico-MG home win are 1.78 with Betano, reflecting their status as favorites.
Last Updated: 27 Aug 2026 07:20 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
20 Corners 16
51 Fouls 60
6 Offsides 5
63 Shots 44
21 Shots on Goal 16
8 Yellow Cards 5
1 Red Cards 0
6 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 6
0 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#7
28
12
7
9
5
43
#12
29
10
6
13
-10
36