Liverpool vs Villarreal

Liverpool
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Villarreal
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Predictions
Stats
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Predictions

Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and +1.5 goals

Liverpool are heading into this Champions League match in a bit of a rut. Their last five games have all ended in draws or a loss, with two of those draws finishing 2-2. While they aren't losing many, they seem to have lost their winning touch and are struggling to close out games. Villarreal, on the other hand, have had a rougher time lately, losing their most recent match and winning none in their last five, which includes a heavy 5-1 defeat. They are clearly out of form and will be desperate to turn things around.

The last time these two met was back in 2022, and those were very tight, high-scoring affairs, with one game ending 2-3 and the other 2-0. Given Liverpool's home advantage and their historical edge in this matchup, they are the stronger side here. However, because Liverpool are drawing so often and Villarreal are struggling to get results, this has the look of a very close game, with a draw or a narrow win for Liverpool being the most likely outcome.

Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:03 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

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WILL BOTH TEAMS SCORE?

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WHO WILL SCORE FIRST?

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match facts
  • Liverpool and Villarreal meet in the UEFA Champions League for the first time since their dramatic 2022 semi-final, which Liverpool won 5-2 on aggregate.
  • In their last head-to-head encounter, Liverpool secured a thrilling 3-2 comeback victory at Villarreal, overturning a 2-0 deficit from the first leg.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last four matches across all competitions, though they have drawn three of those, showing a tendency for tight contests.
  • Villarreal have struggled for consistency recently, with three losses in their last five outings, including a heavy 5-1 defeat away from home.
  • Liverpool boast a superior attacking output, averaging 1.78 goals per game compared to Villarreal's 1.43.
  • The Reds dominate possession, averaging nearly 60% per match, while Villarreal hold just over 51%—suggesting Liverpool will control the tempo.
  • Liverpool are significantly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 17.11 shots per game versus Villarreal's 12.33.
  • Historical data heavily favors Liverpool, with a 75% win probability based on head-to-head results.
  • Statistical models give Liverpool a 73% edge in the goals market, indicating they are expected to outscore their Spanish opponents.
  • The pre-match prediction strongly suggests a Liverpool win or draw, giving the home side a 50% chance of victory and a 50% chance of a stalemate.
  • The match kicks off on October 20, 2026, at Anfield, where Liverpool's home advantage could prove decisive.
  • Villarreal face an uphill battle, as the overall prediction comparison gives them just a 26% chance of a positive outcome.
Last Updated: 01 Sep 2026 06:03 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
12 Corners 3
23 Fouls 25
8 Offsides 8
34 Shots 6
10 Shots on Goal 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
5 Goals 2
2 Goals Conceded 5
1 Clean Sheets 0
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#13
1
1
0
0
1
3
#22
1
0
0
1
-1
0