Nacional vs Estoril
F. Bacher
9'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions
Double chance : draw or Estoril
Nacional's recent form has been mixed, with a couple of wins, a couple of draws, and a loss. They are not in terrible shape but haven't found consistent winning ways. Estoril, on the other hand, is really struggling. They have not won in their last five games, losing three of them and drawing two.
Looking at recent meetings between these two, they tend to be very close and often have a few goals. Their last two matches ended in draws, and the games before that was also tight. Given Nacional's slightly better recent results and Estoril's current poor run, Nacional looks more likely to edge this match.
Last Updated: 13 Mar 2026 07:26 AMÂ
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Substitutes for Nacional C. Labidi
' Out: J. Silva
46
L. Joao
' Out: M. Baeza
63
Pablo Ruan
' Out: Gabriel Veron
63
Daniel Junior
' Out: Matheus Dias
79
A. Sousa
' Out: Paulinho Boia
79
Substitutes for Estoril Xeka
' Out: Jandro
59
R. Guitane
' Out: A. Marques
59
A. Lacximicant
' Out: Y. Begraoui
59
Pedro Amaral
' Out: P. Carvalho
78
Pizzi
78' Out: J. Carvalho
78
REFEREE
M. Andre Monteiro Fonseca
- This is a Primeira Liga 2025-2026 fixture between Nacional and Estoril.
- The last two head-to-head meetings have ended in draws (1-1 and 2-2).
- Nacional's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches.
- Estoril are on a poor run, with four draws and three losses in their last five games.
- Both teams average just over a goal per game this season (Nacional 1.20, Estoril 1.31).
- Nacional typically sees a higher median shot count (13) compared to Estoril (9).
- Possession stats are very even, with a median of 52% for Nacional and 48% for Estoril.
- Both teams have a median of 3 yellow cards per match, suggesting a potentially feisty encounter.
- The prediction model strongly favors a double chance of draw or Estoril win.
- Win probability is split evenly, with a 45% chance for a draw and 45% for an Estoril victory.
- Head-to-head history gives Estoril a significant 75% advantage over Nacional's 25%.
- The highest odds for the predicted outcome (Draw/Away) are 1.57 from bookmaker 1xBet.
Total
Per Match
21
Corners
16
5.3
Corners
4
58
Fouls
62
14.5
Fouls
15.5
14
Offsides
4
3.5
Offsides
1
57
Shots
42
14.3
Shots
10.5
17
Shots on Goal
13
4.3
Shots on Goal
3.3
12
Yellow Cards
11
3
Yellow Cards
2.8
1
Red Cards
0
0.3
Red Cards
0
3
Goals
5
0.8
Goals
1.3
5
Goals Conceded
3
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.8
0
Clean Sheets
2
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
Last matches for NAC
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Nacional
2
Tondela
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18 APR, 2026
Nacional
1
Alverca
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Nacional
0
Benfica
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Nacional
2
Estrela
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 MAR, 2026
Nacional
0
Famalicao
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Nacional
0
Estoril
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Nacional
1
Moreirense
1
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
28 FEB, 2026
Nacional
1
SC Braga
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
21 FEB, 2026
Nacional
0
Arouca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 FEB, 2026
Nacional
0
FC Porto
1
L
Last matches for EST
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
26 APR, 2026
Estoril
0
Famalicao
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20 APR, 2026
Estoril
0
Moreirense
1
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
12 APR, 2026
Estoril
1
FC Porto
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
06 APR, 2026
Estoril
2
Arouca
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Estoril
1
Rio Ave
2
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 MAR, 2026
Estoril
1
Nacional
0
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
07 MAR, 2026
Estoril
0
Casa Pia
0
D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
27 FEB, 2026
Estoril
0
Sporting CP
3
L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
22 FEB, 2026
Estoril
3
GIL Vicente
1
W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15 FEB, 2026
Estoril
0
AVS
3
L
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