Nacional vs Estoril

Nacional
d l l l d
0 - 1
0.75
xG
1.12
Full Time
Estoril
d l w l d
F. Bacher
9'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : draw or Estoril

Nacional's recent form has been mixed, with a couple of wins, a couple of draws, and a loss. They are not in terrible shape but haven't found consistent winning ways. Estoril, on the other hand, is really struggling. They have not won in their last five games, losing three of them and drawing two.

Looking at recent meetings between these two, they tend to be very close and often have a few goals. Their last two matches ended in draws, and the games before that was also tight. Given Nacional's slightly better recent results and Estoril's current poor run, Nacional looks more likely to edge this match.

Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:26 AM
starting lineups
 
Kaique Pereira
 
L. Vallier
7.3
 
Ze Vitor
 
Léo Santos
 
A. Nunez
 
J. Silva
 
Matheus Dias
 
M. Baeza
 
Paulinho Boia
6.5
 
J. Ramirez
 
Gabriel Veron
7.6
 
J. Robles
7.2
 
R. Sanchez
7.9
 
F. Bacher
 
Ferro
 
P. Carvalho
 
Jordan Holsgrove
 
A. Tsoungui
 
Jandro
 
A. Marques
 
Y. Begraoui
7.2
 
J. Carvalho
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Nacional
C. Labidi
' Out: J. Silva
46
L. Joao
' Out: M. Baeza
63
Pablo Ruan
' Out: Gabriel Veron
63
Daniel Junior
' Out: Matheus Dias
79
A. Sousa
' Out: Paulinho Boia
79
Substitutes for Estoril
Xeka
' Out: Jandro
59
R. Guitane
' Out: A. Marques
59
A. Lacximicant
' Out: Y. Begraoui
59
Pedro Amaral
' Out: P. Carvalho
78
Pizzi
78' Out: J. Carvalho
78
statistics
55 Ball Possession 45
0 Goals 1
0.75 Expected Goals 1.12
match facts

REFEREE

M. Andre Monteiro Fonseca

  • This is a Primeira Liga 2025-2026 fixture between Nacional and Estoril.
  • The last two head-to-head meetings have ended in draws (1-1 and 2-2).
  • Nacional's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches.
  • Estoril are on a poor run, with four draws and three losses in their last five games.
  • Both teams average just over a goal per game this season (Nacional 1.20, Estoril 1.31).
  • Nacional typically sees a higher median shot count (13) compared to Estoril (9).
  • Possession stats are very even, with a median of 52% for Nacional and 48% for Estoril.
  • Both teams have a median of 3 yellow cards per match, suggesting a potentially feisty encounter.
  • The prediction model strongly favors a double chance of draw or Estoril win.
  • Win probability is split evenly, with a 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an Estoril victory.
  • Head-to-head history gives Estoril a significant 75% advantage over Nacional's 25%.
  • The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.57 from bookmaker 1xBet.
Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:26 AM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
21 Corners 16
58 Fouls 62
14 Offsides 4
57 Shots 42
17 Shots on Goal 13
12 Yellow Cards 11
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goals 5
5 Goals Conceded 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
primeira liga standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#10
31
10
7
14
-1
37
#14
31
8
7
16
-7
31