West Ham vs Leeds

West Ham
d w l l l
3 - 0
2.03
xG
1.57
Full Time
Leeds
w d w d w
ValentĆ­n Castellanos
67'
J. Bowen
79'
C. Wilson
90'+4'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Probability %
1 x 2
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
West Ham West Ham
Leeds Leeds
Probability %
1 x 2
56%
23%
21%
Pred
1
Avg. Goal
3.04
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
West Ham West Ham
Leeds Leeds
Probability %
Under / Over 2.5
41%
59%
Pred
Over
Avg. Goal
3.04
Score Pred.
3-0
HŠ¢/FT Probability % HT Pred. FT Pred. Score Pred.
West Ham West Ham
Leeds Leeds
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
32%
HT Pred.
1
FT Pred.
1
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability %
Yes/ No
Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
West Ham West Ham
Leeds Leeds
Probability %
Yes/ No
58%
42%
Pred
Yes
Avg. Goal
3.04
Score Pred.
3-0
Probability % Pred. Avg. Goal Score Pred.
West Ham West Ham
Leeds Leeds
Probability %
52%
Pred
Home -0.75
Avg. Goal
3.04
Score Pred.
3-0

Double chance : draw or Leeds

West Ham are hosting Leeds at the London Stadium, but the home side are in really poor form. They've lost four of their last five games, including a heavy 3-0 defeat, and have only managed one win in that run. Leeds, on the other hand, have been struggling too, without a win in their last five matches, with three losses and two draws.

Looking at recent meetings between these two, goals have been common. The last three games all saw at least three goals, and Leeds have won the last two head-to-heads, including a 2-1 victory earlier this season. Both teams are out of form, but given Leeds' recent edge in this fixture and West Ham's poor run, this looks like an open match that could go either way, though a draw seems a very likely outcome.

Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:00 AM
starting lineups
Ā 
M. Hermansen
Ā 
M. Diouf
Ā 
A. Disasi
Ā 
K. Mavropanos
Ā 
K. Walker-Peters
Ā 
M. Fernandes
Ā 
T. Soucek
Ā 
C. Summerville
Ā 
Pablo
7.7
Ā 
J. Bowen
7.6
Ā 
ValentĆ­n Castellanos
Ā 
K. Darlow
Ā 
P. Struijk
6.9
Ā 
J. Bijol
Ā 
J. Rodon
Ā 
J. Justin
Ā 
A. Tanaka
7.2
Ā 
E. Ampadu
6.9
Ā 
B. Aaronson
Ā 
J. Bogle
Ā 
L. Nmecha
Ā 
D. Calvert-Lewin
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for West Ham
C. Wilson
' Out: Pablo
46
M. Kante
88' Out: ValentĆ­n Castellanos
88
Substitutes for Leeds
W. Gnonto
' Out: D. Calvert-Lewin
69
D. James
70' Out: J. Bijol
70
F. Buonanotte
' Out: J. Bogle
78
J. Piroe
' Out: A. Tanaka
78
S. Bornauw
90' Out: B. Aaronson
90
statistics
42 Ball Possession 58
3 Goals 0
2.03 Expected Goals 1.57
match facts

REFEREE

A. Taylor

STADIUM

London Stadium

LOCATION

London

  • Leeds have a perfect head-to-head record this season, winning both league meetings so far (2-1 at Elland Road in October 2023).
  • The last time West Ham beat Leeds at London Stadium was in January 2022 (2-3), but they have lost both home league games against them since.
  • West Ham are in poor form, losing 3 of their last 4 matches and failing to score in 2 of those games.
  • Leeds have won just 1 of their last 5 away games (D2 L2), with that sole victory coming against a relegation-threatened side.
  • Both teams average nearly identical goals per game this season — West Ham at 1.37, Leeds at 1.32 — suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.
  • Leeds hold a significant edge in attacking stats, averaging 12.75 shots per game compared to West Ham’s 11.92, and also enjoy higher possession (50.67% vs 44.02%).
  • The prediction model gives just a 10% chance of a West Ham win, with a 45% split for either a draw or a Leeds victory.
  • Marathonbet offers odds of 1.98 on a Double Chance (Draw or Leeds), reflecting the market's confidence in the visitors avoiding defeat.
  • Leeds dominate every comparison category — form (73%), attack (77%), defence (67%), head-to-head (71%), and total strength (64.8%).
  • Median shot data suggests Leeds will create more chances (17 median shots away vs 15 for West Ham at home).
  • The Hammers’ home average possession is just 44%, meaning they are likely to cede control of the ball to Leeds on Sunday.
  • West Ham's predicted defensive weakness (33% rating) could be exploited by a Leeds side that has scored in 4 of their last 5 away trips.
Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:00 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
41 Corners 39
77 Fouls 88
7 Offsides 12
126 Shots 115
46 Shots on Goal 36
13 Yellow Cards 19
0 Red Cards 0
17 Goals 10
10 Goals Conceded 17
2 Clean Sheets 0
premier league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
38
11
14
13
-7
47
#18
38
10
9
19
-19
39
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half

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BOOKMAKERS
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DRAW
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BOOKMAKERS
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DRAW
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2.35
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HIGHEST ODDS

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William Hill
2.90
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4.45
Marathonbet
94.58 %
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DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
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888Sport 888Sport Logo
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