Atalanta vs Genoa
Double chance : Atalanta or draw
Atalanta are playing at home in this Serie A match, but they come into it with a mixed run of form - they've won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games. Genoa, on the other hand, are in very good shape having won their last two matches and three of their last five. When these two teams met earlier in the season, Genoa won 1-0 away, which was a tight, low-scoring game.
Recent matches for both sides have seen goals at both ends, with several games finishing with two or more goals. Given that Atalanta are at home but Genoa have better recent form and have already beaten them this season, this looks like a close match that could go either way, though Genoa's momentum makes them a slight favourite to get at least a draw.
Last Updated: 30 Apr 2026 06:00 PM
Substitutes for Atalanta
Substitutes for Genoa REFEREE
I. Pezzuto
STADIUM
Gewiss Stadium
LOCATION
Bergamo
- Serie A leaders Atalanta host Genoa at the Gewiss Stadium on matchday 36, with kickoff scheduled for May 2, 2026.
- Atalanta have a 100% head-to-head record in recent meetings, having beaten Genoa 1-0 away in December 2025.
- The prediction strongly favors Atalanta or a draw (Double Chance), with odds of just 1.18 offered by 1xBet.
- Atalanta boast a significant 45% chance of winning, while the draw is also rated at 45%, leaving Genoa with only a 10% probability of an away victory.
- Atalantaās overall form is strong (54% vs 46%), but they have been inconsistent lately, losing two of their last five matches.
- Genoa, however, arrive in excellent form, having won three of their last five away games, including back-to-back victories.
- Atalanta are clearly superior in attack (64% vs 36%) and defense (62% vs 38%), giving them a major edge in this contest.
- The Poisson distribution heavily favors Atalanta (66% vs 34%), suggesting they are expected to create more scoring chances.
- Surprisingly, Genoa are predicted to dominate possession, averaging 71% compared to Atalantaās 29% in the median stats.
- Genoa also have a narrower shot advantage in median stats, averaging 16 shots to Atalantaās 6, pointing to a potential upset in offensive output.
- Atalanta average 1.46 goals per game this season with 14.47 shots, while Genoa manage just 1.05 goals from 11.74 shots per match.
- Genoa have been card-prone on the road, averaging 2 yellow cards per game, while Atalanta average only 1 at home.
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