Leeds vs Brighton

Leeds
w w d w d
1 - 0
0.76
xG
2.70
Full Time
Brighton
w d w l w
D. Calvert-Lewin
90'+6'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Brighton

Leeds are heading into this match in rough shape. They have not won any of their last five games, with three losses and two draws, and they have been conceding a lot of goals in those defeats. Brighton are also struggling badly right now. They have lost four of their last five matches, with many of those losses being by a clear margin, so neither side comes into this game with much confidence.

Looking at their recent meetings, goals have been pretty common. Their last few games have seen scorelines like 3-0 and 2-2, which suggests this match could be quite open, even if the quality on display might be a bit shaky. Because both teams are in such similar, poor form, this match looks very close and hard to call, with a draw being a very likely outcome.

Last Updated: 15 May 2026 07:24 AM
starting lineups
Ā 
K. Darlow
Ā 
S. Bornauw
Ā 
J. Bijol
Ā 
J. Rodon
Ā 
J. Justin
Ā 
A. Tanaka
Ā 
E. Ampadu
Ā 
A. Stach
Ā 
D. James
Ā 
B. Aaronson
7.3
Ā 
D. Calvert-Lewin
Ā 
B. Verbruggen
Ā 
M. De Cuyper
Ā 
L. Dunk
Ā 
J. P. van Hecke
Ā 
J. Veltman
Ā 
C. Baleba
Ā 
P. Gross
Ā 
Y. Minteh
Ā 
J. Hinshelwood
Ā 
F. Kadioglu
Ā 
D. Welbeck
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Leeds
W. Gnonto
' Out: D. James
60
S. Longstaff
' Out: A. Tanaka
60
L. Nmecha
' Out: B. Aaronson
60
J. Piroe
' Out: A. Stach
74
S. Byram
' Out: S. Bornauw
90
Substitutes for Brighton
G. Rutter
' Out: D. Welbeck
65
D. Gomez
' Out: J. Veltman
65
Y. Ayari
' Out: C. Baleba
82
C. Kostoulas
' Out: J. Hinshelwood
82
S. March
' Out: Y. Minteh
90
statistics
34 Ball Possession 66
1 Goals 0
0.76 Expected Goals 2.70
match facts

REFEREE

M. Oliver

STADIUM

Elland Road

LOCATION

Leeds, West Yorkshire

  • Brighton holds a 75% advantage in the head-to-head comparison, having lost only one of the last seven meetings.
  • Leeds have won just 1 of their last 5 matches (W1 D2 L2), while Brighton have lost 3 of their last 5 (W1 D1 L3).
  • Brighton have a slightly higher average goals per game (1.43) compared to Leeds (1.32).
  • The prediction percentage heavily favors the draw or Brighton (45% each), with Leeds given just a 10% chance of winning.
  • Brighton dominate the overall prediction comparison with a 56.3% advantage, driven by stronger performances in goals (70%) and form (48%).
  • The Poissons distribution suggests a 55% probability that the match will be decided by a home win, though the overall prediction leans away.
  • In their last H2H encounter on 01/11/2025, Brighton won 3-0, making it two straight losses for Leeds in the fixture.
  • Leeds have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven meetings with Brighton, while Brighton have kept two in that span.
  • Brighton’s recent away form is poor, losing their last three matches by multiple goals (3-0, 3-1, 3-0).
  • Both teams average identical possession stats in median terms (50% each), though Brighton’s average is higher (55.46% vs 50.78%).
  • Leeds have conceded at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, making them vulnerable at the back.
  • The highest odds for a "Draw/Away" double chance are offered at 1.38 with 1xBet, reflecting the strong prediction of a Brighton or draw outcome.
Last Updated: 15 May 2026 07:24 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
44 Corners 35
86 Fouls 82
14 Offsides 13
82 Shots 119
22 Shots on Goal 38
14 Yellow Cards 8
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goals 10
10 Goals Conceded 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#8
38
14
11
13
6
53
#14
38
11
14
13
-7
47