Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre
d d d l w
2 - 1
0.72
xG
1.23
Full Time
Nice
l d d d d
S. Mara
27'
L. Sinayoko
70'
S. Diop
9'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Auxerre or draw

Auxerre welcomes Nice to the Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps in what looks like a very tight contest. The home side has been struggling lately, with three straight losses and two draws before that, so they are not in good shape at all. Nice, on the other hand, has been stuck in a rut of draws, with four draws in their last five away games and only one loss recently. Neither team has been winning much, and this makes the match feel quite even.

Looking at recent meetings between these two, the games have usually been close with few goals. Three of their last five matchups ended in 1-1 draws, and even the wins were by just one goal. Given that both teams are struggling to find victories and their head-to-heads are typically tight, this match looks likely to be a draw.

Last Updated: 08 May 2026 06:01 PM
starting lineups
 
D. Leon
 
G. Mensah
 
B. Okoh
 
S. Diomande
 
L. Sy
 
K. Danois
 
Elisha Owusu
 
N. Ahamada
 
Danny Namaso
7.6
 
S. Mara
7.3
 
L. Sinayoko
 
Y. Diouf
 
M. Bard
 
K. Peprah
 
J. Bah
 
A. Mendy
 
J. Clauss
7.2
 
S. Diop
 
Hicham Boudaoui
 
S. Abdul Samed
 
M. Sanson
 
M. Cho
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Auxerre
C. Akpa
' Out: B. Okoh
13
Marvin Senaya
' Out: L. Sy
71
M. Cissokho
' Out: Danny Namaso
86
Josué Casimir
86' Out: S. Mara
86
Substitutes for Nice
A. Abdi
' Out: M. Bard
59
T. Louchet
' Out: S. Abdul Samed
59
E. Wahi
' Out: M. Cho
76
Kevin
' Out: M. Sanson
76
I. Jansson
81' Out: S. Diop
81
statistics
52 Ball Possession 48
2 Goals 1
0.72 Expected Goals 1.23
match facts

REFEREE

F. Letexier

STADIUM

Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps

LOCATION

Auxerre

  • Auxerre have drawn their last three Ligue 1 matches (0-0, 1-1, 2-2), showing a stubborn, low-scoring trend at home.
  • Nice are the draw specialists — their last four away matches all ended level, with three of them finishing 1-1.
  • The last three head-to-head meetings between Auxerre and Nice all ended 1-1, making it the most likely scoreline again.
  • Auxerre have failed to win any of the last five head-to-head games against Nice, with three draws and two defeats.
  • Form and recent H2H stats give Auxerre a 60% form advantage and a 50% share in the H2H category.
  • Nice have a slightly better defensive rating (54% vs 46%) but are given just a 10% chance to win this match.
  • Auxerre average 1.40 goals per game this season, while Nice sit almost identical at 1.34 goals per match.
  • Despite similar averages, the Poisson distribution suggests Auxerre hold a 58% edge over Nice’s 42% in expected goal efficiency.
  • The highest betting value is on a Double Chance (Auxerre or Draw) at 1.43 odds, offered by Marathonbet.
  • The prediction model splits exactly evenly at 45% for a home win and 45% for a draw, with only 10% backing an away victory.
  • Auxerre's median shots per match (16) are nearly double Nice's (9), indicating higher attacking volume at home.
  • Both teams average almost identical possession (50.4% home, 50.68% away), pointing to a closely contested midfield battle.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 06:01 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
22 Corners 32
82 Fouls 63
4 Offsides 10
64 Shots 81
27 Shots on Goal 27
7 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 1
8 Goals 8
8 Goals Conceded 8
0 Clean Sheets 0
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#14
36
8
12
16
-20
36
#16
34
8
10
16
-10
34