Marseille vs Nice

Marseille
w l l w l
1 - 1
2.08
xG
1.46
Full Time
Nice
w l l d d
P. Hojbjerg
66'
E. Wahi
88'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Winner : Marseille

Marseille are heading into this match in really poor form, having lost four of their last five games and only won once. They have been struggling to get results and will be desperate to turn things around in front of their home fans at the Orange Vélodrome. Their opponents, Nice, have been more steady recently, with two wins and two draws in their last five outings, although they did lose one match too.

The recent history between these two sides has been full of goals — their last meeting finished 5-1 to Marseille, and many of the previous encounters have seen three or more goals scored. However, with Marseille looking out of sorts and Nice being harder to beat, this looks like a very close contest. Given Marseille's home advantage but poor form against a solid Nice side, this match feels like it could end in a draw.

Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
6.2
 
G. Rulli
6.9
 
F. Medina
 
Leonardo Balerdi
 
B. Pavard
6.6
 
Emerson
 
A. Vermeeren
8.3
 
P. Hojbjerg
 
Tochukwu Nnadi
7.9
 
T. Weah
 
Q. Timber
 
P. Aubameyang
 
Y. Diouf
 
M. Bard
 
K. Peprah
 
J. Bah
 
A. Mendy
 
J. Clauss
 
M. Sanson
 
S. Abdul Samed
 
Hicham Boudaoui
 
M. Cho
6.9
 
E. Wahi
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Marseille
T. Mmadi
62' Out: Emerson
62
M. Greenwood
' Out: A. Vermeeren
63
N. Kamissoko
' Out: Tochukwu Nnadi
80
H. Abdelli
' Out: Q. Timber
81
Substitutes for Nice
S. Diop
' Out: M. Sanson
46
Kaïl Boudache
' Out: M. Cho
67
Kevin
' Out: S. Abdul Samed
81
A. Abdi
' Out: M. Bard
81
Charles Vanhoutte
90' Out: E. Wahi
90
statistics
69 Ball Possession 31
1 Goals 1
2.08 Expected Goals 1.46
match facts

REFEREE

W. Delajod

STADIUM

Orange Vélodrome

LOCATION

Marseille

  • Marseille hosts Nice at the Orange Vélodrome, with the home side predicted as the winner.
  • The prediction model gives Marseille a 45% chance to win, the same as for a draw, while Nice's win probability is just 10%.
  • In their last 11 head-to-head meetings, both teams have been evenly matched, with each winning five and drawing one.
  • Marseille's recent form is poor with four losses in their last five Ligue 1 matches.
  • Nice are on a two-match winning streak in their away fixtures, which could boost their confidence on the road.
  • Marseille average 1.64 goals per game this season, while Nice average 1.33.
  • The home side holds a higher average possession (57.53%) compared to Nice (50.79%).
  • Marseille's attack is rated 60% stronger than Nice's attack in the pre-match analysis.
  • Defensively, Marseille also hold a slight edge, rated 53% to Nice's 47%.
  • The Poisson distribution heavily favors Marseille for scoring, giving them a 74% probability versus 26% for Nice.
  • Nice's last away match ended in a 0-0 stalemate, showing they can be tough to break down on the road.
  • Marseille are considered the slight overall favorite with a 58.7% total comparison rating against Nice's 41.3%.
Last Updated: 24 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
63 Corners 49
138 Fouls 122
13 Offsides 30
155 Shots 143
55 Shots on Goal 51
23 Yellow Cards 25
4 Red Cards 0
20 Goals 17
17 Goals Conceded 20
2 Clean Sheets 3
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
34
18
5
11
18
59
#14
36
8
12
16
-20
36