Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia
l d w l w
1 - 1
0.69
xG
1.17
Full Time
Rayo Vallecano
l w d w d
D. Lopez
40'
F. Lejeune
20'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Valencia or draw

Valencia come into this match on the back of two good away wins, but they have been inconsistent at home lately, losing two of their last three at Mestalla. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, have been hard to beat recently, drawing three of their last five matches and winning away last time out. Recent meetings between these two sides have been very tight, with four of the last five ending in draws, and most of them with only one or two goals. This looks like a very close match, with neither team showing the kind of form to suggest a clear winner, so a draw seems the most likely result.

Last Updated: 12 May 2026 07:20 AM

WHO WILL WIN?

0%

0%

100%

Total votes: 1

starting lineups
Ā 
S. Dimitrievski
Ā 
JosƩ Luis GayƠ
Ā 
E. Comert
Ā 
C. Tarrega
5.6
Ā 
R. Saravia
Ā 
L. Rioja
Ā 
G. Rodriguez
Ā 
Pepelu
7.6
Ā 
D. Lopez
Ā 
J. Guerra
Ā 
H. Duro
Ā 
A. Batalla
Ā 
P. Chavarria
Ā 
N. Mendy
7.9
Ā 
F. Lejeune
Ā 
I. Balliu
Ā 
G. Gumbau
Ā 
O. Valentin
Ā 
Pacha
Ā 
P. Diaz
Ā 
F. Perez
5.3
Ā 
R. Nteka
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Valencia
U. Nunez
32' Out: R. Saravia
32
L. Ramazani
' Out: J. Guerra
61
U. Sadiq
' Out: H. Duro
61
F. Ugrinic
' Out: Pepelu
61
J. Vazquez
' Out: JosƩ Luis GayƠ
63
Substitutes for Rayo Vallecano
Alemao
60' Out: R. Nteka
60
J. de Frutos
' Out: F. Perez
60
P. Ciss
' Out: O. Valentin
61
U. Lopez
' Out: G. Gumbau
67
A. Ratiu
' Out: I. Balliu
73
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
1 Goals 1
0.69 Expected Goals 1.17
match facts

REFEREE

A. Quintero Gonzalez

STADIUM

Estadio de Mestalla

LOCATION

Valencia

  • Rayo Vallecano have an edge in recent form (59% vs 41%), but Valencia enter this match on a two-game winning streak.
  • The last three meetings between these sides all ended in 1-1 draws, making it a notoriously tight fixture.
  • Rayo Vallecano average a higher possession rate (51.69%) than Valencia (47.11%) this season.
  • Despite their form advantage, the prediction model gives Rayo only a 45% chance of winning, with the draw also at 45%.
  • Valencia have won two consecutive away games without conceding a goal (0-1 and 0-2) heading into this home fixture.
  • Rayo Vallecano have drawn three of their last five away matches, including a 3-3 thriller and a 1-1 stalemate.
  • Valencia have struggled to score at home this season, averaging just 1.15 goals per game.
  • Rayo Vallecano take more shots on average (13.19) than Valencia (10.89) per match.
  • In nine meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano have won only twice, but both victories came away from home (0-1 in 2023 and 2024).
  • The highest betting value for this match is on a Draw or Rayo Vallecano double chance, priced at 1.72 odds.
  • Valencia hold a slight defensive edge in the prediction model (55% vs 45%), but Rayo dominate in attack (64% vs 36%).
  • Overall, the prediction comparison gives Rayo Vallecano a narrow 51.3% advantage over Valencia's 48.7%.
Last Updated: 12 May 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
54 Corners 54
128 Fouls 165
17 Offsides 21
117 Shots 104
36 Shots on Goal 35
25 Yellow Cards 26
1 Red Cards 0
8 Goals 9
9 Goals Conceded 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
la liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#8
38
13
10
15
-9
49
#9
38
11
15
12
-6
48