Pisa vs Lecce

Pisa
l l l l l
1 - 2
2.08
xG
1.14
Full Time
Lecce
l l l d d
M. Leris
56'
Lameck Banda
52'
W. Cheddira
65'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : draw or Lecce and -3.5 goals

Pisa are having a tough time at the moment. They have lost more games than they have won recently, and their last match ended in a defeat. Lecce, on the other hand, are in much better shape. They have not lost in their last two games, picking up two draws, and their recent form looks far more stable.

When these two teams met earlier this season, the game was decided by a single goal with a 1-0 scoreline. Based on recent results and how the teams are playing, Lecce look like the stronger side and should avoid defeat here. A draw is also a very possible outcome, but Lecce seem the more likely to win.

Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:21 AM
starting lineups
Ā 
A. Semper
Ā 
R. Bozhinov
6.2
Ā 
A. Caracciolo
Ā 
S. Canestrelli
Ā 
S. Angori
6.2
Ā 
M. Aebischer
Ā 
E. Akinsanmiro
Ā 
I. Vural
7.6
Ā 
M. Leris
Ā 
S. Moreo
Ā 
F. Stojilkovic
Ā 
W. Falcone
Ā 
A. Gallo
Ā 
Tiago Gabriel
Ā 
Jamil Siebert
Ā 
Danilo Veiga
Ā 
O. Ngom
Ā 
Y. Ramadani
8.3
Ā 
Lameck Banda
Ā 
L. Coulibaly
6.7
Ā 
S. Pierotti
7.5
Ā 
W. Cheddira
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Pisa
I. Toure
' Out: S. Angori
64
G. Piccinini
' Out: I. Vural
70
H. Meister
' Out: F. Stojilkovic
70
J. Cuadrado
' Out: R. Bozhinov
81
Rafiu Durosinmi
' Out: E. Akinsanmiro
81
Substitutes for Lecce
Gaby Jean
71' Out: Lameck Banda
71
F. Camarda
71' Out: W. Cheddira
71
O. Gandelman
90' Out: S. Pierotti
90
statistics
58 Ball Possession 42
1 Goals 2
2.08 Expected Goals 1.14
match facts

REFEREE

D. Doveri

STADIUM

Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani

LOCATION

Pisa

  • Pisa and Lecce meet in a Serie A clash where the prediction sees a clear 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an away win.
  • Lecce have a significant edge in recent form, holding 100% of the form comparison against Pisa.
  • Only one previous head-to-head match is recorded: Lecce beat Pisa 1-0 away in December 2025.
  • Both sides average less than one goal per match: Pisa scores 0.63 goals per game, Lecce just 0.58.
  • Lecce hold a defensive advantage (63% vs 37%), suggesting Pisa may struggle to break them down.
  • Pisa's recent home form is inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five.
  • Lecce arrive at the Arena Garibaldi after two consecutive 0-0 and 1-1 draws, showing resilience.
  • Possession stats are tight: Pisa average 40.3%, Lecce 42.6%, with median stats projecting a near-even split (51-49).
  • Shots per game are almost identical: Pisa 9.79, Lecce 9.91, pointing to a tightly-contested affair.
  • The recommended betting tip is a double chance on draw or Lecce, with under 3.5 total goals.
  • Lecce rank higher in the Poisson distribution attack prediction (56% vs 44%), giving them the edge in expected goals.
  • The overall match prediction sees Lecce as slight favorites with 55.8% total win probability vs 44.2% for Pisa.
Last Updated: 29 Apr 2026 07:21 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
7 Corners 13
21 Fouls 30
9 Offsides 3
23 Shots 28
7 Shots on Goal 7
5 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#17
38
10
8
20
-22
38
#20
38
2
12
24
-45
18