FC Porto vs Manchester City
E. Haaland
47'
E. Haaland
90'+1'
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Porto
Manchester City
|
Probability %
1
x
2
18%
24%
58%
|
Pred
2
|
Avg. Goal
2.93
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FC Porto
Manchester City
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
44%
56%
|
Pred
Over
|
Avg. Goal
2.93
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FC Porto
Manchester City
|
HТ/FT Probability %
34%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FC Porto
Manchester City
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
56%
44%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.93
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FC Porto
Manchester City
|
Probability %
51%
|
Pred
Away -0.75
|
Avg. Goal
2.93
|
Score Pred.
0-3
|
Double chance : draw or Manchester City
FC Porto head into this Champions League match in a rough patch. They have lost three of their last five games, including a defeat in their most recent outing, and have been inconsistent at best. Manchester City are also not in sparkling form, having lost two of their last three matches, but they did bounce back with a strong away win recently and have drawn their last game, suggesting they are a bit steadier than Porto right now.
Interestingly, when these two teams last met a few years ago, the match was very tight. One game ended without any goals, and the other was won comfortably by Manchester City with a 3-1 scoreline. Given that Porto are struggling at home and Manchester City, despite their own wobbles, have a better recent record against Porto and a slightly stronger overall squad, this looks like a close game. A draw seems a very likely outcome, but if there is a winner, Manchester City would be the safer pick based on their past success in this fixture.
Last Updated: 06 Sep 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for FC Porto 
' Out: A. Varela
68
' Out: Martim Fernandes
73
' Out: Andre Silva
73
' Out: Gabri Veiga
83
Substitutes for Manchester City
48' Out: J. Gvardiol
48
' Out: A. Semenyo
62
' Out: R. Cherki
62
' Out: A. Bouaddi
75
' Out: P. Foden
75
REFEREE
S. Marciniak
- FC Porto and Manchester City last met in the 2020 UEFA Champions League group stage, with City winning 3-1 at home before a 0-0 draw in Portugal.
- Manchester City have historically dominated this fixture, holding a 80% advantage in head-to-head comparisons based on past results.
- FC Porto enter this match after suffering three defeats in their last five outings, with two of those losses coming at home.
- Manchester City have also been inconsistent, losing two of their last five matches but bouncing back with a 4-1 away victory most recently.
- City hold the statistical edge in attack, averaging 2.01 goals per game compared to Porto's 1.74.
- The visitors also dominate possession metrics, controlling an average of 63.82% of the ball versus Porto's 58.39%.
- Manchester City are the more prolific shooting side, managing an average of 16.64 shots per match compared to Porto's 14.90.
- The prediction model strongly favors the away side, giving Manchester City and the draw a combined 100% chance of securing the result.
- Historical data suggests goals are likely, with Manchester City holding a 75% edge in goal-scoring probability over Porto.
- City are expected to face minimal disciplinary pressure, with a median of just 1 yellow card per game compared to Porto's 3.
- The bookmakers' top pick for this clash is a Double Chance (Draw or Manchester City) at odds of 1.23 with 1xBet.
- These two European heavyweights haven't crossed paths in over five years, making this Champions League encounter a highly anticipated reunion.
0/
1/
2
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
3
Corners
20
24
Fouls
45
7
Offsides
5
13
Shots
47
3
Shots on Goal
22
3
Yellow Cards
9
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goals
5
5
Goals Conceded
1
1
Clean Sheets
2
Last matches for FCP 
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
0
Manchester City
2
L
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
04 SEP, 2026
FC Porto
2
Moreirense
1
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
29 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
3
Academico Viseu
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Arouca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
15 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Rio Ave
0
W
Primeira Liga 2026-2027
09 AUG, 2026
FC Porto
2
Alverca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
16 MAY, 2026
FC Porto
1
Santa Clara
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
10 MAY, 2026
FC Porto
1
AVS
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
FC Porto
2
Estrela
1
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
FC Porto
3
Estoril
1
W
Last matches for MAN
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
08 SEP, 2026
Manchester City
2
FC Porto
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
05 SEP, 2026
Manchester City
1
Coventry
0
W
Premier League 2026-2027
28 AUG, 2026
Manchester City
4
Crystal Palace
1
W
Premier League 2026-2027
23 AUG, 2026
Manchester City
2
Bournemouth
1
W
Premier League 2025-2026
24 MAY, 2026
Manchester City
1
Aston Villa
2
L
Premier League 2025-2026
19 MAY, 2026
Manchester City
1
Bournemouth
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
13 MAY, 2026
Manchester City
3
Crystal Palace
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
09 MAY, 2026
Manchester City
3
Brentford
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
04 MAY, 2026
Manchester City
3
Everton
3
D
Premier League 2025-2026
22 APR, 2026
Manchester City
1
Burnley
0
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
5.45
Marathonbet
4.20
Marathonbet
1.76
Dafabet
101.03 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
5.45
4.20
1.64
96.96%
1xBet
Bonus
5.43
4.18
1.66
97.48%
Pinnacle
5.40
4.03
1.67
96.89%
Unibet
5.25
4.00
1.64
95.22%
William Hill
5.00
3.80
1.65
93.53%
HIGHEST ODDS
5.35
Marathonbet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
97.26 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
5.35
2.31
2.14
91.99%
1xBet
Bonus
5.35
2.31
2.14
91.99%
Pinnacle
5.28
2.52
2.23
96.65%
Bet365
5.00
2.40
2.20
93.35%
Betfair
5.00
2.40
2.10
91.50%
HIGHEST ODDS
4.95
Marathonbet
2.80
Unibet
2.05
10Bet
95.51 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
4.95
2.75
1.92
92.04%
1xBet
Bonus
4.95
2.75
1.92
92.04%
Unibet
4.50
2.80
1.95
91.56%
William Hill
4.40
2.60
2.00
89.94%
888Sport
Bonus
4.40
2.60
2.00
89.94%
