Burnley vs Bournemouth
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : draw or Bournemouth
Burnley's recent form has been mixed, with a couple of wins but also a loss and a draw in their last few games. Bournemouth, on the other hand, has been drawing a lot of their recent matches, finding it hard to get a win. When these two teams met earlier this season, they played to a draw with a goal each, and their past few meetings have generally been close contests.
Looking at how both teams are currently playing, this match seems very evenly matched. Burnley is at home but has been inconsistent, while Bournemouth is struggling to turn draws into wins. Given the recent patterns, this game is likely to end in a draw.
Last Updated: 12 Mar 2026 07:23 AMÂ
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Substitutes for Burnley M. Edwards
' Out: L. Foster
66
Lucas Pires
' Out: Q. Hartman
74
J. Worrall
' Out: M. Esteve
74
A. Broja
' Out: Z. Flemming
88
L. Ugochukwu
' Out: J. Laurent
88
Substitutes for Bournemouth A. Adli
' Out: R. Christie
61
A. Jimenez
' Out: A. Smith
61
David Brooks
' Out: E. J. Kroupi
80
E. Unal
' Out: Rayan
87
REFEREE
P. Bankes
STADIUM
Turf Moor
LOCATION
Burnley
- This Premier League clash sees Burnley host Bournemouth at Turf Moor.
- The reverse fixture this season ended in a 1-1 draw.
- In the last three head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth have won twice to Burnley's one.
- Burnley's recent home form is mixed, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five away games, drawing four and winning one.
- Bournemouth average more goals per game (1.27) than Burnley (0.92) this season.
- Bournemouth also average more shots per match (13.13) compared to Burnley's 10.39.
- Median stats from recent matches show Burnley averaging 16 shots per game, while Bournemouth average just 6.
- Recent median possession figures heavily favor Burnley at 65% to Bournemouth's 35%.
- Prediction models heavily favor a double chance of draw or Bournemouth win (90% combined).
- Key prediction comparisons give Bournemouth a significant edge in defense (79% vs 21%) and H2H history (71% vs 29%).
- The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.28 from bookmaker 10Bet.
Total
Per Match
20
Corners
25
5
Corners
6.3
42
Fouls
38
10.5
Fouls
9.5
6
Offsides
10
1.5
Offsides
2.5
45
Shots
61
11.3
Shots
15.3
12
Shots on Goal
13
3
Shots on Goal
3.3
7
Yellow Cards
7
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goals
5
0.5
Goals
1.3
5
Goals Conceded
2
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.5
1
Clean Sheets
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.5
Last matches for BUR
Premier League 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Burnley
1
Nottingham Forest
4
L
Premier League 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Burnley
0
Brighton
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Burnley
1
Fulham
3
L
Premier League 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Burnley
0
Bournemouth
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
03 MAR, 2026
Burnley
0
Everton
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Burnley
3
Brentford
4
L
Premier League 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Burnley
1
Chelsea
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
11 FEB, 2026
Burnley
3
Crystal Palace
2
W
Premier League 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Burnley
0
West Ham
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
24 JAN, 2026
Burnley
2
Tottenham
2
D
Last matches for BOU
Premier League 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Newcastle
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Arsenal
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
20 MAR, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Manchester United
2
D
Premier League 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Bournemouth
0
Burnley
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
03 MAR, 2026
Bournemouth
0
Brentford
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Sunderland
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Bournemouth
0
West Ham
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
10 FEB, 2026
Bournemouth
2
Everton
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
07 FEB, 2026
Bournemouth
1
Aston Villa
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
24 JAN, 2026
Bournemouth
3
Liverpool
2
W
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PL
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