Portugal vs Spain
|
M. Merino
90'+1'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal
Spain
|
Probability %
1
x
2
23%
27%
49%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.79
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal
Spain
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
47%
53%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.79
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal
Spain
|
HТ/FT Probability %
28%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal
Spain
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
57%
43%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.79
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal
Spain
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Home -0.5
|
Avg. Goal
2.79
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Combo Double chance : draw or Spain and -3.5 goals
Portugal is heading into this World Cup match in poor form, having lost three of their last five games, including a recent 2-1 defeat. They've also struggled to score, with their last win coming a long while ago. Spain, while also losing their most recent match 3-0, have at least managed a win and a draw more recently than Portugal, suggesting they might be in slightly better shape overall.
Because both teams have had inconsistent results and their head-to-head history is limited, this looks like a very even and close contest. The match is likely to be tight and cautious, so don't expect a goal fest. Given the recent struggles of both sides, a draw seems the most probable outcome.
Last Updated: 04 Jul 2026 07:20 AMÂ
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Substitutes for Portugal N. Semedo
' Out: N. Mendes
56
R. Leao
' Out: Joao Felix
71
D. Dalot
' Out: João Cancelo
71
Francisco Conceição
' Out: Pedro Neto
83
Bernardo Silva
' Out: Vitinha
83
Substitutes for Spain F. Torres
' Out: A. Baena
75
F. Ruiz
' Out: Pedri
85
M. Merino
' Out: D. Olmo
85
B. Iglesias
' Out: M. Oyarzabal
90
REFEREE
A. Taylor
- Portugal and Spain clash in a World Cup 2026-2027 match, with kickoff set for July 6, 2026.
- The prediction shows a tight contest, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% chance of a Spain win.
- Spain have the edge in recent form, rated at 56% compared to Portugal's 44%.
- Both sides have struggled for wins in their last five games, but Spain managed one victory while Portugal have none.
- Spain dominate possession on average (72.13%), significantly more than Portugal's 61.11%.
- Portugal average 2.00 goals per match, slightly ahead of Spain's 1.89 goals per game.
- Spain take more shots on average (15.38) compared to Portugal (13.11).
- Defensively, Spain are rated far superior by the data, with a 100% defensive comparison edge.
- The top betting tip is "Double Chance: Draw or Spain" with odds of 1.28 from 1xBet.
- The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a recommendation for under 3.5 goals.
- Portugal's last match was a 2-1 loss, while Spain recently lost 3-0.
- This Iberian derby adds extra spice, as Spain hold a slight overall advantage in pre-match stats (51.5% total).
0/
0/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
3
Corners
7
3
Corners
7
9
Fouls
13
9
Fouls
13
2
Offsides
1
2
Offsides
1
9
Shots
15
9
Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
6
2
Shots on Goal
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goals
1
0
Goals
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
1
Goals Conceded
0
0
Clean Sheets
1
0
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for POR
World Cup 2026-2027
06 JUL, 2026
Portugal
0
Spain
1
L
World Cup 2026-2027
02 JUL, 2026
Portugal
2
Croatia
1
W
World Cup 2026-2027
27 JUN, 2026
Portugal
0
Colombia
0
D
World Cup 2026-2027
23 JUN, 2026
Portugal
5
Uzbekistan
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
17 JUN, 2026
Portugal
1
Congo DR
1
D
World Cup 2022-2023
10 DEC, 2022
Portugal
0
Morocco
1
L
World Cup 2022-2023
06 DEC, 2022
Portugal
6
Switzerland
1
W
World Cup 2022-2023
02 DEC, 2022
Portugal
1
South Korea
2
L
Last matches for SPA
World Cup 2026-2027
10 JUL, 2026
Spain
2
Belgium
1
W
World Cup 2026-2027
06 JUL, 2026
Spain
1
Portugal
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
02 JUL, 2026
Spain
3
Austria
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
27 JUN, 2026
Spain
1
Uruguay
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
