Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
Predictions
|
Probability %
1
x
2
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
|
Probability %
1
x
2
33%
29%
37%
|
Pred
X
|
Avg. Goal
2.42
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
|
Probability %
Under
/
Over
2.5
57%
43%
|
Pred
Under
|
Avg. Goal
2.42
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| HТ/FT Probability % | HT Pred. | FT Pred. | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
|
HТ/FT Probability %
20%
|
HT Pred.
2
|
FT Pred.
2
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
|
Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
|
Probability %
Yes/
No
51%
49%
|
Pred
Yes
|
Avg. Goal
2.42
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
| Probability % | Pred. | Avg. Goal | Score Pred. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
|
Probability %
53%
|
Pred
Away +0
|
Avg. Goal
2.42
|
Score Pred.
1-1
|
Double chance : draw or Arsenal
Atletico Madrid head into this Champions League match in mixed form. They have won two of their last five games but also lost two, showing they can be inconsistent. Arsenal are also in a patchy run of form, with just one win in their last five matches, including two draws and two losses, which suggests they are struggling to find consistency too. When these two teams met earlier this season, Arsenal won convincingly with a high-scoring 4-0 victory, showing that their recent meetings can produce a lot of goals.
This match looks very close and open. Both teams have been shaky recently, with neither side able to put together a strong winning run. Given Arsenal's heavy win in the previous meeting, they might have a slight mental edge, but Atletico will be desperate to bounce back on home ground. Expect a tight, competitive game where a draw or a narrow win for either side seems most likely, but Arsenal look the slightly stronger option based on recent history.
Last Updated: 25 Apr 2026 07:21 PM- This UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 clash sees an intriguing battle between Atletico Madrid and Arsenal on April 29, 2026.
- In their only recent head-to-head, Arsenal secured a dominant 4-0 victory over Atletico Madrid in October 2025.
- Arsenal has the edge in recent form, coming into the match with 55% form rating compared to Atletico's 45%.
- The prediction model heavily favors Arsenal with a 60% total win probability against Atletico's 40%.
- Statistically, Arsenal is favored for goals with a 67% rating, while Atletico leads in attack strength at 67%.
- Defensively, Arsenal is significantly stronger according to data, holding a 73% advantage over Atletico's 27%.
- The Poisson distribution gives Arsenal an 82% chance of scoring more goals, while Atletico sits at just 18%.
- Both teams have struggled for wins recently, with Atletico recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches.
- Arsenal's last five outings include 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, showing more consistency than the hosts.
- Average stats show Arsenal scores 1.89 goals per game with 55.96% possession, while Atletico averages 1.71 goals with 50.90% possession.
- The best betting advice suggests a double chance on a draw or Arsenal win, with 1xBet offering odds of 1.46.
- Prediction percentages are split evenly at 45% each for a draw and an Arsenal win, with Atletico given just a 10% chance of victory.
0/
0/
1
WINS
DRAWS
WINS
Total
Per Match
4
Corners
3
10
Fouls
14
0
Offsides
2
11
Shots
19
1
Shots on Goal
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goals
4
4
Goals Conceded
0
0
Clean Sheets
1
Last matches for ATL 
La Liga 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
3
Athletic Club
2
W
La Liga 2025-2026
22 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Elche
3
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
14 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Barcelona
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Sevilla
2
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
08 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Barcelona
0
W
La Liga 2025-2026
04 APR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Barcelona
2
L
La Liga 2025-2026
22 MAR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Real Madrid
3
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
18 MAR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
2
Tottenham
3
L
La Liga 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
1
Getafe
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
10 MAR, 2026
Atletico Madrid
5
Tottenham
2
W
Last matches for ARS 
Premier League 2025-2026
25 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Newcastle
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
19 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Manchester City
2
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
15 APR, 2026
Arsenal
0
Sporting CP
0
D
Premier League 2025-2026
11 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Bournemouth
2
L
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
07 APR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Sporting CP
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
17 MAR, 2026
Arsenal
2
Bayer Leverkusen
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
14 MAR, 2026
Arsenal
2
Everton
0
W
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026
11 MAR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Bayer Leverkusen
1
D
Premier League 2025-2026
04 MAR, 2026
Arsenal
1
Brighton
0
W
Premier League 2025-2026
22 FEB, 2026
Arsenal
4
Tottenham
1
W
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
HIGHEST ODDS
2.96
1xBet
3.37
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
98.82 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
1xBet
Bonus
2.96
3.37
2.63
98.54%
Marathonbet
2.91
3.32
2.59
97.00%
Betfair
2.88
3.10
2.55
94.17%
Betano
2.87
3.20
2.57
95.23%
Pinnacle
2.85
3.26
2.55
95.26%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.63
Pinnacle
2.15
William Hill
3.38
Pinnacle
96.48 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Pinnacle
3.63
2.06
3.38
94.63%
Marathonbet
3.56
2.02
3.22
92.04%
1xBet
Bonus
3.56
2.02
3.22
92.04%
Unknown
3.50
2.00
3.25
91.46%
Betano
3.50
2.02
3.20
91.47%
HIGHEST ODDS
3.22
Marathonbet
2.48
Unibet
2.90
William Hill
94.46 %
BOOKMAKERS
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
PAYOUTS
Marathonbet
3.22
2.32
2.90
92.05%
1xBet
Bonus
3.22
2.32
2.90
92.05%
Betano
3.15
2.30
2.87
90.85%
William Hill
3.10
2.25
2.90
89.94%
888Sport
Bonus
3.10
2.25
2.90
89.94%
