Paris Saint Germain vs Toulouse

Paris Saint Germain
w l w w w
3 - 1
1.78
xG
0.16
Full Time
Toulouse
d l l w w
O. Dembele
23'
O. Dembele
33'
Gonçalo Ramos
90'+2'
R. Nicolaisen
27'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Paris Saint Germain or draw

Paris Saint Germain are in very good shape, having won four of their last five matches. They are playing at home, which is a strong advantage. Toulouse have been struggling a bit recently, with two losses and a draw in their last five games.

Looking at recent meetings between these teams, the matches have often been quite open with several goals. Given PSG's strong current form and home advantage, they are the clear favorite to win this match.

Last Updated: 31 Mar 2026 07:22 PM
starting lineups
 
M. Safonov
 
L. Hernandez
 
W. Pacho
 
I. Zabarnyi
 
A. Hakimi
 
D. Doue
 
L. Beraldo
 
W. Zaire-Emery
 
K. Kvaratskhelia
8.7
 
O. Dembele
 
Lee Kang-In
 
G. Restes
7.2
 
R. Nicolaisen
 
S. Koumbassa
 
M. McKenzie
 
Dayann Methalie
 
P. Demba
6.3
 
C. Casseres
 
D. Sidibe
 
Y. Gboho
 
A. Donnum
 
Emersonn
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Paris Saint Germain
J. Neves
' Out: Lee Kang-In
59
Vitinha
' Out: L. Beraldo
67
N. Mendes
' Out: K. Kvaratskhelia
68
Gonçalo Ramos
' Out: D. Doue
87
Substitutes for Toulouse
W. Kamanzi
' Out: Dayann Methalie
67
J. Russell-Rowe
' Out: Emersonn
83
I. Azizi
' Out: D. Sidibe
83
Mario Sauer
83' Out: C. Casseres
83
statistics
72 Ball Possession 28
3 Goals 1
1.78 Expected Goals 0.16
match facts

REFEREE

E. Wattellier

STADIUM

Parc des Princes

LOCATION

Paris

  • Paris Saint Germain have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
  • Toulouse's last victory at the Parc des Princes was a 3-0 win in November 2024.
  • PSG are in strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Toulouse have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last 5 games.
  • PSG average 2.23 goals per game this season, significantly higher than Toulouse's 1.52.
  • PSG dominate possession on average (63.5%) compared to Toulouse (50.8%).
  • The median possession in their past meetings heavily favors PSG at 62%.
  • PSG have a clear historical advantage, leading the H2H comparison with an 80% rating.
  • Statistical models give PSG a 65.3% chance of winning this match.
  • The prediction advice strongly favors a PSG win or draw (Double Chance).
  • Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with the 'def' comparison rated at 50% each.
  • The Poisson distribution model predicts a 75% probability for a PSG victory.
Last Updated: 31 Mar 2026 07:22 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
45 Corners 33
71 Fouls 82
11 Offsides 12
140 Shots 96
53 Shots on Goal 32
6 Yellow Cards 9
0 Red Cards 0
20 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 20
3 Clean Sheets 0
ligue 1 standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
30
22
3
5
43
69
#10
31
10
8
13
-1
38