Portugal vs Croatia
Double chance : Portugal or draw
Portugal have had a tough time lately, losing their last two games by heavy scores and drawing the others, so they are definitely not in a good run of form. Croatia, on the other hand, have also been struggling, winning only once in their last five outings and losing most of the rest, so both teams seem out of sorts at the moment.
Since there are no recent head-to-head meetings to look at, it's hard to say if this match will see many goals. Given that both sides have been losing games and not scoring much, this match looks like it could be tight and close. Overall, based on the data, Portugal appear slightly stronger defensively, but because both teams are in poor shape, the most likely outcome is a draw or a narrow win for Portugal.
Last Updated: 30 Jun 2026 07:20 PM
Substitutes for Portugal
Substitutes for Croatia REFEREE
E. Eskas
STADIUM
BMO Field
LOCATION
Toronto, Ontario
- Portugal are the heavy favorites with a 45% win probability, while Croatia are given just a 10% chance of victory.
- Croatia have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, including a 2-1 defeat in their most recent game.
- Portugal have failed to win any of their last three outings, recording two draws and a crushing 5-0 loss.
- Portugal dominate possession on average (61.25%) compared to Croatia (54.70%), suggesting they will control the midfield.
- Portugal average 2.00 goals per game, significantly higher than Croatia’s 1.18, highlighting their superior attacking threat.
- Defensively, Portugal hold a massive 83% advantage over Croatia in the pre-match comparison, indicating a strong backline.
- Portugal also average more shots per game (12.88) than Croatia (9.70), underlining their offensive pressure.
- The Poisson distribution model gives Portugal an 84% edge over Croatia, further reinforcing their dominance in expected goals.
- The 'Double Chance: Portugal or Draw' market offers a safe bet at odds of 1.22 with Betano, reflecting the low risk of a Croatia win.
- Despite recent struggles, Portugal’s overall statistical profile (66.5% total comparison) strongly favors them over Croatia (33.5%).
- This match will be played at BMO Field, a neutral venue for both European sides in the 2026 World Cup.
- With no previous head-to-head data available, this will be the first competitive meeting between Portugal and Croatia.
Last matches for POR
World Cup 2026-2027 — Knockout Stage
Portugal
0
Spain
1
World Cup 2026-2027 — Knockout Stage
Portugal
2
Croatia
1
World Cup 2026-2027
Portugal
0
Colombia
0
World Cup 2026-2027
Portugal
5
Uzbekistan
0
World Cup 2026-2027
Portugal
1
Congo DR
1
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Portugal
0
Morocco
1
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Portugal
6
Switzerland
1
World Cup 2022-2023
Portugal
1
South Korea
2
Last matches for CRO
World Cup 2026-2027 — Knockout Stage
Croatia
1
Portugal
2
World Cup 2026-2027
Croatia
2
Ghana
1
World Cup 2026-2027
Croatia
1
Panama
0
World Cup 2026-2027
Croatia
2
England
4
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Croatia
2
Morocco
1
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Croatia
0
Argentina
3
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Croatia
1
Brazil
1
World Cup 2022-2023 — Knockout Stage
Croatia
1
Japan
1
World Cup 2022-2023
Croatia
0
Belgium
0
World Cup 2022-2023
Croatia
4
Canada
1
