Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
w d l w w
2 - 1
1.30
xG
0.76
Full Time
Lecce
w w l l w
R. Hojlund
46'
M. Politano
67'
Jamil Siebert
3'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Napoli or draw

Napoli's recent form has been quite mixed, with a couple of wins, a draw, and a couple of losses in their last few games. Lecce, on the other hand, has also been struggling for consistency, having lost their last two matches after a couple of good wins. When these two teams met earlier in the season, it was a very close game with only one goal deciding it.

Looking at how both teams have been performing, this match seems like it could be quite tight and competitive. Neither side is coming in with dominant, winning form, which often leads to a close contest. Based on their current shape and the fact their last meeting was so close, this game looks most likely to end in a draw.

Last Updated: 12 Mar 2026 07:24 AM
starting lineups
 
A. Meret
 
M. Olivera
 
A. Buongiorno
 
S. Beukema
 
L. Spinazzola
 
B. Gilmour
 
F. Anguissa
8.9
 
M. Politano
 
Alisson Santos
 
E. Elmas
7.3
 
R. Hojlund
 
W. Falcone
 
A. Gallo
 
Tiago Gabriel
7.5
 
Jamil Siebert
 
Danilo Veiga
 
O. Ngom
 
Y. Ramadani
 
Lameck Banda
 
L. Coulibaly
 
S. Pierotti
 
N. Štulić
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Napoli
S. McTominay
' Out: E. Elmas
46
K. De Bruyne
' Out: F. Anguissa
46
M. Gutierrez
72' Out: M. Politano
72
P. Mazzocchi
' Out: L. Spinazzola
72
Giovane
' Out: Alisson Santos
85
Substitutes for Lecce
O. Gandelman
' Out: L. Coulibaly
46
W. Cheddira
' Out: N. Štulić
59
K. Ndri
' Out: S. Pierotti
79
C. Ndaba
' Out: A. Gallo
79
Sadik Fofana
' Out: O. Ngom
85
statistics
70 Ball Possession 30
2 Goals 1
1.30 Expected Goals 0.76
match facts

REFEREE

R. Abisso

  • This is a Serie A 2025-2026 fixture between Napoli and Lecce.
  • Napoli won the previous meeting this season 1-0 in October 2025.
  • Napoli's recent form is mixed with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.
  • Lecce have lost 3 of their last 5 matches, winning the other two.
  • Napoli averages 1.41 goals per game this season, while Lecce averages just 0.53.
  • Napoli averages significantly more shots per game (13.61) than Lecce (9.79).
  • Napoli typically enjoys higher possession (55.87%) compared to Lecce (42.75%).
  • Prediction models heavily favor Napoli not to lose, with a double chance (Napoli or Draw) at 90% probability.
  • The head-to-head comparison gives Napoli a massive 93% advantage over Lecce.
  • Statistical models show Napoli with a 77% advantage in poisson distribution, indicating a higher likelihood of scoring.
  • Lecce's defensive stats are rated slightly higher (53%) than Napoli's (47%) in the comparison.
  • The highest odds for the predicted 'Double Chance: Home/Draw' outcome are 1.08 from Pinnacle.
Last Updated: 12 Mar 2026 07:24 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
12 Corners 10
25 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 1
26 Shots 19
7 Shots on Goal 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#3
33
20
6
7
15
66
#18
32
7
6
19
-24
27