Genoa vs AC Milan

Genoa
w w l d d
1 - 2
1.35
xG
1.45
Full Time
AC Milan
l w d l l
J. Vasquez
86'
C. Nkunku
50'
Z. Athekame
81'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Genoa or draw

Genoa are heading into this match in good shape. They have not lost in their last four games, winning two and drawing two, and they have kept clean sheets in their last two matches. AC Milan have been a bit more up and down, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games, though they did win their most recent match.

The only recent meeting between these two sides this season ended in a 1-1 draw, which suggests this could be a tight contest again. Given Genoa's strong recent form and home advantage, the match looks very close and could go either way, but a draw seems the most likely outcome based on the data.

Last Updated: 15 May 2026 07:20 AM
starting lineups
6.2
Ā 
J. Bijlow
7.7
Ā 
J. Vasquez
Ā 
S. Otoa
Ā 
A. Marcandalli
Ā 
M. E. Ellertsson
Ā 
R. Malinovskyi
Ā 
Amorim
Ā 
M. Frendrup
7.3
Ā 
Vitinha
Ā 
T. Baldanzi
Ā 
L. Colombo
Ā 
M. Maignan
Ā 
S. Pavlovic
6.2
Ā 
M. Gabbia
6.3
Ā 
F. Tomori
Ā 
D. Bartesaghi
Ā 
Adrien Rabiot
Ā 
A. Jashari
Ā 
Y. Fofana
8.2
Ā 
Z. Athekame
7.3
Ā 
C. Nkunku
Ā 
S. Gimenez
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Genoa
J. Ekhator
' Out: T. Baldanzi
64
C. Ekuban
' Out: L. Colombo
85
Aarón Martín
' Out: Amorim
90
Substitutes for AC Milan
N. Fullkrug
' Out: S. Gimenez
68
S. Ricci
' Out: Y. Fofana
68
K. De Winter
76' Out: F. Tomori
76
C. Pulisic
76' Out: C. Nkunku
76
R. Loftus-Cheek
' Out: A. Jashari
85
statistics
62 Ball Possession 38
1 Goals 2
1.35 Expected Goals 1.45
match facts

REFEREE

S. Sozza

  • Genoa and AC Milan have met only once this season, drawing 1-1 in January.
  • Genoa are unbeaten in their last two home matches, winning both without conceding.
  • AC Milan have won three of their last five away games, scoring at least two goals in each win.
  • Genoa average just 1.05 goals per game this season, while AC Milan score 1.26 on average.
  • The prediction market heavily favors a draw or Genoa win, with odds of 2.16 for the double chance bet.
  • AC Milan hold a slight edge in overall prediction (52.3%), but Genoa lead in form (67%) and defense (67%).
  • Genoa have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches across all competitions.
  • AC Milan possess the ball more on average (50.46%) compared to Genoa (47.81%).
  • Genoa’s most recent home game ended 0-0, while Milan’s last away fixture saw them win 3-2.
  • Milan’s attack is rated significantly higher by Poisson distribution (72% to 28%).
  • Head-to-head history strongly favors AC Milan (75% to 25%) despite the recent draw.
  • Both teams are mid-table contenders, making this a tightly contested matchup with minimal margins.
Last Updated: 15 May 2026 07:20 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
5 Corners 16
16 Fouls 30
2 Offsides 2
17 Shots 39
4 Shots on Goal 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goals 3
3 Goals Conceded 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
serie a standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#5
38
20
10
8
18
70
#16
38
10
11
17
-10
41