Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse
d l l d l
0 - 1
0.91
xG
1.13
Full Time
Marseille
d l d l w
M. Greenwood
18'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Marseille

Toulouse is coming into this match in a tough patch, having struggled to win recently. They have lost a few games and drawn a couple, so they are not in their best shape. Marseille hasn't been doing much better, also finding wins hard to come by and coming off a couple of losses.

Looking at how these teams have played each other, their games are often very close and exciting, with several recent meetings seeing goals from both sides. Given both teams' current struggles and their history of tight matches, this game looks very evenly matched and could easily end in a draw.

Last Updated: 05 Mar 2026 10:53 AM
starting lineups
6.2
1
G. Restes
6.7
3
M. McKenzie
6.9
2
R. Nicolaisen
6.7
19
D. Sidibe
6.2
24
Dayann Methalie
6.7
18
P. Demba
6.6
23
C. Casseres
7.3
12
W. Kamanzi
7.3
10
Y. Gboho
6.7
15
A. Donnum
6.2
20
Emersonn
7.9
1
G. Rulli
6.9
32
F. Medina
7.3
5
Leonardo Balerdi
7.3
28
B. Pavard
6.6
14
I. Paixao
6.2
23
P. Hojbjerg
7.2
19
G. Kondogbia
7
22
T. Weah
7.2
27
Q. Timber
6.9
17
P. Aubameyang
7.7
10
M. Greenwood
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Toulouse
S. Hidalgo
46' Out: Emersonn
46
A. Vossah
69' Out: C. Casseres
69
J. Russell-Rowe
78' Out: W. Kamanzi
78
J. Vignolo
79' Out: Dayann Methalie
79
Mario Sauer
84' Out: P. Demba
84
Substitutes for Marseille
Tochukwu Nnadi
66' Out: G. Kondogbia
66
A. Gouiri
66' Out: M. Greenwood
66
A. Vermeeren
82' Out: Q. Timber
82
Emerson
83' Out: P. Aubameyang
83
statistics
49 Ball Possession 51
0 Goals 1
0.91 Expected Goals 1.13
match facts

REFEREE

B. Dechepy

STADIUM

Stadium de Toulouse

LOCATION

Toulouse

  • This is a Ligue 1 2025-2026 clash between Toulouse and Marseille at the Stadium de Toulouse.
  • The reverse fixture this season ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • Toulouse are winless in their last five matches (D2 L3).
  • Marseille are also without a win in their last five games (D2 L3).
  • Both teams have struggled for clean sheets recently, conceding in their last several matches.
  • Historically, Marseille have the edge in recent head-to-heads, winning three of the last seven meetings.
  • Marseille averages higher possession (57.6%) than Toulouse (50.9%) this season.
  • The match prediction heavily favors a double chance of draw or Marseille win.
  • Statistical models give Marseille a 60.8% total win probability compared to Toulouse's 39.2%.
  • Key factors favoring Marseille include recent form, attack, and head-to-head record.
  • Toulouse's main statistical advantage comes from their defensive ratings.
  • The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.37 from Pinnacle.
Last Updated: 05 Mar 2026 10:53 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
25 Corners 40
88 Fouls 93
13 Offsides 13
74 Shots 114
28 Shots on Goal 39
18 Yellow Cards 16
1 Red Cards 0
10 Goals 20
20 Goals Conceded 10
1 Clean Sheets 2
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#6
30
16
4
10
18
52
#11
30
10
7
13
-1
37