Groningen vs Excelsior

Groningen
d w w d l
2 - 3
0.87
xG
2.38
Full Time
Excelsior
l d l d w
Tika de Jonge
3'
Y. Taha
47'
C. Widell
40'
D. Sanches Fernandes
65'
G. de Regt
90'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Groningen or draw

Groningen are coming into this match in pretty shaky form, having lost two of their last five games and only managed one win. Excelsior, on the other hand, have also struggled lately but were hit especially hard in their most recent match, where they lost heavily. Both teams seem to be in a bit of a rough patch, but Groningen have a great recent record against Excelsior, having beaten them on their last meeting. That match also saw a few goals, so this game might not be a tight, boring affair.

All things considered, this looks like a close match where Groningen have a clear edge thanks to their recent head-to-head dominance. Given both teams' recent inconsistencies and Groningen's stronger record against Excelsior, the home side are likely to take the win here.

Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
starting lineups
Ā 
E. Vaessen
Ā 
Marvin Peersman
Ā 
D. Janse
Ā 
T. Blokzijl
Ā 
M. Rente
7.9
Ā 
Tika de Jonge
Ā 
T. Land
Ā 
J. Schreuders
Ā 
D. van der Werff
8.2
Ā 
Y. Taha
Ā 
T. van Bergen
Ā 
S. van Gassel
Ā 
A. Zagre
Ā 
L. Schouten
7
Ā 
C. Widell
Ā 
R. Meissen
Ā 
I. Yegoian
Ā 
L. Hartjes
Ā 
N. Naujoks
Ā 
E. Hansson
7.3
Ā 
G. de Regt
8.6
Ā 
D. Sanches Fernandes
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Groningen
Ryan Metu
' Out: D. van der Werff
56
B. Willumsson
' Out: T. Land
71
M. Seuntjens
87' Out: Y. Taha
87
T. Mercera
' Out: M. Rente
87
Substitutes for Excelsior
S. Wlodarczyk
' Out: E. Hansson
60
A. Carlen
' Out: L. Hartjes
77
J. Bergraaf
' Out: N. Naujoks
77
I. Bronkhorst
85' Out: D. Sanches Fernandes
85
M. van Duinen
88' Out: J. Bergraaf
88
statistics
56 Ball Possession 44
2 Goals 3
0.87 Expected Goals 2.38
match facts

REFEREE

I. Oostrom

STADIUM

Euroborg

LOCATION

Groningen

  • Groningen and Excelsior clash at the Euroborg in an Eredivisie fixture that is statistically expected to be very tight, with a 45% chance for either a home win or a draw.
  • The bookmakers heavily favour Groningen not losing, offering a best odd of 1.22 for the 'Home or Draw' double chance market at 1xBet.
  • Recent history heavily favours the home side, with Groningen winning all three of their historical head-to-head matches against Excelsior, including a 0-2 away victory in December 2025.
  • Excelsior's recent away form is concerning, as they suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat in their last road trip, though they did bounce back with a 0-2 win in their previous away game.
  • Groningen have been inconsistent at home, securing just one win in their last five games, alongside two draws and two losses.
  • Analytical data shows a significant split in quality: Groningen dominate the 'defence' (64%) and 'goals' (79%) comparisons, while Excelsior lead in 'attack' (56%).
  • Despite their poor recent form, Excelsior actually average a higher number of goals per game (1.63) compared to Groningen (1.27) this season.
  • The pre-match statistics suggest a clash of styles, with Groningen averaging slightly more possession (49.44%) than Excelsior (47.76%).
  • Excelsior average more shots per game (13.27) than Groningen (12.85), but Groningen's median shot count at home is significantly higher at 16 per game.
  • Groningen's defensive record is much stronger on paper, as they have kept three clean sheets in their last five home matches, conceding in only two of those games.
  • Based on the Poisson distribution, which predicts goal-scoring potential, Groningen are strong favourites to score, holding a 69% advantage over Excelsior.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
19 Corners 18
38 Fouls 42
8 Offsides 6
60 Shots 52
25 Shots on Goal 18
5 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 1
7 Goals 4
4 Goals Conceded 7
2 Clean Sheets 1
eredivisie standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#9
35
14
6
15
2
48
#13
34
10
8
16
-13
38