Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia

Chapecoense-sc
l l l d l
3 - 3
1.24
xG
2.28
Full Time
Bahia
w d d d d
Giovanni Augusto
19'
Marcinho
48'
Túlio
72'
A. Véliz
13'
Kauan
42'
Nicolas Acevedo
65'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Bahia

Chapecoense-sc are not in a good moment at all. They have lost their last two matches, including a 2-0 defeat to Bahia just a month ago, and have only managed one win in their last five games. Their recent home form has been shaky, with two draws and a loss in their last three at their own ground. They are clearly struggling to find any consistency.

Bahia, on the other hand, look much more solid. While they have drawn four of their last five matches, they have not lost any of them, showing they are hard to beat. They also beat Chapecoense-sc in that recent meeting and have a good record against them overall. This match looks quite open, but based on current form and their recent head-to-head success, Bahia are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, likely taking the win or a draw. Expect a close, low-scoring game.

Last Updated: 14 Aug 2026 07:21 AM
starting lineups
 
Anderson
 
Fernando
 
Eduardo Doma
 
Kauan
 
Heitor
 
Bruno Matias
6.9
 
Camilo Reijers
 
Yago Felipe
7.7
 
Marcinho
9.9
 
Giovanni Augusto
 
K. Ramirez
 
Ronaldo Strada
 
Santiago Ramos Mingo
 
David Duarte
 
R. Gómez
8.7
 
Nicolas Acevedo
 
Rodrigo
 
Luciano Juba
 
Erick Pulga
6.9
 
A. Véliz
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Chapecoense-sc
46
' Out: Heitor
46
Substitutes for Bahia
' Out:
66
' Out:
67
statistics
35 Ball Possession 65
3 Goals 3
1.24 Expected Goals 2.28
match facts

REFEREE

D. Caroline Muniz dos Santos

  • Chapecoense-sc and Bahia are set for a Serie A clash on August 16, 2026, with the prediction market strongly favoring the visitors or a draw at 90%.
  • Bahia enters the match in poor form, having drawn their last four consecutive matches and lost the one before that.
  • Chapecoense-sc's recent form is inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings.
  • The two sides last met on July 17, 2026, where Chapecoense-sc suffered a 2-0 defeat at home against Bahia.
  • In their last five head-to-head encounters, Chapecoense-sc has only won twice, both by a single-goal margin on the road.
  • Bahia has historically dominated this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings between the clubs.
  • Statistical comparisons heavily favor Bahia, particularly in defense (85% advantage) and overall form (88% vs 13%).
  • Bahia averages more goals per game (1.29) and higher possession (50.44%) compared to Chapecoense-sc's 0.98 goals and 47.01% possession.
  • Despite Bahia's better averages, their recent run of four straight draws suggests potential for another tight, low-scoring affair.
  • Chapecoense-sc's last win came on July 23, 2026, with a convincing 4-0 away victory, showing they can be clinical on their day.
  • Bookmakers at Betano offer odds of 1.34 for a Double Chance (Draw/Bahia), signaling high confidence in the away side avoiding defeat.
  • Poisson distribution gives Bahia a 68% chance of outscoring their hosts, while Chapecoense-sc's home advantage appears minimal in the data.
Last Updated: 14 Aug 2026 07:21 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
35 Corners 33
80 Fouls 81
12 Offsides 1
69 Shots 100
15 Shots on Goal 30
13 Yellow Cards 10
1 Red Cards 2
7 Goals 11
11 Goals Conceded 7
1 Clean Sheets 3
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
28
12
10
6
8
46
#20
28
3
10
15
-24
19