West Ham vs Leeds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
West Ham
Leeds
|
Probability %
1
x
2
56%
23%
21%
|
Pred
1
|
Avg. Goal
3.04
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
West Ham
Leeds
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
41%
59%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
3.04
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| HŠ¢/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
West Ham
Leeds
|
HŠ¢/FT Probability %
32%
|
HT Pred.
1
|
FT Pred.
1
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
West Ham
Leeds
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
58%
42%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
3.04
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
West Ham
Leeds
|
Probability %
52%
|
Pred
Home -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
3.04
|
Score Pred.
3-0
|
Double chance : draw or Leeds
West Ham are hosting Leeds at the London Stadium, but the home side are in really poor form. They've lost four of their last five games, including a heavy 3-0 defeat, and have only managed one win in that run. Leeds, on the other hand, have been struggling too, without a win in their last five matches, with three losses and two draws.
Looking at recent meetings between these two, goals have been common. The last three games all saw at least three goals, and Leeds have won the last two head-to-heads, including a 2-1 victory earlier this season. Both teams are out of form, but given Leeds' recent edge in this fixture and West Ham's poor run, this looks like an open match that could go either way, though a draw seems a very likely outcome.
Last Updated: 22 May 2026 06:00 AMREFEREE
A. Taylor
STADIUM
London Stadium
LOCATION
London
- Leeds have a perfect head-to-head record this season, winning both league meetings so far (2-1 at Elland Road in October 2023).
- The last time West Ham beat Leeds at London Stadium was in January 2022 (2-3), but they have lost both home league games against them since.
- West Ham are in poor form, losing 3 of their last 4 matches and failing to score in 2 of those games.
- Leeds have won just 1 of their last 5 away games (D2 L2), with that sole victory coming against a relegation-threatened side.
- Both teams average nearly identical goals per game this season ā West Ham at 1.37, Leeds at 1.32 ā suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Leeds hold a significant edge in attacking stats, averaging 12.75 shots per game compared to West Hamās 11.92, and also enjoy higher possession (50.67% vs 44.02%).
- The prediction model gives just a 10% chance of a West Ham win, with a 45% split for either a draw or a Leeds victory.
- Marathonbet offers odds of 1.98 on a Double Chance (Draw or Leeds), reflecting the market's confidence in the visitors avoiding defeat.
- Leeds dominate every comparison category ā form (73%), attack (77%), defence (67%), head-to-head (71%), and total strength (64.8%).
- Median shot data suggests Leeds will create more chances (17 median shots away vs 15 for West Ham at home).
- The Hammersā home average possession is just 44%, meaning they are likely to cede control of the ball to Leeds on Sunday.
- West Ham's predicted defensive weakness (33% rating) could be exploited by a Leeds side that has scored in 4 of their last 5 away trips.
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