Excelsior comes into this match in good shape, having won three of their last five games. They recently won a close match away from home. Heerenveen, on the other hand, is struggling badly, having lost four of their last five matches, including some games where they conceded several goals.

Looking at recent meetings between these two, the games have been quite close and often low-scoring, with a mix of wins for both sides. Given Excelsior's current good form and Heerenveen's recent difficulties, Excelsior is the team more likely to win this game.