Estrela have been in mixed form lately, with two draws and two losses in their last five games, including a 3-2 defeat and a 1-0 loss. Arouca have also struggled, losing three of their last five matches, though they did manage one win and one draw. This season, their recent meetings have often seen plenty of goals, with four of the last six matches ending with three or more goals.

Estrela won convincingly in their last home meeting against Arouca, but Arouca have dominated recent overall meetings, winning four of the last six encounters. Given both teams' inconsistent form and the fact that recent matches between them tend to be high-scoring and competitive, this match looks very close and open. I think it will end in a draw.