Groningen vs Excelsior
Double chance : Groningen or draw
Groningen are coming into this match in pretty shaky form, having lost two of their last five games and only managed one win. Excelsior, on the other hand, have also struggled lately but were hit especially hard in their most recent match, where they lost heavily. Both teams seem to be in a bit of a rough patch, but Groningen have a great recent record against Excelsior, having beaten them on their last meeting. That match also saw a few goals, so this game might not be a tight, boring affair.
All things considered, this looks like a close match where Groningen have a clear edge thanks to their recent head-to-head dominance. Given both teams' recent inconsistencies and Groningen's stronger record against Excelsior, the home side are likely to take the win here.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:26 AM
Substitutes for Groningen
Substitutes for Excelsior REFEREE
I. Oostrom
STADIUM
Euroborg
LOCATION
Groningen
- Groningen and Excelsior clash at the Euroborg in an Eredivisie fixture that is statistically expected to be very tight, with a 45% chance for either a home win or a draw.
- The bookmakers heavily favour Groningen not losing, offering a best odd of 1.22 for the 'Home or Draw' double chance market at 1xBet.
- Recent history heavily favours the home side, with Groningen winning all three of their historical head-to-head matches against Excelsior, including a 0-2 away victory in December 2025.
- Excelsior's recent away form is concerning, as they suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat in their last road trip, though they did bounce back with a 0-2 win in their previous away game.
- Groningen have been inconsistent at home, securing just one win in their last five games, alongside two draws and two losses.
- Analytical data shows a significant split in quality: Groningen dominate the 'defence' (64%) and 'goals' (79%) comparisons, while Excelsior lead in 'attack' (56%).
- Despite their poor recent form, Excelsior actually average a higher number of goals per game (1.63) compared to Groningen (1.27) this season.
- The pre-match statistics suggest a clash of styles, with Groningen averaging slightly more possession (49.44%) than Excelsior (47.76%).
- Excelsior average more shots per game (13.27) than Groningen (12.85), but Groningen's median shot count at home is significantly higher at 16 per game.
- Groningen's defensive record is much stronger on paper, as they have kept three clean sheets in their last five home matches, conceding in only two of those games.
- Based on the Poisson distribution, which predicts goal-scoring potential, Groningen are strong favourites to score, holding a 69% advantage over Excelsior.
Last matches for GRO
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
0
Ajax
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
2
Heracles
1
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
2
NEC Nijmegen
1
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
2
Excelsior
3
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
1
Feyenoord
3
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
0
GO Ahead Eagles
0
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
2
Telstar
0
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
3
AZ Alkmaar
0
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
1
PEC Zwolle
1
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Groningen
3
Ajax
1
Last matches for EXC
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
3
Sparta Rotterdam
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
1
FC Volendam
1
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
3
Groningen
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
5
Utrecht
0
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
2
PEC Zwolle
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
0
NEC Nijmegen
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
1
Heracles
1
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
1
Feyenoord
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
1
Heerenveen
2
Eredivisie 2025-2026
Excelsior
0
GO Ahead Eagles
1
