Metz vs Toulouse

Metz
d l l l l
3 - 4
1.65
xG
1.42
Full Time
Toulouse
l l d l l
N. Mbala
30'
Koffi Kouao
31'
G. Abuashvili
88'
A. Donnum
6'
Y. Gboho
14'
Y. Gboho
45'+3'
Mario Sauer
90'+9'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Combo Double chance : draw or Toulouse and -3.5 goals

Metz, playing at home, have had mixed results lately with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five games. They are coming off a heavy defeat. Toulouse, the away team, have also been inconsistent, with just one win, three losses, and a draw in their recent matches. Looking at their recent meetings, the games have not been close, with one side often winning by a few goals.

Based on their current form and the pattern from past games, this match looks like it could go either way, but Toulouse might have a slight edge to get a result.

Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:28 AM
starting lineups
 
J. Fischer
 
M. Colin
 
U. Mboula
 
S. Sane
7.5
 
Koffi Kouao
 
Jessy Deminguet
 
J. Gbamin
 
G. Tsitaishvili
 
G. Hein
 
B. Sarr
7.7
 
N. Mbala
 
G. Restes
 
R. Nicolaisen
 
M. McKenzie
 
D. Sidibe
6.2
 
W. Kamanzi
 
P. Demba
6.3
 
A. Vossah
8
 
A. Donnum
8.9
 
Y. Gboho
 
J. Russell-Rowe
 
S. Hidalgo
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Metz
H. Diallo
70' Out: N. Mbala
70
A. Toure
' Out: Jessy Deminguet
70
G. Abuashvili
71' Out: Koffi Kouao
71
T. Yegbe
' Out: U. Mboula
76
L. Michal
' Out: B. Sarr
89
Substitutes for Toulouse
K. Haug
' Out: G. Restes
60
Emersonn
' Out: J. Russell-Rowe
64
Mario Sauer
65' Out: A. Vossah
65
S. Koumbassa
' Out: S. Hidalgo
76
statistics
50 Ball Possession 50
3 Goals 4
1.65 Expected Goals 1.42
match facts

REFEREE

G. Angoula

STADIUM

Stade Saint-Symphorien

LOCATION

Longeville-lès-Metz

  • Metz hosts Toulouse in Ligue 1 at the Stade Saint-Symphorien.
  • Toulouse won the last H2H meeting 4-0 in October 2025.
  • Metz's recent home form is mixed, with two wins and three losses in their last five.
  • Toulouse's away form shows just one win in their last five matches on the road.
  • Toulouse averages 1.5 goals per game this season, higher than Metz's 1.22.
  • Toulouse also averages more possession (50.87%) and shots (12.89) than Metz.
  • In the last H2H, the median shots were 15 for Toulouse to Metz's 4.
  • Possession in that match heavily favored Toulouse with a median of 61%.
  • Match prediction heavily favors a draw or Toulouse win (combined 90% probability).
  • Statistical models give Toulouse a significant 70.3% to 29.8% advantage over Metz.
  • Key factors favoring Toulouse are H2H history (85%) and goalscoring (83%).
  • The 'Double Chance: Draw/Away' market offers an odd of 1.28 with 1xBet.
Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:28 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
16 Corners 15
48 Fouls 55
1 Offsides 4
41 Shots 54
15 Shots on Goal 25
4 Yellow Cards 10
2 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 12
12 Goals Conceded 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#12
30
10
7
13
-1
37
#18
30
3
6
21
-39
15