Moreirense have had a mixed run recently, with a couple of wins, but also some draws and a heavy loss in their last game. Arouca, on the other hand, have been struggling for form, having lost most of their recent matches, with just one win in their last five. Looking at their past meetings, the games have often been close, with low scores, and Moreirense have had the better of those recent encounters.

Given that Moreirense are at home and have been more solid than Arouca lately, while Arouca are in a difficult patch, it seems likely that Moreirense will win this match.