Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
|
Probability %
1
x
2
44%
28%
28%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
2.68
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
50%
50%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.68
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
|
HТ/FT Probability %
26%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
55%
45%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.68
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
|
Probability %
61%
|
Pred
Home +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.68
|
Score Pred.
2-0
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Bahia and +1.5 goals
Atletico Paranaense have had a wobbly run lately, with a couple of defeats and a few draws, though they did manage one win. Bahia have been up and down too, winning two and losing two of their last five. When these two have met recently, the games have often produced a fair number of goals, and some of them were quite one-sided.
This one looks tight and hard to call. Both teams have similar recent form, and their meetings tend to be close or produce goals at both ends. Bahia might just edge it or it could easily end in a draw, but don't expect a quiet, defensive match — there should be goals.
Last Updated: 17 Sep 2026 07:27 AMWHO WILL WIN?
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?
0%
0%
Total votes: 0
REFEREE
A. Daronco
STADIUM
Arena da Baixada
LOCATION
Curitiba, Paraná
- Serie A 2026-2027 clash: Atletico Paranaense host Bahia at an unconfirmed venue.
- Both teams have averaged 1.33 goals per game this season.
- Bahia edge possession slightly: 50.64% vs Atletico Paranaense's 48.17%.
- Atletico Paranaense's last five: three draws, one win, one loss.
- Bahia's last five: two wins, two losses, one draw.
- Most recent H2H (Apr 2026): Bahia won 3-0.
- Last five H2H meetings: two Bahia wins, two draws, one Paranaense win.
- Prediction gives draw and Bahia 45% each, with Paranaense only 10%.
- Form comparison favours Bahia 68% to 32%.
- Poisson distribution model leans Atletico Paranaense 62% to 38%.
- Recommended bet: Double Chance Draw/Away plus over 1.5 goals at odds 1.72.
- Median shots: Atletico Paranaense 16, Bahia 8 per match.
2/
2/
5
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Bahia
3
–
0
01 Apr, 2026
Serie A 2026-2027
Serie A 2026-2027
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
–
1
24 Nov, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
1
–
3
10 Jul, 2024
Serie A 2024-2025
Serie A 2024-2025
Bahia
Bahia
1
–
1
12 Nov, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
2
–
0
16 Jul, 2023
Serie A 2023-2024
Serie A 2023-2024
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
0
–
2
09 Oct, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Bahia
Bahia
2
–
1
25 Jun, 2021
Serie A 2021-2022
Serie A 2021-2022
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
1
–
0
20 Jan, 2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
1
–
0
27 Sep, 2020
Serie A 2020-2021
Serie A 2020-2021
Bahia
Total
Per Match
33
Corners
56
3.7
Corners
6.2
129
Fouls
99
14.3
Fouls
11
20
Offsides
16
2.2
Offsides
1.8
110
Shots
126
12.2
Shots
14
37
Shots on Goal
47
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.2
18
Yellow Cards
18
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Red Cards
0
0.2
Red Cards
0
7
Goals
13
0.8
Goals
1.4
13
Goals Conceded
7
1.4
Goals Conceded
0.8
2
Clean Sheets
3
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.3
Last matches for ATL
Serie A 2026-2027
12 SEP, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Coritiba
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
06 SEP, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
Cruzeiro
3
L
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Fluminense
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
24 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
3
Botafogo
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
RB Bragantino
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Santos
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 JUL, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
0
Corinthians
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
25 JUL, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2
Internacional
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 MAY, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
Mirassol
