Marseille vs Nice
Winner : Marseille
Marseille are heading into this match in really poor form, having lost four of their last five games and only won once. They have been struggling to get results and will be desperate to turn things around in front of their home fans at the Orange Vélodrome. Their opponents, Nice, have been more steady recently, with two wins and two draws in their last five outings, although they did lose one match too.
The recent history between these two sides has been full of goals — their last meeting finished 5-1 to Marseille, and many of the previous encounters have seen three or more goals scored. However, with Marseille looking out of sorts and Nice being harder to beat, this looks like a very close contest. Given Marseille's home advantage but poor form against a solid Nice side, this match feels like it could end in a draw.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Marseille
Substitutes for Nice REFEREE
W. Delajod
STADIUM
Orange Vélodrome
LOCATION
Marseille
- Marseille hosts Nice at the Orange Vélodrome, with the home side predicted as the winner.
- The prediction model gives Marseille a 45% chance to win, the same as for a draw, while Nice's win probability is just 10%.
- In their last 11 head-to-head meetings, both teams have been evenly matched, with each winning five and drawing one.
- Marseille's recent form is poor with four losses in their last five Ligue 1 matches.
- Nice are on a two-match winning streak in their away fixtures, which could boost their confidence on the road.
- Marseille average 1.64 goals per game this season, while Nice average 1.33.
- The home side holds a higher average possession (57.53%) compared to Nice (50.79%).
- Marseille's attack is rated 60% stronger than Nice's attack in the pre-match analysis.
- Defensively, Marseille also hold a slight edge, rated 53% to Nice's 47%.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Marseille for scoring, giving them a 74% probability versus 26% for Nice.
- Nice's last away match ended in a 0-0 stalemate, showing they can be tough to break down on the road.
- Marseille are considered the slight overall favorite with a 58.7% total comparison rating against Nice's 41.3%.
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Marseille
Ligue 1 2024-2025
Nice
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Nice
Ligue 1 2023-2024
Marseille
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Nice
Ligue 1 2022-2023
Marseille
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Nice
Ligue 1 2021-2022
Marseille
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Marseille
Ligue 1 2020-2021
Nice
Last matches for MAR
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
3
Rennes
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Le Havre
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
0
Nantes
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Nice
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
0
Lorient
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
3
Metz
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Monaco
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Lille
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Auxerre
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Marseille
1
Toulouse
0
Last matches for NIC
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
4
Saint Etienne
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Saint Etienne
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Metz
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Auxerre
2
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Lens
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Marseille
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Lille
0
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Le Havre
1
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
1
Strasbourg
3
Ligue 1 2025-2026
Nice
0
Paris Saint Germain
4