21 JUN, 2026
Spain
4
Saudi Arabia
0
W
World Cup 2026-2027
15 JUN, 2026
Spain
0
Cape Verde Islands
0
D
World Cup 2022-2023
06 DEC, 2022
Spain
0
Morocco
0
D
World Cup 2022-2023
01 DEC, 2022
Spain
1
Japan
2
L
World Cup 2022-2023
27 NOV, 2022
Spain
1
Germany
1
D
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Full Time
Full Time
HIGHEST ODDS
4.26
Pinnacle
3.65
1xBet
2.02
1xBet
99.63 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
4.26
3.59
1.96
97.70%
10Bet
4.10
3.35
1.88
93.08%
Bet365
4.10
3.50
1.91
94.95%
Unibet
4.10
3.50
1.92
95.20%
Betfair
4.10
3.50
1.95
95.93%
Betano
4.05
3.55
2.02
97.69%
1xBet
Bonus
4.04
3.65
2.02
98.37%
Marathonbet
3.98
3.52
1.95
95.40%
William Hill
3.90
3.40
1.91
93.10%
888Sport
Bonus
3.80
3.30
1.91
91.76%
SBO
3.78
3.53
1.98
94.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.72
Pinnacle
2.30
Betfair
2.69
Pinnacle
98.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
4.72
2.22
2.69
96.71%
Marathonbet
4.55
2.17
2.54
93.08%
1xBet
Bonus
4.51
2.20
2.54
93.46%
Bet365
4.50
2.20
2.50
92.87%
Betano
4.40
2.12
2.55
91.65%
10Bet
4.33
2.10
2.50
90.32%
Betfair
4.33
2.30
2.40
92.39%
SBO
4.32
2.16
2.58
92.42%
William Hill
4.20
2.15
2.50
90.64%
Unibet
4.00
2.25
2.48
91.10%
888Sport
Bonus
4.00
2.15
2.50
89.68%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.94
Marathonbet
2.70
Unibet
2.30
William Hill
94.43 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.94
2.62
2.27
92.94%
1xBet
Bonus
3.92
2.67
2.27
93.44%
Unibet
3.80
2.70
2.18
91.55%
William Hill
3.75
2.50
2.30
90.79%
Bet365
3.75
2.60
2.20
90.43%
10Bet
3.70
2.60
2.15
89.29%
888Sport
Bonus
3.70
2.45
2.30
89.83%
Betano
3.65
2.60
2.27
90.98%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.85
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
97.91 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
1.85
2.07
9.58%
SBO
1.85
2.07
24.33%
Betfair
1.83
2.00
15.89%
10Bet
1.80
2.00
18.84%
Bet365
1.80
2.00
11.96%
Marathonbet
1.80
2.01
4.57%
1xBet
Bonus
1.80
2.08
4.19%
Betano
1.80
2.05
7.37%
Unibet
1.77
2.02
8.56%
888Sport
Bonus
1.75
1.95
15.66%
HIGHEST ODDS
7.00
10Bet
1.12
Betano
96.55 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
10Bet
7.00
1.07
30.83%
William Hill
7.00
1.08
23.41%
Betfair
7.00
1.07
31.11%
Unibet
6.25
1.09
13.23%
Betano
6.10
1.12
11.89%
Marathonbet
5.95
1.09
18.70%
1xBet
Bonus
5.85
1.09
8.48%
Pinnacle
-
-
-
-
15.87%
SBO
-
-
-
-
32.23%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.33
William Hill
1.27
Betano
98.20 %
BOOKMAKERS
OVER 2.5
UNDER 2.5
PAYOUTS
William Hill
4.33
1.20
23.44%
888Sport
Bonus
4.20
1.20
23.38%
Marathonbet
4.05
1.21
18.77%
1xBet
Bonus
3.90
1.22
8.55%
Unibet
3.80
1.22
30.84%
Bet365
3.75
1.25
18.85%
Betano
3.70
1.27
31.41%
10Bet
3.50
1.25
30.85%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.07
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
98.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.07
1.41
10.75%
1xBet
Bonus
2.89
1.45
5.16%
10Bet
2.85
1.40
46.90%
Bet365
2.85
1.40
6.75%
Marathonbet
2.72
1.39
5.73%
Unibet
-
-
-
-
22.94%
Betfair
-
-
-
-
23.28%
SBO
-
-
-
-
24.49%
Betano
-
-
-
-
13.75%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.65
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
96.19 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
2.65
1.49
19.10%
10Bet
2.60
1.45
93.09%
Bet365
2.60
1.48
9.47%
Marathonbet
2.59
1.50
10.47%
1xBet
Bonus
2.56
1.51
10.46%
SBO
-
-
-
-
48.60%
Betano
-
-
-
-
23.83%
HIGHEST ODDS
2.59
Marathonbet
1.50
Marathonbet
94.99 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
2.59
1.50
10.47%
1xBet
Bonus
2.59
1.50
10.46%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.72
1xBet
2.25
Betfair
97.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
YES
NO
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
1.72
2.14
95.36%
Marathonbet
1.70
2.15
94.94%
William Hill
1.67
2.10
93.02%
Bet365
1.67
2.10
93.02%
10Bet
1.65
2.10
92.40%
888Sport
Bonus
1.65
2.15
93.36%
Unibet
1.62
2.15
92.39%
Betano
1.62
2.20
93.30%
Betfair
1.60
2.25
93.51%
HIGHEST ODDS
1.93
SBO
1.33
1xBet
1.28
1xBet
48.75 %
BOOKMAKERS
1X
12
X2
PAYOUTS
SBO
1.93
1.27
1.24
47.35%
1xBet
Bonus
1.88
1.33
1.28
48.43%
Marathonbet
1.86
1.31
1.25
47.60%
Unibet
1.86
1.29
1.22
46.89%
10Bet
1.85
1.25
1.22
46.29%
William Hill
1.85
1.30
1.25
47.40%
Betano
1.85
1.30
1.28
47.82%
888Sport
Bonus
1.85
1.30
1.22
46.96%
Bet365
1.83
1.28
1.22
46.57%
Betfair
1.83
1.25
1.20
45.88%
