Auxerre vs Nice
Double chance : Auxerre or draw
Auxerre welcomes Nice to the Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps in what looks like a very tight contest. The home side has been struggling lately, with three straight losses and two draws before that, so they are not in good shape at all. Nice, on the other hand, has been stuck in a rut of draws, with four draws in their last five away games and only one loss recently. Neither team has been winning much, and this makes the match feel quite even.
Looking at recent meetings between these two, the games have usually been close with few goals. Three of their last five matchups ended in 1-1 draws, and even the wins were by just one goal. Given that both teams are struggling to find victories and their head-to-heads are typically tight, this match looks likely to be a draw.
Last Updated: 08 May 2026 06:01 PM
Substitutes for Auxerre
Substitutes for Nice REFEREE
F. Letexier
STADIUM
Stade de l’Abbé Deschamps
LOCATION
Auxerre
- Auxerre have drawn their last three Ligue 1 matches (0-0, 1-1, 2-2), showing a stubborn, low-scoring trend at home.
- Nice are the draw specialists — their last four away matches all ended level, with three of them finishing 1-1.
- The last three head-to-head meetings between Auxerre and Nice all ended 1-1, making it the most likely scoreline again.
- Auxerre have failed to win any of the last five head-to-head games against Nice, with three draws and two defeats.
- Form and recent H2H stats give Auxerre a 60% form advantage and a 50% share in the H2H category.
- Nice have a slightly better defensive rating (54% vs 46%) but are given just a 10% chance to win this match.
- Auxerre average 1.40 goals per game this season, while Nice sit almost identical at 1.34 goals per match.
- Despite similar averages, the Poisson distribution suggests Auxerre hold a 58% edge over Nice’s 42% in expected goal efficiency.
- The highest betting value is on a Double Chance (Auxerre or Draw) at 1.43 odds, offered by Marathonbet.
- The prediction model splits exactly evenly at 45% for a home win and 45% for a draw, with only 10% backing an away victory.
- Auxerre's median shots per match (16) are nearly double Nice's (9), indicating higher attacking volume at home.
- Both teams average almost identical possession (50.4% home, 50.68% away), pointing to a closely contested midfield battle.
Last matches for AUX
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
2
Lille
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
2
Nice
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
3
Angers
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
2
Lyon
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
2
Monaco
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
0
Nantes
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
1
Le Havre
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
3
Stade Brestois 29
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
0
Marseille
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Auxerre
0
Strasbourg
0
Last matches for NIC
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
4
Saint Etienne
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Saint Etienne
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Metz
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Auxerre
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Lens
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Marseille
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Lille
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Le Havre
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Strasbourg
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Paris Saint Germain
4
