Leeds vs Brighton
Double chance : draw or Brighton
Leeds are heading into this match in rough shape. They have not won any of their last five games, with three losses and two draws, and they have been conceding a lot of goals in those defeats. Brighton are also struggling badly right now. They have lost four of their last five matches, with many of those losses being by a clear margin, so neither side comes into this game with much confidence.
Looking at their recent meetings, goals have been pretty common. Their last few games have seen scorelines like 3-0 and 2-2, which suggests this match could be quite open, even if the quality on display might be a bit shaky. Because both teams are in such similar, poor form, this match looks very close and hard to call, with a draw being a very likely outcome.
Last Updated: 15 May 2026 07:24 AM
Substitutes for Leeds
Substitutes for Brighton REFEREE
M. Oliver
STADIUM
Elland Road
LOCATION
Leeds, West Yorkshire
- Brighton holds a 75% advantage in the head-to-head comparison, having lost only one of the last seven meetings.
- Leeds have won just 1 of their last 5 matches (W1 D2 L2), while Brighton have lost 3 of their last 5 (W1 D1 L3).
- Brighton have a slightly higher average goals per game (1.43) compared to Leeds (1.32).
- The prediction percentage heavily favors the draw or Brighton (45% each), with Leeds given just a 10% chance of winning.
- Brighton dominate the overall prediction comparison with a 56.3% advantage, driven by stronger performances in goals (70%) and form (48%).
- The Poissons distribution suggests a 55% probability that the match will be decided by a home win, though the overall prediction leans away.
- In their last H2H encounter on 01/11/2025, Brighton won 3-0, making it two straight losses for Leeds in the fixture.
- Leeds have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven meetings with Brighton, while Brighton have kept two in that span.
- Brightonās recent away form is poor, losing their last three matches by multiple goals (3-0, 3-1, 3-0).
- Both teams average identical possession stats in median terms (50% each), though Brightonās average is higher (55.46% vs 50.78%).
- Leeds have conceded at least 2 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches, making them vulnerable at the back.
- The highest odds for a "Draw/Away" double chance are offered at 1.38 with 1xBet, reflecting the strong prediction of a Brighton or draw outcome.
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