Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid

Arsenal
d l w d w
1 - 0
1.58
xG
0.50
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
l l w d w
B. Saka
44'
Predictions
Stats
Odds
Predictions

Double chance : Arsenal or draw

Arsenal are heading into this match in really poor form, having lost three of their last five games and failing to win any of them. They've been struggling to find the back of the net and have looked shaky at the back, which is a big worry heading into a Champions League match. On the other hand, Atletico Madrid have been in much better shape, winning two of their last five matches and showing they can score goals, even though they've also had a couple of losses. When these two teams met recently, the first game was a tight 1-1 draw, but the one before that was a heavy 4-0 win for Arsenal, suggesting that when one team gets going, the goals can really flow.

Given Arsenal's current slump and Atletico Madrid's more positive recent results, this match looks like it could be a close one, but the edge has to go to the visitors. Atletico have shown more fight and consistency lately, while Arsenal are low on confidence. It feels like a game where Atletico Madrid will win by a narrow margin, or at worst, a draw, but it's hard to see Arsenal getting back to winning ways here based on their recent struggles.

Last Updated: 03 May 2026 06:00 PM
starting lineups
Ā 
David Raya
6.7
Ā 
R. Calafiori
Ā 
Gabriel
Ā 
W. Saliba
Ā 
B. White
Ā 
M. Lewis-Skelly
Ā 
D. Rice
Ā 
L. Trossard
Ā 
Eberechi Eze
7.2
Ā 
B. Saka
Ā 
V. Gyƶkeres
Ā 
J. Oblak
Ā 
M. Ruggeri
Ā 
D. Hancko
Ā 
Robin Le Normand
6.9
Ā 
M. Pubill
Ā 
A. Lookman
6.6
Ā 
Koke
Ā 
Marcos Llorente
Ā 
Giuliano Simeone
Ā 
JuliƔn Ɓlvarez
Ā 
A. Griezmann
field field
substitutes
Substitutes for Arsenal
P. Hincapie
58' Out: R. Calafiori
58
N. Madueke
58' Out: B. Saka
58
M. Odegaard
' Out: Eberechi Eze
59
M. Zubimendi
' Out: M. Lewis-Skelly
74
G. Martinelli
' Out: L. Trossard
83
Substitutes for Atletico Madrid
Johnny Cardoso
' Out: Giuliano Simeone
57
A. SĆørloth
' Out: Robin Le Normand
57
N. Molina
' Out: A. Lookman
57
A. Baena
' Out: A. Griezmann
66
T. Almada
' Out: JuliƔn Ɓlvarez
66
statistics
53 Ball Possession 47
1 Goals 0
1.58 Expected Goals 0.50
match facts

REFEREE

D. Siebert

  • Arsenal host Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League 2025-2026.
  • Atletico Madrid won the reverse fixture 4-0 earlier in the group stage.
  • The most recent meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
  • Home team Arsenal are on a 4-match winless streak in all competitions, having lost 3 of their last 5 games.
  • Away team Atletico Madrid are on a 3-match winless run in all competitions, but did win their last away match 2-0.
  • Arsenal average over 14 shots per game but have been held to 0 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Atletico Madrid average under 13 shots per game but have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Arsenal are predicted to have an advantage in defense (80% vs Atletico's 20%).
  • Atletico Madrid are predicted to have a clear advantage in attack (69% vs Arsenal's 31%).
  • The match prediction suggests a Double Chance bet on Arsenal or Draw (1.18 odds).
  • Arsenal or a Draw is given a 90% combined probability (45% each for win or draw), with Atletico Madrid at just 10%.
  • Both teams average just over 1 yellow card per game, hinting at a competitive but disciplined match.
Last Updated: 03 May 2026 06:00 PM
head to head team stats
Total
Per Match
9 Corners 12
34 Fouls 29
4 Offsides 2
43 Shots 38
12 Shots on Goal 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goals 1
1 Goals Conceded 6
2 Clean Sheets 0
uefa champions league standings
#
Team
PL
W
D
L
GD
PTS
#1
15
11
4
0
23
37
#6
16
7
3
6
7
24