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
17 MAY, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
1
Flamengo
1
D
Last matches for BAH
Serie A 2026-2027
14 SEP, 2026
Bahia
2
remo
1
W
Serie A 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Bahia
3
RB Bragantino
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
30 AUG, 2026
Bahia
3
Internacional
2
W
Serie A 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Bahia
2
Vitoria
0
W
Serie A 2026-2027
16 AUG, 2026
Bahia
3
Chapecoense-sc
3
D
Serie A 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
Bahia
0
Vasco DA Gama
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
30 JUL, 2026
Bahia
0
Fluminense
0
D
Serie A 2026-2027
26 JUL, 2026
Bahia
1
Corinthians
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
21 JUL, 2026
Bahia
1
Atletico-MG
1
D
Serie A 2026-2027
17 JUL, 2026
Bahia
2
Chapecoense-sc
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
2.20
Bet365
3.48
Pinnacle
3.50
Betfair
97.31 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.20
3.30
3.40
95.08%
Pinnacle
2.17
3.48
3.45
96.34%
1xBet
Bonus
2.17
3.44
3.44
95.95%
Betano
2.15
3.45
3.40
95.32%
William Hill
2.10
3.25
3.30
92.00%
Marathonbet
2.10
3.34
3.34
93.02%
SBO
2.09
3.02
2.92
86.80%
Betfair
2.05
3.30
3.50
92.89%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.76
Pinnacle
2.30
Pinnacle
4.08
Pinnacle
95.95 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.76
2.30
4.08
95.95%
Bet365
2.75
2.20
3.75
92.18%
Betano
2.70
2.18
3.80
91.55%
Marathonbet
2.69
2.09
3.94
90.58%
1xBet
Bonus
2.69
2.09
3.94
90.58%
Betfair
2.63
2.10
3.75
89.04%
William Hill
2.60
2.10
3.90
89.51%
SBO
2.47
2.08
3.52
85.49%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Bet365
3.75
William Hill
93.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
2.50
2.50
3.40
91.40%
Betano
2.47
2.47
3.45
90.94%
William Hill
2.45
2.30
3.75
90.12%
Marathonbet
2.43
2.46
3.48
90.47%
1xBet
Bonus
2.43
2.46
3.48
90.47%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.93
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
97.00 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.93
1.94
11.99%
1xBet
Bonus
1.92
1.92
4.38%
Betano
1.91
1.93
7.97%
Betfair
1.90
1.87
15.72%
SBO
1.88
1.94
31.60%
Marathonbet
1.87
1.87
5.34%
Bet365
1.85
1.95
11.99%
HIGHEST ODDS
7.50
Betfair
1.12
Betano
97.45 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Betfair
7.50
1.06
30.85%
William Hill
7.00
1.08
23.47%
Marathonbet
6.45
1.05
18.29%
1xBet
Bonus
6.45
1.05
9.18%
Betano
5.90
1.12
13.56%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
19.00%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.28%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.40
William Hill
1.20
Bet365
94.29 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.40
1.18
23.31%
Betano
4.40
1.20
31.44%
Bet365
4.33
1.20
23.50%
Marathonbet
4.30
1.15
18.31%
1xBet
Bonus
4.30
1.15
9.20%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.58
1xBet
2.51
Pinnacle
96.96 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.58
2.45
6.08%
Pinnacle
1.56
2.51
10.71%
Marathonbet
1.53
2.38
6.05%
Bet365
1.52
2.42
7.25%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.32%
SBO
-
-
-
-
47.79%
Betano
-
-
-
-
16.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.65
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
97.44 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Bet365
1.65
2.20
11.78%
Pinnacle
1.60
2.38
19.15%
Marathonbet
1.57
2.22
13.06%
1xBet
Bonus
1.57
2.22
13.05%
SBO
-
-
-
-
94.50%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.84%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.56
Marathonbet
2.24
Marathonbet
91.96 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
1.56
2.24
11.43%
1xBet
Bonus
1.56
2.24
10.16%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.73
Betfair
2.10
William Hill
94.86 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
Betfair
1.73
2.10
94.86%
Bet365
1.70
2.05
92.93%
Betano
1.70
2.07
93.34%
Marathonbet
1.69
2.02
92.02%
1xBet
Bonus
1.69
2.05
92.63%
William Hill
1.67
2.10
93.02%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.35
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
48.29 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
Betano
1.35
1.30
1.72
47.82%
1xBet
Bonus
1.32
1.32
1.71
47.62%
William Hill
1.30
1.30
1.70
47.02%
Bet365
1.30
1.33
1.67
47.17%
Marathonbet
1.30
1.30
1.68
46.87%
Betfair
1.29
1.30
1.73
47.12%
SBO
1.25
1.23
1.70
45.43%
